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Scotland Premiership · Full time ·Matchday 7

ST Mirren vs Dundee Utd

0 – 3 Full time

6′Jesse Randall
12′Lyall Cameron
43′Daniel Bennie
45′Kevin Ciubotaru
45′Fraser TaylorJake Young
66′Killian PhillipsChris Mochrie
70′Jake Young
73′Daniel BennieWill Ferry
73′Idjessi MetsokoLachlan Rose
77′Ismeal KabiaJosh Farquhar
77′Eseosa SuleLuke Thomas
78′Lyall Cameronabdoulaye yoro
78′Jesse RandallNeil Farrugia
80′Will Ferry
83′Zidane IqbalPanutche Camara
90′Ryan Carr

The SMiSA Stadium, Paisley

ST Mirren 42%
Draw 27%
Dundee Utd 31%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

10 Shots 13
0 Shots on target 9
60 Possession % 40
4 Corners 7
13 Fouls 13
2 Offsides 3
6 Saves 0
429 Accurate passes 284

ST Mirren vs Dundee Utd overview

Garuda Lions analysis: ST Mirren vs Dundee Utd

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityST MirrenDrawDundee Utd
Model48.4%28.7%22.9%
Market40.0%26.4%33.6%
Final42.1%27.0%30.9%
Edge+8.4%+2.3%-10.7%

Confidence: Low

Why ST Mirren

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.48 vs 0.95.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices ST Mirren below the model: +8.4 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

ST Mirren ↓ / Dundee Utd → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 10% 7% 1 12% 14% 2 10% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 90%
2+ goals 71%
3+ goals 44%
No goals 10%

ST Mirren and Dundee Utd expected goals

ST Mirren 1.48
Dundee Utd 0.95

Total expected goals: 2.43

ST Mirren and Dundee Utd attack and defence ratings

ST Mirren

Attack 0.84 -16%
Defence 0.91 -9%

Dundee Utd

Attack 0.86 -14%
Defence 1.16 +16%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

ST Mirren vs Dundee Utd: result vs prediction

ST Mirren 0 – 3 Dundee Utd

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

Scotland Premiership

Before and after this match

ST Mirren vs Dundee Utd markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 ST Mirren 42.1% 2.38 +8.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 56.2% 1.78 — —
Both teams to score No 51.5% 1.94 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.0% 1.37 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 51.6% 1.94 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2ST Mirren42.1%
Draw27.0%
Dundee Utd30.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.543.8%
Under 2.556.2%
Both teams to scoreYes48.5%
No51.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)69.1%
12 (either side)73.0%
X2 (draw or away)57.9%
Handicap -1ST Mirren win25.0%
Push (exactly one goal)23.4%
Loss51.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.6%
1-011.8%
0-010.1%

ST Mirren vs Dundee Utd stats

ST Mirren and Dundee Utd recent form

newest first
ST Mirren LLWDWW
Dundee Utd DLWLLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

ST Mirren and Dundee Utd going into this match

league record before kick-off

ST Mirren record

  • They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
  • 60% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Dundee Utd record

  • They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.3 goals per game on the road against 0.7 at home.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.

ST Mirren vs Dundee Utd head-to-head

Last 9 meetings

2ST Mirren wins 1Draws 6Dundee Utd wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-17ST MirrenDundee UtdScotland Premiership1-1
2026-03-03Dundee UtdST MirrenScotland Premiership2-1
2025-12-06ST MirrenDundee UtdScotland Premiership2-0
2025-10-25Dundee UtdST MirrenScotland Premiership3-1
2025-05-10Dundee UtdST MirrenPremiership0-2
2025-01-11ST MirrenDundee UtdPremiership0-1
2024-11-30Dundee UtdST MirrenPremiership2-0
2024-10-05ST MirrenDundee UtdPremiership0-1
2024-08-18Dundee UtdST MirrenLeague Cup1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

ST Mirren vs Dundee Utd odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 40.0%, draw 26.4%, away 33.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.34 3.56 2.76
888Sport 2.30 3.30 2.88
Bet365 2.35 3.60 2.88
BetVictor 2.30 3.70 2.80
Betano 2.42 3.55 2.80
Betfair 2.45 3.20 3.00
Marathonbet 2.32 3.56 2.75
Pinnacle 2.41 3.71 2.86
SBO 2.17 3.22 2.63
William Hill 2.38 3.40 2.70

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.35 ▲ +0.07
X 3.56 ▲ +0.05
2 2.80 ▼ -0.08

26 snapshots recorded, from .