Budapest Honved
vs
Ujpest
1 – 1 Full time
| 17′ | I. Pekár | ||
| 45′ | Tamás SomogyiAdi Alić | ||
| 55′ | Krisztofer HorvathÁbel Krajcsovics | ||
| 55′ | Muhamed TijaniGleofilo Vlijter | ||
| 58′ | Aljosa Matko | ||
| 66′ | I. PekárReda Eddarraj | ||
| 66′ | Alberto MariPatrik Pinte | ||
| 66′ | Ferenc UjváryAttila Fiola | ||
| 68′ | Heitor Marinho dos Santos | ||
| 70′ | Gleofilo Vlijter | ||
| 73′ | Patrik Pinte | ||
| 79′ | Reda Eddarraj | ||
| 81′ | Patrik Pinte | ||
| 84′ | Oleksandr SafronovDeian Boldor | ||
| 84′ | Ákos ZuigeberBranko Pauljević | ||
| 90′ | Etienne AmenyidoTizian Valentino Scharmer |
Match stats
| 9 | Shots | 13 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 46 | Possession % | 54 |
| 0 | Corners | 13 |
| 14 | Fouls | 16 |
| 1 | Offsides | 2 |
| 4 | Saves | 2 |
| 179 | Accurate passes | 359 |
Budapest Honved vs Ujpest overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Budapest Honved vs Ujpest
| Probability | Budapest Honved | Draw | Ujpest |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 32.4% | 22.1% | 45.5% |
| Market | 37.5% | 25.8% | 36.7% |
| Final | 36.2% | 24.9% | 38.9% |
| Edge | -1.3% | -0.9% | +2.2% |
Why Ujpest
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.13 vs 1.81.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Ujpest below our published probability: +2.2 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Budapest Honved and Ujpest expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.93
Budapest Honved and Ujpest attack and defence ratings
Budapest Honved
Ujpest
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Budapest Honved vs Ujpest: result vs prediction
Budapest Honved 1 – 1 Ujpest
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Budapest Honved vs Ujpest markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ujpest | 38.9% | 2.57 | +2.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 75.3% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 74.4% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.1% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 54.9% | 1.82 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Budapest Honved | 36.2% |
| Draw | 24.9% | |
| Ujpest | 38.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 75.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 24.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 74.4% |
| No | 25.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 61.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 63.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Ujpest win | 26.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.5% | |
| Loss | 54.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 8.2% |
| 1-2 | 8.0% | |
| 2-2 | 7.2% |
Budapest Honved vs Ujpest stats
Budapest Honved and Ujpest recent form
| Budapest Honved |
LLWLDD |
| Ujpest |
WDWLDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Budapest Honved and Ujpest going into this match
Budapest Honved record
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Ujpest record
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 1.8 on the road.
Budapest Honved vs Ujpest head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-04-21 | Budapest Honved | Ujpest | NB I | 0-1 |
| 2023-01-29 | Ujpest | Budapest Honved | NB I | 2-1 |
| 2022-09-01 | Budapest Honved | Ujpest | NB I | 0-0 |
| 2022-03-20 | Ujpest | Budapest Honved | NB I | 0-2 |
| 2021-11-27 | Budapest Honved | Ujpest | NB I | 1-2 |
| 2021-08-15 | Ujpest | Budapest Honved | NB I | 1-1 |
| 2021-04-03 | Budapest Honved | Ujpest | NB I | 2-2 |
| 2020-12-20 | Ujpest | Budapest Honved | NB I | 2-1 |
| 2020-09-27 | Budapest Honved | Ujpest | NB I | 1-2 |
| 2020-06-06 | Ujpest | Budapest Honved | NB I | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Budapest Honved vs Ujpest odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 37.5%, draw 25.8%, away 36.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.41 | 3.40 | 2.44 |
| Bet365 | 2.45 | 3.70 | 2.50 |
| Betano | 2.47 | 3.75 | 2.50 |
| Betfair | 2.45 | 3.60 | 2.38 |
| Dafabet | 2.47 | 3.65 | 2.55 |
| Marathonbet | 2.41 | 3.40 | 2.44 |
| Pinnacle | 2.58 | 3.55 | 2.63 |
| SBO | 2.32 | 3.33 | 2.37 |
| William Hill | 2.50 | 3.30 | 2.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .