Scotland Premiership · Full time ·Matchday 3

Rangers vs ST Mirren

1 – 0 Full time

55′Calvin Ramsay
60′B. BouananiF. Curtis
60′K. KelsyM. Kim
62′Dujon Sterling
62′C. RamsayJ. Richardson
62′C. R. MochrieL. Thomas
77′N. RaskinC. Devlin
77′N. AgrafiotisJ. Young
77′I. KabiaE. Sule
78′D. GassamaB. Miovski
84′D. NeilT. Chukwuani
90′D. JohnM. De Barros
90′B. Miovski

Ibrox Stadium, Glasgow

Rangers 64%
Draw 21%
ST Mirren 15%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

18 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 2
54 Possession % 46
12 Corners 0
13 Fouls 13
0 Offsides 1
2 Saves 6
426 Accurate passes 373

Rangers vs ST Mirren overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Rangers vs ST Mirren

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityRangersDrawST Mirren
Model46.0%29.4%24.6%
Market70.4%17.8%11.7%
Final64.3%20.7%14.9%
Edge-24.4%+11.6%+12.9%

Confidence: Low

Why Rangers

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.42 vs 0.97.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Rangers ↓ / ST Mirren → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 10% 8% 1 12% 14% 2 9% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 90%
2+ goals 70%
3+ goals 43%
No goals 10%

Rangers and ST Mirren expected goals

Rangers 1.42
ST Mirren 0.97

Total expected goals: 2.39

Rangers and ST Mirren attack and defence ratings

Rangers

Attack 1.01 +1%
Defence 0.88 -12%

ST Mirren

Attack 0.93 -7%
Defence 0.91 -9%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Rangers vs ST Mirren: result vs prediction

Rangers 1 – 0 ST Mirren

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 3 fixtures

Scotland Premiership

Before and after this match

Rangers vs ST Mirren markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Rangers 64.3% 1.55 -24.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 57.2% 1.75 — —
Both teams to score No 51.6% 1.94 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 85.1% 1.18 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 54.0% 1.85 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Rangers64.3%
Draw20.7%
ST Mirren14.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.542.8%
Under 2.557.2%
Both teams to scoreYes48.4%
No51.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)85.1%
12 (either side)79.3%
X2 (draw or away)35.7%
Handicap -1Rangers win23.0%
Push (exactly one goal)23.0%
Loss54.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.9%
1-011.7%
0-010.4%

Rangers vs ST Mirren stats

Rangers and ST Mirren recent form

newest first
Rangers WWWLWD
ST Mirren LWDWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Rangers and ST Mirren going into this match

league record before kick-off

Rangers record

  • They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.

ST Mirren record

  • They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
  • 64% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Rangers vs ST Mirren head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

6Rangers wins 2Draws 2ST Mirren wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-08-16RangersST MirrenLeague Cup5-1
2026-03-15ST MirrenRangersScotland Premiership0-1
2025-12-30RangersST MirrenScotland Premiership2-1
2025-08-24ST MirrenRangersScotland Premiership1-1
2025-04-26ST MirrenRangersPremiership2-2
2025-02-22RangersST MirrenPremiership0-2
2024-12-26ST MirrenRangersPremiership2-1
2024-10-27RangersST MirrenPremiership2-1
2024-04-28ST MirrenRangersPremiership1-2
2024-01-27ST MirrenRangersPremiership0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Rangers vs ST Mirren odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 70.4%, draw 17.8%, away 11.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.33 5.25 8.00
1xBet 1.34 5.10 8.00
888Sport 1.33 5.00 8.00
Bet365 1.33 5.00 9.00
BetVictor 1.33 5.25 8.50
Betano 1.37 5.50 9.00
Betfair 1.30 5.50 8.50
Dafabet 1.36 5.60 8.00
Marathonbet 1.32 5.20 8.20
Pinnacle 1.35 5.45 8.76
SBO 1.33 4.94 6.66
Superbet 1.35 5.45 7.70
Unibet 1.29 5.25 8.00
William Hill 1.33 5.00 8.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.33 —
X 5.25 ▲ +0.25
2 8.00 ▼ -0.48

9 snapshots recorded, from .