Scotland Premiership
·
Full time
·Matchday 8
Motherwell
vs
Celtic
0 – 2 Full time
| 9′ | Camilo Duran | ||
| 41′ | Joe Hodge | ||
| 58′ | Benjamin Nygren | ||
| 60′ | Willy Gabriel VogtIbrahim Said | ||
| 71′ | Sebastian Palmer-HouldenJardell Kanga | ||
| 71′ | Dylan LevittEythor Bjørgolfsson | ||
| 73′ | Camilo DuranHaissem Hassan | ||
| 73′ | Kasper HoghShumaira Mheuka | ||
| 74′ | Sebastian TounektiJota | ||
| 78′ | Benjamin NygrenOliver Sorensen | ||
| 82′ | Kieran Tierney | ||
| 82′ | Kieran TierneyJordan Lotomba | ||
| 83′ | Stephen O'DonnellJake Max Girdwood-Reich | ||
| 83′ | Alex·LowryTawanda Maswanhise | ||
| 85′ | Jordan Lotomba |
Motherwell
22%
Draw
22%
Celtic
57%
Match stats
| 8 | Shots | 25 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shots on target | 15 |
| 44 | Possession % | 56 |
| 2 | Corners | 9 |
| 3 | Fouls | 4 |
| 2 | Offsides | 1 |
| 12 | Saves | 2 |
| 333 | Accurate passes | 703 |
Motherwell vs Celtic overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Motherwell vs Celtic
| Probability | Motherwell | Draw | Celtic |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 28.2% | 24.7% | 47.2% |
| Market | 19.4% | 21.0% | 59.7% |
| Final | 21.6% | 21.9% | 56.5% |
| Edge | +2.2% | +0.9% | -3.1% |
Why Celtic
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.85 vs 1.39.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
95%
2+ goals
84%
3+ goals
63%
No goals
5%
Motherwell and Celtic expected goals
Motherwell
1.39
Celtic
1.85
Total expected goals: 3.24
Motherwell and Celtic attack and defence ratings
Motherwell
Attack
0.98 -2%
Defence
1.20 +20%
Celtic
Attack
1.28 +28%
Defence
0.93 -7%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Motherwell vs Celtic: result vs prediction
Motherwell 0 – 2 Celtic
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Motherwell vs Celtic markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Celtic | 56.5% | 1.77 | -3.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.8% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.3% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 78.4% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 52.8% | 1.89 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Motherwell | 21.6% |
| Draw | 21.9% | |
| Celtic | 56.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 37.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.3% |
| No | 35.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 43.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 78.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Celtic win | 26.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.5% | |
| Loss | 52.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.1% |
| 1-2 | 9.3% | |
| 2-1 | 7.0% |
Motherwell vs Celtic stats
Motherwell and Celtic recent form
| Motherwell |
LLLWDL |
| Celtic |
LLWWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Motherwell and Celtic going into this match
Motherwell record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
Celtic record
- They have won 6 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.7 goals per game on the road against 1.5 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
Motherwell vs Celtic head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
1Motherwell wins
1Draws
8Celtic wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-13 | Motherwell | Celtic | Scotland Premiership | 2-3 |
| 2026-03-14 | Celtic | Motherwell | Scotland Premiership | 3-1 |
| 2025-12-30 | Motherwell | Celtic | Scotland Premiership | 2-0 |
| 2025-10-05 | Celtic | Motherwell | Scotland Premiership | 3-2 |
| 2025-02-02 | Motherwell | Celtic | Premiership | 1-3 |
| 2024-12-26 | Celtic | Motherwell | Premiership | 4-0 |
| 2024-10-27 | Motherwell | Celtic | Premiership | 0-3 |
| 2024-02-25 | Motherwell | Celtic | Premiership | 1-3 |
| 2023-11-25 | Celtic | Motherwell | Premiership | 1-1 |
| 2023-09-30 | Motherwell | Celtic | Premiership | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Motherwell vs Celtic odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 19.4%, draw 21.0%, away 59.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.68 | 4.40 | 1.59 |
| Bet365 | 4.75 | 4.50 | 1.55 |
| BetVictor | 5.25 | 4.50 | 1.55 |
| Betano | 4.90 | 4.80 | 1.62 |
| Betfair | 5.00 | 4.60 | 1.55 |
| Dafabet | 5.00 | 4.60 | 1.60 |
| Marathonbet | 4.75 | 4.40 | 1.57 |
| Pinnacle | 4.92 | 4.78 | 1.60 |
| SBO | 4.83 | 4.22 | 1.51 |
| William Hill | 4.50 | 4.33 | 1.60 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
4.87 ▼ -1.13
X
4.50 —
2
1.58 ▲ +0.14
45 snapshots recorded, from .