Salgueiros
vs
Estoril
Garuda Lions Prediction: Salgueiros
2 – 0 Predicted score · 12% model probability
Salgueiros vs Estoril overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Salgueiros vs Estoril
| Probability | Salgueiros | Draw | Estoril |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 63.3% | 23.3% | 13.5% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 63.3% | 23.3% | 13.5% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Salgueiros
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.92 vs 0.78.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 4 vs 0 for the opposition.
Salgueiros vs Estoril match preview
Salgueiros enters the match against Estoril with a strong probability of 63% to win, while Estoril stands at just 13%. The most likely scoreline is 2-0 in favor of Salgueiros, with a 12% chance of occurring. The expected goals for Salgueiros are 1.92, compared to Estoril's 0.78, indicating a significant disparity in attacking output.
In terms of recent form, Salgueiros has recorded two wins followed by a loss and then two more wins, showcasing a positive trend. Conversely, Estoril has struggled, with six consecutive matches resulting in four losses and two draws. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is at 51%, while both teams scoring is slightly less probable at 47%.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Salgueiros and Estoril expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.70
Salgueiros and Estoril attack and defence ratings
Salgueiros
Estoril
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Round of 64 fixtures
Before and after this match
Salgueiros vs Estoril markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Salgueiros | 63.3% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.7% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.7% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.5% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Salgueiros win | 39.0% | 2.57 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Salgueiros | 63.3% |
| Draw | 23.3% | |
| Estoril | 13.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 49.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.3% |
| No | 52.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 36.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Salgueiros win | 39.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.3% | |
| Loss | 36.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 12.4% |
| 1-0 | 11.9% | |
| 1-1 | 11.1% |
Salgueiros vs Estoril stats
Salgueiros and Estoril recent form
| Salgueiros |
WWLW |
| Estoril |
LLDLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 4 completed matches.