UEFA Europa League · Full time ·League Stage - 1

Celtic vs Ferencvarosi TC

1 – 3 Full time

20′Bamidele Isa Yusuf
44′Mika Baur
45′Kristoffer Zachariassen
45′Oliver SorensenKasper Hogh
45′Olivér NagyAttila Osváth
47′Daniel Arzani
57′James ForrestSebastian Tounekti
57′Haissem HassanBenjamin Nygren
66′Bamidele Isa YusufJonathan Levi
66′Daniel ArzaniCallum O'Dowda
66′Mika BaurLuke McCowan
71′Ádám Gyula BagiKrisztian Lisztes
80′Colby DonovanAnthony Ralston
81′Mariano GómezNathan Zohore
86′Jonathan Levi
87′Attila Osváth

Celtic Park, GlasgowReferee: P. Kolaric

Celtic 53%
Draw 24%
Ferencvarosi TC 23%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

16 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 6
63 Possession % 37
11 Corners 3
18 Fouls 14
1 Offsides 1
3 Saves 3
533 Accurate passes 288

Celtic vs Ferencvarosi TC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Celtic vs Ferencvarosi TC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCelticDrawFerencvarosi TC
Model45.8%26.1%28.1%
Market56.0%23.2%20.7%
Final53.5%24.0%22.6%
Edge-10.2%+2.9%+7.4%

Confidence: Low

Why Celtic

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.69 vs 1.29.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Celtic ↓ / Ferencvarosi T → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 1 8% 12% 7% 2 7% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 81%
3+ goals 57%
No goals 6%

Celtic and Ferencvarosi TC expected goals

Celtic 1.69
Ferencvarosi TC 1.29

Total expected goals: 2.98

Celtic and Ferencvarosi TC attack and defence ratings

Celtic

Attack 1.62 +62%
Defence 0.83 -17%

Ferencvarosi TC

Attack 1.36 +36%
Defence 0.68 -32%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Celtic vs Ferencvarosi TC: result vs prediction

Celtic 1 – 3 Ferencvarosi TC

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other League Stage - 1 fixtures

UEFA Europa League

Before and after this match

Celtic vs Ferencvarosi TC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Celtic 53.5% 1.87 -10.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 57.1% 1.75 — —
Both teams to score Yes 60.1% 1.66 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 77.4% 1.29 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 54.1% 1.85 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Celtic53.5%
Draw24.0%
Ferencvarosi TC22.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.557.1%
Under 2.542.9%
Both teams to scoreYes60.1%
No39.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)77.4%
12 (either side)76.0%
X2 (draw or away)46.5%
Handicap -1Celtic win24.9%
Push (exactly one goal)21.0%
Loss54.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.2%
2-19.4%
1-07.5%

Celtic vs Ferencvarosi TC stats

Celtic and Ferencvarosi TC recent form

newest first
Celtic WWWWLW
Ferencvarosi TC DWWWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Celtic and Ferencvarosi TC going into this match

league record before kick-off

Ferencvarosi TC record

  • They have won 6 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
  • They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Celtic vs Ferencvarosi TC head-to-head

Last 3 meetings

2Celtic wins 0Draws 1Ferencvarosi TC wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2021-11-04Ferencvarosi TCCelticUEFA Europa League2-3
2021-10-19CelticFerencvarosi TCUEFA Europa League2-0
2020-08-26CelticFerencvarosi TCUEFA Champions League1-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Celtic vs Ferencvarosi TC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 56.0%, draw 23.2%, away 20.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.70 4.20 4.86
Bet365 1.67 4.10 4.75
BetVictor 1.65 4.10 4.50
Betano 1.78 4.15 4.55
Betfair 1.70 4.00 4.60
Marathonbet 1.68 4.15 4.80
Pinnacle 1.70 4.10 4.87
SBO 1.70 3.86 4.20
William Hill 1.67 3.80 4.60

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.70 ▲ +0.01
X 4.10 ▲ +0.04
2 4.60 ▲ +0.17

14 snapshots recorded, from .