Garuda Lions
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Scotland Premiership · Full time ·Matchday 3

ST Johnstone vs Celtic

0 – 1 Full time

52′M. Baur
55′Josh Campbell
63′J. HoltS. Stanton
63′J. FowlerR. Paton
67′O. SorensenB. Nygren
69′Reece McAlear
73′S. TounektiJ. Forrest
73′H. HassanC. Duran
74′J. CampbellD. Schmidt
74′T. StevenK. Fotheringham
82′Liam Scales
86′K. HoghS. Mheuka
87′J. CotterillM. Tait
87′L. ScalesK. Tierney
90′Mika Baur

McDiarmid Park, Perth

ST Johnstone 21%
Draw 22%
Celtic 57%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

9 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 9
40 Possession % 60
2 Corners 11
13 Fouls 9
0 Offsides 2
8 Saves 3
303 Accurate passes 530

ST Johnstone vs Celtic overview

Garuda Lions analysis: ST Johnstone vs Celtic

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityST JohnstoneDrawCeltic
Model39.8%25.4%34.8%
Market14.7%20.3%65.0%
Final21.0%21.6%57.5%
Edge+25.1%+5.2%-30.3%

Confidence: Low

Why Celtic

  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

ST Johnstone ↓ / Celtic → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 11% 8% 2 9% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 84%
3+ goals 62%
No goals 5%

ST Johnstone and Celtic expected goals

ST Johnstone 1.66
Celtic 1.54

Total expected goals: 3.21

ST Johnstone and Celtic attack and defence ratings

ST Johnstone

Attack 1.22 +22%
Defence 0.77 -23%

Celtic

Attack 1.68 +68%
Defence 0.88 -12%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

ST Johnstone vs Celtic: result vs prediction

ST Johnstone 0 – 1 Celtic

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 3 fixtures

Scotland Premiership

Before and after this match

ST Johnstone vs Celtic markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Celtic 57.5% 1.74 -30.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 62.1% 1.61 — —
Both teams to score Yes 64.7% 1.54 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 79.0% 1.27 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 65.3% 1.53 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2ST Johnstone21.0%
Draw21.6%
Celtic57.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.562.1%
Under 2.537.9%
Both teams to scoreYes64.7%
No35.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)42.5%
12 (either side)78.4%
X2 (draw or away)79.0%
Handicap -1Celtic win17.2%
Push (exactly one goal)17.5%
Loss65.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.4%
2-18.6%
1-28.0%

ST Johnstone vs Celtic stats

ST Johnstone and Celtic recent form

newest first
ST Johnstone WDLLWW
Celtic WWWLWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

ST Johnstone and Celtic going into this match

league record before kick-off

ST Johnstone record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.

Celtic record

  • They have won 5 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.

ST Johnstone vs Celtic head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

1ST Johnstone wins 1Draws 8Celtic wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-04-20ST JohnstoneCelticScotland FA Cup0-5
2025-04-06ST JohnstoneCelticPremiership1-0
2024-12-29CelticST JohnstonePremiership4-0
2024-09-28ST JohnstoneCelticPremiership0-6
2024-03-16CelticST JohnstonePremiership3-1
2023-12-03ST JohnstoneCelticPremiership1-3
2023-08-26CelticST JohnstonePremiership0-0
2023-02-05ST JohnstoneCelticPremiership1-4
2022-12-24CelticST JohnstonePremiership4-1
2022-10-08ST JohnstoneCelticPremiership1-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

ST Johnstone vs Celtic odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 14.7%, draw 20.3%, away 65.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 5.70 4.60 1.48
1xBet 6.40 4.60 1.44
888Sport 6.00 4.50 1.44
Bet365 6.00 4.75 1.48
BetVictor 6.50 4.60 1.44
Betano 6.70 5.00 1.47
Betfair 6.50 4.75 1.44
Dafabet 6.40 4.90 1.47
Marathonbet 6.55 4.65 1.42
Pinnacle 6.34 4.93 1.48
SBO 6.47 4.48 1.37
Superbet 6.10 4.80 1.47
Unibet 6.10 4.50 1.42
William Hill 6.00 4.50 1.44

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 6.37 ▲ +0.62
X 4.62 ▲ +0.22
2 1.44 ▼ -0.06

9 snapshots recorded, from .