Benfica
vs
Celtic
4 – 1 Full time
| 5′ | Jhon Durán | ||
| 23′ | Alexander Bah | ||
| 36′ | Jhon Durán | ||
| 44′ | Samuel Dahl | ||
| 45′ | Kasper HoghHaissem Hassan | ||
| 45′ | Sebastian TounektiCallum Osmand | ||
| 57′ | Oliver SorensenBenjamin Nygren | ||
| 57′ | Mika BaurAlex Oxlade-Chamberlain | ||
| 63′ | Camilo Duran | ||
| 64′ | Heorhii SudakovClaudio Echeverri | ||
| 64′ | Samuel DahlSouffian El Karouani | ||
| 67′ | Jhon DuránVangelis Pavlidis | ||
| 68′ | Dodi LukebakioAndreas Schjelderup | ||
| 69′ | Alexander Bah | ||
| 77′ | Colby DonovanJordan Lotomba | ||
| 80′ | Alexander BahAlessandro Circati | ||
| 85′ | João Palhinha | ||
| 89′ | Vangelis Pavlidis |
Match stats
| 26 | Shots | 14 |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Shots on target | 7 |
| 53 | Possession % | 47 |
| 8 | Corners | 6 |
| 9 | Fouls | 7 |
| 2 | Offsides | 2 |
| 6 | Saves | 3 |
| 526 | Accurate passes | 455 |
Benfica vs Celtic overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Benfica vs Celtic
| Probability | Benfica | Draw | Celtic |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 65.3% | 19.9% | 14.7% |
| Market | 79.1% | 13.0% | 7.9% |
| Final | 75.7% | 14.7% | 9.6% |
| Edge | -3.4% | +1.7% | +1.7% |
Why Benfica
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.32 vs 1.07.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 4 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Benfica and Celtic expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.40
Benfica and Celtic attack and defence ratings
Benfica
Celtic
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Benfica vs Celtic: result vs prediction
Benfica 4 – 1 Celtic
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other League Stage - 2 fixtures
- Lyon vs Crystal Palace
- AZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Beer Sheva
- Lech Poznan v Bayer Leverkusen — match page
- Red Bull Salzburg v AC Milan — match page
- Sparta Praha vs Lillestrom — team news & stats
- Union St. Gilloise v Real Sociedad — match page
- Celje vs Omonia Nicosia — team news & stats
- Torreense vs Sunderland — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Benfica vs Celtic markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Benfica | 75.7% | 1.32 | -3.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.3% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.0% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 90.4% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Benfica win | 42.7% | 2.34 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Benfica | 75.7% |
| Draw | 14.7% | |
| Celtic | 9.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 33.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.0% |
| No | 40.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 90.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 85.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 24.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Benfica win | 42.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.6% | |
| Loss | 35.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 9.7% |
| 2-0 | 9.1% | |
| 1-1 | 9.0% |
Benfica vs Celtic stats
Benfica and Celtic recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Benfica and Celtic going into this match
Benfica record
- They have won 5 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 3.0 goals per match.
- They average 4.7 goals per game at home against 1.8 on the road.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Benfica vs Celtic head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012-11-20 | Benfica | Celtic | UEFA Champions League | 2-1 |
| 2012-09-19 | Celtic | Benfica | UEFA Champions League | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Benfica vs Celtic odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 79.1%, draw 13.0%, away 7.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.22 | 7.30 | 13.20 |
| Bet365 | 1.20 | 7.00 | 12.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.17 | 7.50 | 13.00 |
| Betano | 1.24 | 7.30 | 12.00 |
| Betfair | 1.18 | 7.50 | 12.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.26 | 6.60 | 11.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.22 | 7.30 | 13.25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.20 | 7.94 | 12.51 |
| SBO | 1.20 | 6.76 | 10.12 |
| William Hill | 1.20 | 7.00 | 11.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .