AVS
vs
Moreirense
1 – 0 Full time
| 3′ | Rodrigo Pinho | ||
| 42′ | Maracas | ||
| 43′ | Guilherme Liberato | ||
| 45′ | K. BondosoG. Batista | ||
| 53′ | Roni | ||
| 58′ | Mateus PivoD. Brasido | ||
| 61′ | L. SantosM. Mendonca | ||
| 61′ | L. VonicLanderson | ||
| 61′ | N. JohnYan Maranhao | ||
| 62′ | Rodrigo PinhoG. Neiva | ||
| 74′ | J. VelosoRodri | ||
| 79′ | D. RivasPonck | ||
| 79′ | L. RosicJ. Meireles | ||
| 79′ | RoniA. Sousa | ||
| 83′ | D. Brasido | ||
| 90′ | F. Almeida |
AVS vs Moreirense overview
Garuda Lions analysis: AVS vs Moreirense
| Probability | AVS | Draw | Moreirense |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 56.4% | 28.0% | 15.6% |
| Market | 28.3% | 27.9% | 43.9% |
| Final | 35.3% | 27.9% | 36.8% |
| Edge | +7.0% | +0.0% | -7.1% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
AVS and Moreirense expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.23
AVS and Moreirense attack and defence ratings
AVS
Moreirense
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
AVS vs Moreirense: result vs prediction
AVS 1 – 0 Moreirense
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Round of 64 fixtures
Before and after this match
AVS vs Moreirense markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Moreirense | 36.8% | 2.72 | -7.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 61.7% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 59.8% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.1% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 84.5% | 1.18 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | AVS | 35.3% |
| Draw | 27.9% | |
| Moreirense | 36.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 38.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 61.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 40.2% |
| No | 59.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 63.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 64.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Moreirense win | 4.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 11.0% | |
| Loss | 84.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 15.5% |
| 2-0 | 12.7% | |
| 1-1 | 12.6% |
AVS vs Moreirense stats
AVS and Moreirense recent form
| AVS |
WWDLWD |
| Moreirense |
LDWLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
AVS vs Moreirense head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | Moreirense | AVS | Friendlies Clubs | 2-2 |
| 2026-05-16 | Moreirense | AVS | Primeira Liga | 0-0 |
| 2026-01-03 | AVS | Moreirense | Primeira Liga | 0-2 |
| 2025-05-17 | AVS | Moreirense | Primeira Liga | 0-3 |
| 2025-01-04 | Moreirense | AVS | Primeira Liga | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
AVS vs Moreirense odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 28.3%, draw 27.9%, away 43.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.24 | 3.32 | 2.13 |
| Bet365 | 3.50 | 3.25 | 1.91 |
| BetVictor | 3.40 | 3.20 | 2.05 |
| Marathonbet | 3.22 | 3.32 | 2.11 |
| Pinnacle | 3.21 | 3.30 | 2.13 |
| William Hill | 3.20 | 3.00 | 2.05 |