Celtic
vs
Rangers
0 – 1 Full time
| 4′ | Emmanuel Fernandez | ||
| 5′ | Derek McInnes | ||
| 33′ | Ryan Naderi | ||
| 45′ | Luke McCowanKasper Hogh | ||
| 57′ | Min-su Kim | ||
| 63′ | Benjamin NygrenJames Forrest | ||
| 71′ | Kieran TierneyHaissem Hassan | ||
| 71′ | Camilo DuranSebastian Tounekti | ||
| 71′ | Min-su KimFindlay Curtis | ||
| 72′ | Djeidi GassamaBadredine Bouanani | ||
| 73′ | Callum McGregor | ||
| 74′ | Sebastian Tounekti | ||
| 76′ | James PenriceBen Godfrey | ||
| 88′ | Badredine Bouanani | ||
| 88′ | Dan NeilTochi Chukwuani | ||
| 89′ | Kevin KelsyCameron Devlin | ||
| 89′ | Liam ScalesShumaira Mheuka |
Match stats
| 5 | Shots | 15 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shots on target | 8 |
| 55 | Possession % | 45 |
| 8 | Corners | 4 |
| 16 | Fouls | 19 |
| 3 | Offsides | 2 |
| 6 | Saves | 1 |
| 321 | Accurate passes | 250 |
Celtic vs Rangers overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Celtic vs Rangers
| Probability | Celtic | Draw | Rangers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 51.4% | 26.3% | 22.3% |
| Market | 43.7% | 26.0% | 30.3% |
| Final | 45.6% | 26.0% | 28.3% |
| Edge | +7.7% | +0.3% | -8.1% |
Why Celtic
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.70 vs 1.05.
- The market prices Celtic below the model: +7.7 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Celtic and Rangers expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.75
Celtic and Rangers attack and defence ratings
Celtic
Rangers
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Celtic vs Rangers: result vs prediction
Celtic 0 – 1 Rangers
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Celtic vs Rangers markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Celtic | 45.6% | 2.19 | +7.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.9% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.3% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.0% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 48.6% | 2.06 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Celtic | 45.6% |
| Draw | 26.0% | |
| Rangers | 28.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 48.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.3% |
| No | 45.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 54.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Celtic win | 28.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.8% | |
| Loss | 48.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.5% |
| 1-0 | 9.7% | |
| 2-1 | 9.7% |
Celtic vs Rangers stats
Celtic and Rangers recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Celtic and Rangers going into this match
Celtic record
- They have won 6 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
- They average 2.7 goals per game on the road against 2.0 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
Rangers record
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
Celtic vs Rangers head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Rangers | Celtic | League Cup | 3-0 |
| 2026-05-10 | Celtic | Rangers | Scotland Premiership | 3-1 |
| 2026-03-08 | Rangers | Celtic | Scotland FA Cup | 0-0 |
| 2026-03-01 | Rangers | Celtic | Scotland Premiership | 2-2 |
| 2026-01-03 | Celtic | Rangers | Scotland Premiership | 1-3 |
| 2025-11-02 | Celtic | Rangers | League Cup | 3-1 |
| 2025-08-31 | Rangers | Celtic | Scotland Premiership | 0-0 |
| 2025-05-04 | Rangers | Celtic | Premiership | 1-1 |
| 2025-03-16 | Celtic | Rangers | Premiership | 2-3 |
| 2025-01-02 | Rangers | Celtic | Premiership | 3-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Celtic vs Rangers odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 43.8%, draw 25.8%, away 30.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.13 | 3.62 | 3.08 |
| 888Sport | 1.80 | 3.70 | 3.90 |
| Bet365 | 2.15 | 3.60 | 3.10 |
| BetVictor | 2.10 | 3.75 | 3.10 |
| Betano | 2.25 | 3.80 | 3.15 |
| Betfair | 2.15 | 3.70 | 3.10 |
| Marathonbet | 2.11 | 3.62 | 3.08 |
| Pinnacle | 2.18 | 3.75 | 3.24 |
| SBO | 2.20 | 3.43 | 2.76 |
| William Hill | 2.15 | 3.50 | 3.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
28 snapshots recorded, from .