Vianense
vs
Leixoes
Garuda Lions Prediction: Vianense
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Vianense vs Leixoes overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Vianense vs Leixoes
| Probability | Vianense | Draw | Leixoes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42.4% | 24.3% | 33.3% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 42.4% | 24.3% | 33.3% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Vianense vs Leixoes match preview
In the upcoming Taça de Portugal match, Vianense faces Leixoes with a kickoff scheduled for October 17, 2026. According to our model, Vianense has a 42% chance of winning, while Leixoes stands at 33%, and a draw is predicted at 24%. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 2-1 in favor of Vianense, occurring with a 9% probability. The expected goals for Vianense are 1.82, compared to Leixoes' 1.60.
Both teams have shown strong recent form, with Vianense winning four of their last five matches and Leixoes winning four of their last six. Additionally, there is a 66% likelihood of over 2.5 goals being scored, and both teams are expected to score with a probability of 68%. The confidence grade for this match is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Vianense and Leixoes expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.42
Vianense and Leixoes attack and defence ratings
Vianense
Leixoes
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Round of 64 fixtures
Before and after this match
Vianense vs Leixoes markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vianense | 42.4% | 2.36 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.4% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.8% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.7% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.6% | 1.74 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vianense | 42.4% |
| Draw | 24.3% | |
| Leixoes | 33.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 33.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.8% |
| No | 32.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 66.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 57.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Vianense win | 23.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.1% | |
| Loss | 57.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.5% |
| 2-1 | 8.7% | |
| 1-2 | 7.6% |