NB I · 2026-09-18T17:30:00Z UTC Full time ·Matchday 8

Puskas Academy vs Budapest Honved

3 – 1 Full time

16′			András Németh
24′			Roland Orjan
31′			Tamás Somogyi
38′			Kevin Kállai
41′			Roland Orjan
45′			Reda EddarrajPablo García Ruiz
66′			Palkó Dárdai
67′			Tamás SomogyiKevin Sydney Kantor
67′			Kevin KállaiBranko Pauljević
67′			Á. SomogyiI. Pekár
70′			Branko Pauljević
73′			András NémethLamin Colley
76′			Kevin Sydney Kantor
77′			Palkó DárdaiBence vekony
84′			Wojciech Golla
87′			Roland OrjanZ. Varga
87′			Zsolt NagyBendegúz Farkas
88′			Michael okekeDaniel Brügger
88′			Ádám SzamosiAlex Szabó
90′			Deian Boldor

Pancho Aréna, FelcsutReferee: Marton Rusz

Puskas Academy

45%

Draw

26%

Budapest Honved

28%

Confidence: Low · blended with market odds

Match stats

16	Shots	16
5	Shots on target	5
52	Possession %	48
9	Corners	5
17	Fouls	22
1	Offsides	1
4	Saves	2
271	Accurate passes	348

Puskas Academy vs Budapest Honved overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Puskas Academy vs Budapest Honved

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	Puskas Academy	Draw	Budapest Honved
Model	44.1%	25.8%	30.1%
Market	45.9%	26.6%	27.5%
Final	45.5%	26.4%	28.2%
Edge	-1.8%	-0.8%	+2.6%

Confidence: Low

Why Puskas Academy

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.70 vs 1.38.
Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

94%

2+ goals

82%

3+ goals

59%

No goals

Puskas Academy and Budapest Honved expected goals

Puskas Academy

1.70

Budapest Honved

1.38

Total expected goals: 3.08

Puskas Academy and Budapest Honved attack and defence ratings

Puskas Academy

Attack

0.95 -5%

Defence

0.92 -8%

Budapest Honved

Attack

1.05 +5%

Defence

1.11 +11%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Puskas Academy vs Budapest Honved: result vs prediction

Puskas Academy 3 – 1 Budapest Honved

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✓ Correct
BTTS pick	✓ Correct

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

NB I

Kisvarda FC vs Paks — team news & stats · 2026-09-19
Debreceni VSC v Vasas — match page · 2026-09-19
MTK Budapest vs Gyori ETO FC · 2026-09-20
Ujpest vs Zalaegerszegi TE — team news & stats · 2026-09-20
Nyiregyhaza v Ferencvarosi TC — match page · 2026-09-20

Before and after this match

Puskas Academy, previous: Zalaegerszegi TE – Puskas Academy, 2026-09-06
Puskas Academy, next: Gyori ETO FC vs Puskas Academy prediction
Budapest Honved, previous: Gyori ETO FC vs Budapest Honved prediction
Budapest Honved, next: Budapest Honved vs Ujpest prediction

Puskas Academy vs Budapest Honved markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	Puskas Academy	45.5%	2.20	-1.8%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	59.4%	1.68	—	—
Both teams to score	Yes	62.2%	1.61	—	—
Double chance	12 (either side)	73.6%	1.36	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	55.9%	1.79	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	Puskas Academy	45.5%
	Draw	26.4%
	Budapest Honved	28.2%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	59.4%
	Under 2.5	40.6%
Both teams to score	Yes	62.2%
	No	37.8%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	71.8%
	12 (either side)	73.6%
	X2 (draw or away)	54.5%
Handicap -1	Puskas Academy win	23.8%
	Push (exactly one goal)	20.3%
	Loss	55.9%
Correct score (top 3)	1-1	11.9%
	2-1	9.2%
	1-2	7.4%

Puskas Academy vs Budapest Honved stats

Puskas Academy and Budapest Honved recent form

newest first

Puskas Academy	LLWWWL
Budapest Honved	LWLDDD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Puskas Academy and Budapest Honved going into this match

league record before kick-off

Puskas Academy record

They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Budapest Honved record

They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Puskas Academy vs Budapest Honved head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

6Puskas Academy wins 1Draws 3Budapest Honved wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2023-05-27	Puskas Academy	Budapest Honved	NB I	2-1
2023-03-05	Budapest Honved	Puskas Academy	NB I	3-1
2022-10-15	Puskas Academy	Budapest Honved	NB I	1-0
2022-05-15	Puskas Academy	Budapest Honved	NB I	1-2
2022-02-26	Budapest Honved	Puskas Academy	NB I	0-0
2021-10-31	Puskas Academy	Budapest Honved	NB I	3-1
2021-02-27	Puskas Academy	Budapest Honved	NB I	1-2
2020-11-29	Budapest Honved	Puskas Academy	NB I	0-1
2020-11-04	Puskas Academy	Budapest Honved	NB I	1-0
2020-06-27	Puskas Academy	Budapest Honved	NB I	2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Puskas Academy vs Budapest Honved odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 45.9%, draw 26.6%, away 27.5%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
1xBet	1.94	3.34	3.43
Bet365	1.95	3.70	3.40
Betano	2.10	3.55	3.25
Betfair	1.95	3.60	3.10
Marathonbet	1.93	3.32	3.34
Pinnacle	2.03	3.54	3.61
SBO	2.03	3.16	2.94
William Hill	2.05	3.30	3.30

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.99 ▼ -0.04

X 3.44 ▼ -0.06

2 3.32 ▲ +0.07

10 snapshots recorded, from 2026-09-14T08:10:01Z.