NB I · 2026-10-11T17:00:00Z UTC Full time ·Matchday 9

Gyori ETO FC vs Puskas Academy

0 – 1 Full time

11′			Dániel Lukács
23′			E. Juárez
29′			Miljan·Krpic
29′			Martin Kern
45′			Georgiy Harutyunyan
45′			Élan RicardoŽeljko Gavrić
60′			Jewison Bennetteviktor djukanovic
60′			Marcell huszarBalint Selyem
61′			Urho NissiläMichael okeke
71′			Palkó DárdaiZsolt Krupa
72′			Balint SelyemClaudiu Bumba
75′			Peter AgbaM. Marong
85′			Zsolt Krupa
86′			András NémethLamin Colley
86′			Dániel LukácsMikael Soisalo
86′			Martin KernZ. Varga
89′			Roland Orjan

Gyori Eto, GyorReferee: M. Kapraly

Gyori ETO FC

40%

Draw

26%

Puskas Academy

34%

Confidence: Low · blended with market odds

Match stats

12	Shots	14
2	Shots on target	5
59	Possession %	41
4	Corners	6
8	Fouls	25
1	Offsides	0
4	Saves	2
544	Accurate passes	242

Gyori ETO FC vs Puskas Academy overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Gyori ETO FC vs Puskas Academy

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	Gyori ETO FC	Draw	Puskas Academy
Model	43.4%	26.5%	30.0%
Market	38.9%	25.7%	35.4%
Final	40.0%	25.9%	34.0%
Edge	+1.1%	+0.2%	-1.3%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Gyori ETO FC

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.62 vs 1.32.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

94%

2+ goals

80%

3+ goals

56%

No goals

Gyori ETO FC and Puskas Academy expected goals

Gyori ETO FC

1.62

Puskas Academy

1.32

Total expected goals: 2.94

Gyori ETO FC and Puskas Academy attack and defence ratings

Gyori ETO FC

Attack

1.12 +12%

Defence

0.88 -12%

Puskas Academy

Attack

1.05 +5%

Defence

0.90 -10%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Gyori ETO FC vs Puskas Academy: result vs prediction

Gyori ETO FC 0 – 1 Puskas Academy

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick	✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

NB I

Vasas v Kisvarda FC — match page · 2026-10-10
Ferencvarosi TC vs Debreceni VSC · 2026-10-10
Paks vs MTK Budapest — team news & stats · 2026-10-10
Zalaegerszegi TE v Nyiregyhaza — match page · 2026-10-11
Budapest Honved vs Ujpest — team news & stats · 2026-10-11

Before and after this match

Gyori ETO FC, previous: MTK Budapest v Gyori ETO FC analysis
Gyori ETO FC, next: Paks vs Gyori ETO FC: odds and pick
Puskas Academy, previous: Puskas Academy vs Budapest Honved: odds and pick
Puskas Academy, next: Ujpest v Puskas Academy analysis

Gyori ETO FC vs Puskas Academy markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	Gyori ETO FC	40.0%	2.50	+1.1%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	56.3%	1.78	—	—
Both teams to score	Yes	59.9%	1.67	—	—
Double chance	12 (either side)	74.1%	1.35	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	56.6%	1.77	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	Gyori ETO FC	40.0%
	Draw	25.9%
	Puskas Academy	34.0%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	56.3%
	Under 2.5	43.7%
Both teams to score	Yes	59.9%
	No	40.1%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	66.0%
	12 (either side)	74.1%
	X2 (draw or away)	60.0%
Handicap -1	Gyori ETO FC win	22.9%
	Push (exactly one goal)	20.5%
	Loss	56.6%
Correct score (top 3)	1-1	12.4%
	2-1	9.2%
	1-2	7.5%

Gyori ETO FC vs Puskas Academy stats

Gyori ETO FC and Puskas Academy recent form

newest first

Gyori ETO FC	WWLDWD
Puskas Academy	WLLWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Gyori ETO FC and Puskas Academy going into this match

league record before kick-off

Gyori ETO FC record

They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Puskas Academy record

They have won 5 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Gyori ETO FC vs Puskas Academy head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

8Gyori ETO FC wins 0Draws 2Puskas Academy wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2026-04-10	Puskas Academy	Gyori ETO FC	NB I	1-4
2025-12-20	Gyori ETO FC	Puskas Academy	NB I	2-0
2025-09-20	Puskas Academy	Gyori ETO FC	NB I	0-2
2025-04-12	Gyori ETO FC	Puskas Academy	NB I	2-0
2024-12-07	Puskas Academy	Gyori ETO FC	NB I	0-3
2024-12-04	Gyori ETO FC	Puskas Academy	NB I	0-2
2021-10-27	Gyori ETO FC	Puskas Academy	Magyar Kupa	1-0
2015-04-26	Gyori ETO FC	Puskas Academy	NB I	1-0
2014-10-03	Puskas Academy	Gyori ETO FC	NB I	2-1
2014-05-03	Puskas Academy	Gyori ETO FC	NB I	0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Gyori ETO FC vs Puskas Academy odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 38.9%, draw 25.7%, away 35.4%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
1xBet	2.38	3.40	2.48
Bet365	2.35	3.60	2.70
Betano	2.37	3.65	2.67
Betfair	2.38	3.60	2.45
Dafabet	2.34	3.65	2.70
Marathonbet	2.38	3.40	2.48
Pinnacle	2.43	3.70	2.72
SBO	2.20	3.30	2.54
William Hill	2.40	3.40	2.62

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.38 ▲ +0.16

X 3.60 —

2 2.62 ▼ -0.17

14 snapshots recorded, from 2026-10-05T08:10:01Z.