Kisvarda FC
vs
Paks
0 – 1 Full time
| 45′ | Á ÉsikGennadiy Szikszai | ||
| 45′ | milan gyorfiM. Simuț | ||
| 45′ | Milan PetőJános Hahn | ||
| 68′ | Tonislav YordanovTeslim Abdulateef Balogun | ||
| 68′ | Christián HercBence Bíró | ||
| 71′ | Bence Lenzsér | ||
| 72′ | Erik SilyeAndor Lapu | ||
| 82′ | Zsolt Haraszti | ||
| 83′ | Zsolt HarasztiJózsef Windecker | ||
| 86′ | Marko MatanovicSoma Novothny | ||
| 86′ | Krisztian NagyJasmin Mešanović | ||
| 90′ | Kristóf PappKevin Horvath |
Match stats
| 15 | Shots | 13 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 54 | Possession % | 46 |
| 9 | Corners | 9 |
| 9 | Fouls | 6 |
| 1 | Offsides | 2 |
| 4 | Saves | 3 |
| 278 | Accurate passes | 229 |
Kisvarda FC vs Paks overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Kisvarda FC vs Paks
| Probability | Kisvarda FC | Draw | Paks |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36.2% | 25.4% | 38.4% |
| Market | 32.4% | 24.2% | 43.4% |
| Final | 33.3% | 24.5% | 42.2% |
| Edge | +3.8% | +1.2% | -5.0% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Kisvarda FC and Paks expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.22
Kisvarda FC and Paks attack and defence ratings
Kisvarda FC
Paks
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Kisvarda FC vs Paks: result vs prediction
Kisvarda FC 0 – 1 Paks
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Kisvarda FC vs Paks markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Paks | 42.2% | 2.37 | -5.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.3% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.0% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.5% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 61.6% | 1.62 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kisvarda FC | 33.3% |
| Draw | 24.5% | |
| Paks | 42.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 37.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.0% |
| No | 35.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 57.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 66.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Paks win | 19.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.5% | |
| Loss | 61.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.4% |
| 1-2 | 8.5% | |
| 2-1 | 8.2% |
Kisvarda FC vs Paks stats
Kisvarda FC and Paks recent form
| Kisvarda FC |
WDDLLW |
| Paks |
LDWLDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Kisvarda FC and Paks going into this match
Kisvarda FC record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
Paks record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 1.7 on the road.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Kisvarda FC vs Paks head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-28 | Kisvarda FC | Paks | NB I | 2-1 |
| 2025-11-08 | Paks | Kisvarda FC | NB I | 5-3 |
| 2025-08-03 | Kisvarda FC | Paks | NB I | 1-5 |
| 2025-04-02 | Kisvarda FC | Paks | Magyar Kupa | 0-1 |
| 2024-05-18 | Paks | Kisvarda FC | NB I | 2-1 |
| 2024-04-23 | Paks | Kisvarda FC | Magyar Kupa | 2-1 |
| 2024-02-25 | Kisvarda FC | Paks | NB I | 0-1 |
| 2023-10-29 | Paks | Kisvarda FC | NB I | 3-1 |
| 2023-04-23 | Paks | Kisvarda FC | NB I | 2-0 |
| 2023-01-28 | Kisvarda FC | Paks | NB I | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Kisvarda FC vs Paks odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 32.4%, draw 24.2%, away 43.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.82 | 3.66 | 2.09 |
| Bet365 | 3.00 | 3.80 | 2.10 |
| Betano | 2.95 | 3.85 | 2.12 |
| Betfair | 2.80 | 3.80 | 2.00 |
| Marathonbet | 2.76 | 3.66 | 2.07 |
| Pinnacle | 2.86 | 4.00 | 2.19 |
| SBO | 2.67 | 3.49 | 1.96 |
| William Hill | 2.80 | 3.70 | 2.15 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .