NB I · 2026-09-20T17:30:00Z UTC Full time ·Matchday 8

Nyiregyhaza vs Ferencvarosi TC

1 – 1 Full time

7′			Zsombor Hös
38′			Milan Kovacs
45′			Csongor LakatosMariano Gómez
47′			Marko Regža
59′			Mariano Gómez
63′			Zsombor HösSandro Ingolitsch
63′			Marko Regžabatoum
64′			Balazs TothMartin Dala
72′			Daniel ArzaniVeljko Birmančević
72′			Krisztian LisztesFranko Kovačević
79′			Balázs MannerBalint Katona
80′			Vane Jovanov
85′			Marko Kvasina
85′			Toon Raemaekers
85′			Naby KeïtaÁdám Nagy
85′			Bamidele Isa YusufMatúš Bero
87′			Ádám Nagy
89′			György TomaRocco Žiković

Városi Stadion, NyiregyhazaReferee: Tamas Bognar

Nyiregyhaza

21%

Draw

23%

Ferencvarosi TC

55%

Confidence: Low · blended with market odds

Match stats

17	Shots	21
5	Shots on target	5
42	Possession %	58
3	Corners	7
22	Fouls	11
1	Offsides	4
4	Saves	4
195	Accurate passes	375

Nyiregyhaza vs Ferencvarosi TC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Nyiregyhaza vs Ferencvarosi TC

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	Nyiregyhaza	Draw	Ferencvarosi TC
Model	14.8%	21.6%	63.6%
Market	23.5%	24.1%	52.3%
Final	21.4%	23.5%	55.2%
Edge	-8.7%	-2.5%	+11.3%

Confidence: Low

Why Ferencvarosi TC

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.14 vs 0.95.
Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
The market prices Ferencvarosi TC below the model: +11.3 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

95%

2+ goals

82%

3+ goals

60%

No goals

Nyiregyhaza and Ferencvarosi TC expected goals

Nyiregyhaza

0.95

Ferencvarosi TC

2.14

Total expected goals: 3.09

Nyiregyhaza and Ferencvarosi TC attack and defence ratings

Nyiregyhaza

Attack

0.91 -9%

Defence

1.16 +16%

Ferencvarosi TC

Attack

1.27 +27%

Defence

0.65 -35%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Nyiregyhaza vs Ferencvarosi TC: result vs prediction

Nyiregyhaza 1 – 1 Ferencvarosi TC

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick	✓ Correct

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

NB I

Puskas Academy vs Budapest Honved · 2026-09-18
Kisvarda FC vs Paks — team news & stats · 2026-09-19
Debreceni VSC v Vasas — match page · 2026-09-19
MTK Budapest vs Gyori ETO FC · 2026-09-20
Ujpest vs Zalaegerszegi TE — team news & stats · 2026-09-20

Before and after this match

Nyiregyhaza, previous: Vasas – Nyiregyhaza, 2026-09-04
Nyiregyhaza, next: Zalaegerszegi TE – Nyiregyhaza, 2026-10-11
Ferencvarosi TC, previous: Celtic vs Ferencvarosi TC prediction
Ferencvarosi TC, next: Ferencvarosi TC – Debreceni VSC, 2026-10-10

Nyiregyhaza vs Ferencvarosi TC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	Ferencvarosi TC	55.2%	1.81	+11.3%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	59.7%	1.68	—	—
Both teams to score	Yes	55.1%	1.81	—	—
Double chance	X2 (draw or away)	78.6%	1.27	—	—
Handicap -1	Ferencvarosi TC win	40.8%	2.45	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	Nyiregyhaza	21.4%
	Draw	23.5%
	Ferencvarosi TC	55.2%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	59.7%
	Under 2.5	40.3%
Both teams to score	Yes	55.1%
	No	44.9%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	44.8%
	12 (either side)	76.5%
	X2 (draw or away)	78.6%
Handicap -1	Ferencvarosi TC win	40.8%
	Push (exactly one goal)	22.7%
	Loss	36.5%
Correct score (top 3)	0-2	10.4%
	1-1	10.2%
	1-2	9.9%

Nyiregyhaza vs Ferencvarosi TC stats

Nyiregyhaza and Ferencvarosi TC recent form

newest first

Nyiregyhaza	LDLWLL
Ferencvarosi TC	WDWWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Nyiregyhaza and Ferencvarosi TC going into this match

league record before kick-off

Nyiregyhaza record

They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Ferencvarosi TC record

They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
58% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Nyiregyhaza vs Ferencvarosi TC head-to-head

Last 9 meetings

1Nyiregyhaza wins 1Draws 7Ferencvarosi TC wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2026-03-08	Nyiregyhaza	Ferencvarosi TC	NB I	1-3
2025-11-22	Ferencvarosi TC	Nyiregyhaza	NB I	1-3
2025-08-09	Nyiregyhaza	Ferencvarosi TC	NB I	1-4
2025-04-20	Ferencvarosi TC	Nyiregyhaza	NB I	7-0
2024-12-15	Nyiregyhaza	Ferencvarosi TC	NB I	0-1
2024-09-01	Ferencvarosi TC	Nyiregyhaza	NB I	2-1
2024-04-24	Nyiregyhaza	Ferencvarosi TC	Magyar Kupa	1-2
2015-03-14	Nyiregyhaza	Ferencvarosi TC	NB I	0-0
2014-08-24	Ferencvarosi TC	Nyiregyhaza	NB I	3-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Nyiregyhaza vs Ferencvarosi TC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 23.5%, draw 24.1%, away 52.3%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
1xBet	3.88	3.80	1.71
Bet365	4.00	3.90	1.75
Betano	3.90	3.80	1.82
Betfair	3.90	3.80	1.70
Marathonbet	3.80	3.80	1.69
Pinnacle	3.98	4.17	1.78
SBO	3.55	3.40	1.75
William Hill	3.80	3.80	1.75

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.89 ▼ -0.01

X 3.80 ▲ +0.04

2 1.75 ▲ +0.05

10 snapshots recorded, from 2026-09-16T08:10:02Z.