Ujpest vs Puskas Academy Prediction — 17 Oct 2026

Ujpest vs Puskas Academy overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Ujpest vs Puskas Academy

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	Ujpest	Draw	Puskas Academy
Model	37.9%	25.8%	36.3%
Market	42.0%	25.8%	32.2%
Final	41.0%	25.8%	33.3%
Edge	-4.1%	+0.0%	+4.1%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

95%

2+ goals

83%

3+ goals

61%

No goals

5%

Ujpest and Puskas Academy expected goals

Ujpest

1.59

Puskas Academy

1.55

Total expected goals: 3.14

Ujpest and Puskas Academy attack and defence ratings

Ujpest

Attack

1.20 +20%

Defence

1.07 +7%

Puskas Academy

Attack

1.01 +1%

Defence

0.82 -18%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Ujpest vs Puskas Academy: result vs prediction

Ujpest 0 – 1 Puskas Academy

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick	✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

NB I

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Nyiregyhaza v Budapest Honved — match page · 2026-10-17
Paks vs Gyori ETO FC · 2026-10-17
Debreceni VSC v Zalaegerszegi TE — match page · 2026-10-18
Kisvarda FC vs Ferencvarosi TC — team news & stats · 2026-10-18

Before and after this match

Ujpest, previous: Budapest Honved vs Ujpest prediction
Ujpest, next: Gyori ETO FC vs Ujpest prediction
Puskas Academy, previous: Gyori ETO FC vs Puskas Academy prediction
Puskas Academy, next: Puskas Academy vs Nyiregyhaza: odds and pick

Ujpest vs Puskas Academy markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	Ujpest	41.0%	2.44	-4.1%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	60.7%	1.65	—	—
Both teams to score	Yes	63.8%	1.57	—	—
Double chance	12 (either side)	74.2%	1.35	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	62.2%	1.61	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	Ujpest	41.0%
	Draw	25.8%
	Puskas Academy	33.3%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	60.7%
	Under 2.5	39.3%
Both teams to score	Yes	63.8%
	No	36.2%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	66.7%
	12 (either side)	74.2%
	X2 (draw or away)	59.0%
Handicap -1	Ujpest win	19.2%
	Push (exactly one goal)	18.5%
	Loss	62.2%
Correct score (top 3)	1-1	11.7%
	2-1	8.5%
	1-2	8.3%

Ujpest vs Puskas Academy stats

Ujpest and Puskas Academy recent form

newest first

Ujpest	DWDWLD
Puskas Academy	WWLLWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Ujpest and Puskas Academy going into this match

league record before kick-off

Ujpest record

They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 1.6 on the road.

Puskas Academy record

They have won 6 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Ujpest vs Puskas Academy head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

1Ujpest wins 4Draws 5Puskas Academy wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2026-04-25	Puskas Academy	Ujpest	NB I	2-0
2026-01-31	Ujpest	Puskas Academy	NB I	0-1
2025-10-04	Puskas Academy	Ujpest	NB I	0-0
2025-03-09	Ujpest	Puskas Academy	NB I	1-1
2024-11-02	Puskas Academy	Ujpest	NB I	1-1
2024-07-28	Ujpest	Puskas Academy	NB I	1-2
2024-03-08	Puskas Academy	Ujpest	NB I	0-2
2023-11-11	Ujpest	Puskas Academy	NB I	1-2
2023-08-04	Puskas Academy	Ujpest	NB I	3-3
2023-03-19	Puskas Academy	Ujpest	NB I	5-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Ujpest vs Puskas Academy odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 42.0%, draw 25.8%, away 32.2%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
1xBet	2.15	3.48	2.83
Bet365	2.10	3.50	2.75
Betano	2.22	3.60	2.92
Betfair	2.15	3.70	2.80
Dafabet	2.20	3.60	2.95
Marathonbet	2.13	3.48	2.77
Pinnacle	2.27	3.73	2.94
SBO	2.05	3.25	2.68
William Hill	2.20	3.50	2.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.15 ▼ -0.02

X 3.50 ▼ -0.04

2 2.80 ▼ -0.04

12 snapshots recorded, from 2026-10-12T08:10:03Z.