Taça de Portugal · Full time ·Round of 64

Vianense vs Leixoes

1 – 0 Full time

22′Vianense
58′M. Conceicao
76′Leixoes
78′Leixoes
83′Leixoes
84′Leixoes
88′Leixoes
90′Leixoes
Vianense 25%
Draw 25%
Leixoes 51%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Vianense vs Leixoes overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Vianense vs Leixoes

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityVianenseDrawLeixoes
Model47.6%23.6%28.7%
Market17.1%24.9%58.1%
Final24.7%24.6%50.7%
Edge+7.6%-0.3%-7.3%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Vianense ↓ / Leixoes → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 5% 10% 7% 2 6% 9% 7% 3 6% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 87%
3+ goals 67%
No goals 4%

Vianense and Leixoes expected goals

Vianense 1.97
Leixoes 1.51

Total expected goals: 3.48

Vianense and Leixoes attack and defence ratings

Vianense

Attack 1.64 +64%
Defence 0.92 -8%

Leixoes

Attack 1.09 +9%
Defence 0.70 -30%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Vianense vs Leixoes: result vs prediction

Vianense 1 – 0 Leixoes

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Round of 64 fixtures

Taça de Portugal

Before and after this match

Vianense vs Leixoes markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Leixoes 50.7% 1.97 -7.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 67.4% 1.48 — —
Both teams to score Yes 67.9% 1.47 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 75.4% 1.33 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 71.2% 1.40 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Vianense24.7%
Draw24.6%
Leixoes50.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.567.4%
Under 2.532.6%
Both teams to scoreYes67.9%
No32.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)49.3%
12 (either side)75.4%
X2 (draw or away)75.3%
Handicap -1Leixoes win13.7%
Push (exactly one goal)15.1%
Loss71.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.1%
2-19.0%
1-26.9%

Vianense vs Leixoes stats

Vianense and Leixoes recent form

newest first
Vianense WWLWW
Leixoes LWDWWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 5 completed matches.

Vianense vs Leixoes head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Vianense vs Leixoes odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 17.1%, draw 24.9%, away 58.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 5.46 3.68 1.60
Bet365 5.25 4.00 1.48
BetVictor 5.75 3.75 1.53
Marathonbet 5.50 3.68 1.58
Pinnacle 5.26 3.58 1.61
William Hill 5.00 3.30 1.57

Odds movement

Only one odds snapshot recorded so far — movement needs at least two.