Garuda Lions
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NB I · Full time ·Matchday 10

Paks vs Gyori ETO FC

1 – 2 Full time

Fehérvári úti stadion, Paks

Paks 46%
Draw 24%
Gyori ETO FC 30%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Paks vs Gyori ETO FC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Paks vs Gyori ETO FC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityPaksDrawGyori ETO FC
Model42.5%24.8%32.7%
Market47.5%23.6%28.9%
Final46.2%23.9%29.9%
Edge-5.0%+1.2%+3.8%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Paks ↓ / Gyori ETO FC → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 11% 8% 2 6% 9% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 85%
3+ goals 64%
No goals 5%

Paks and Gyori ETO FC expected goals

Paks 1.77
Gyori ETO FC 1.54

Total expected goals: 3.31

Paks and Gyori ETO FC attack and defence ratings

Paks

Attack 1.26 +26%
Defence 1.06 +6%

Gyori ETO FC

Attack 1.02 +2%
Defence 0.88 -12%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Paks vs Gyori ETO FC: result vs prediction

Paks 1 – 2 Gyori ETO FC

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

NB I

Before and after this match

Paks vs Gyori ETO FC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Paks 46.2% 2.16 -5.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 64.2% 1.56 — —
Both teams to score Yes 66.1% 1.51 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 76.1% 1.31 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 57.6% 1.74 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Paks46.2%
Draw23.9%
Gyori ETO FC29.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.564.2%
Under 2.535.8%
Both teams to scoreYes66.1%
No33.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)70.1%
12 (either side)76.1%
X2 (draw or away)53.8%
Handicap -1Paks win23.1%
Push (exactly one goal)19.3%
Loss57.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.0%
2-18.8%
1-27.7%

Paks vs Gyori ETO FC stats

Paks and Gyori ETO FC recent form

newest first
Paks WWLDWL
Gyori ETO FC LWWLDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Paks and Gyori ETO FC going into this match

league record before kick-off

Paks record

  • They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
  • They average 2.6 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Gyori ETO FC record

  • They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).

Paks vs Gyori ETO FC head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

1Paks wins 4Draws 5Gyori ETO FC wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-22PaksGyori ETO FCNB I3-4
2025-11-01Gyori ETO FCPaksNB I0-0
2025-07-27PaksGyori ETO FCNB I3-3
2025-04-26Gyori ETO FCPaksNB I2-0
2025-02-01PaksGyori ETO FCNB I1-1
2024-09-22Gyori ETO FCPaksNB I2-1
2014-11-30Gyori ETO FCPaksNB I2-2
2014-07-27PaksGyori ETO FCNB I2-0
2014-03-22PaksGyori ETO FCNB I1-2
2013-08-31Gyori ETO FCPaksNB I2-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Paks vs Gyori ETO FC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 47.8%, draw 23.3%, away 28.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.90 3.82 3.14
Bet365 1.80 3.90 3.20
Betano 1.95 4.00 3.25
Betfair 1.85 4.10 3.20
Dafabet 1.94 4.00 3.30
Marathonbet 1.88 3.82 3.08
Pinnacle 2.05 4.13 3.12
SBO 1.88 3.48 2.85
William Hill 2.00 3.80 3.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.90 ▲ +0.05
X 3.82 ▼ -0.21
2 3.12 ▼ -0.07

11 snapshots recorded, from .