Kisvarda FC
vs
Ferencvarosi TC
Garuda Lions Prediction: Ferencvarosi TC
0 – 1 Predicted score · 14% model probability
Kisvarda FC vs Ferencvarosi TC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Kisvarda FC vs Ferencvarosi TC
| Probability | Kisvarda FC | Draw | Ferencvarosi TC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 19.4% | 29.6% | 50.9% |
| Market | 16.4% | 21.5% | 62.2% |
| Final | 17.1% | 23.5% | 59.4% |
| Edge | +3.0% | +8.2% | -11.2% |
Why Ferencvarosi TC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.42 vs 0.78.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.52, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Kisvarda FC vs Ferencvarosi TC match preview
Kisvarda FC faces Ferencvarosi TC in their upcoming match, with the probabilities indicating a 17% chance of a Kisvarda victory, a 23% likelihood of a draw, and a 60% chance for Ferencvarosi to win. The most likely scoreline predicted by the model is 0-1, occurring at a rate of 15%. The expected goals tally shows Kisvarda FC at 0.77 and Ferencvarosi TC at 1.41, suggesting a potential struggle for Kisvarda to find the net.
In terms of recent form, Kisvarda FC has recorded two draws, a win, and two losses in their last six matches, while Ferencvarosi TC has been more consistent with three wins and three draws in the same timeframe. The head-to-head record favors Ferencvarosi TC, who have won two of the last three encounters, with Kisvarda yet to secure a victory against them.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Kisvarda FC and Ferencvarosi TC expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.20
Kisvarda FC and Ferencvarosi TC attack and defence ratings
Kisvarda FC
Ferencvarosi TC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Kisvarda FC vs Ferencvarosi TC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ferencvarosi TC | 59.4% | 1.68 | -11.2% | 1.52 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 62.1% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 57.6% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 82.9% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 49.1% | 2.04 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kisvarda FC | 17.1% |
| Draw | 23.5% | |
| Ferencvarosi TC | 59.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 37.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 62.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42.4% |
| No | 57.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 40.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 82.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Ferencvarosi TC win | 26.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.0% | |
| Loss | 49.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-1 | 14.5% |
| 1-1 | 13.5% | |
| 0-0 | 12.3% |
Kisvarda FC vs Ferencvarosi TC stats
Kisvarda FC and Ferencvarosi TC recent form
| Kisvarda FC |
DLWDDL |
| Ferencvarosi TC |
WDDWDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Kisvarda FC and Ferencvarosi TC season so far
Kisvarda FC record
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
Ferencvarosi TC record
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 62% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Kisvarda FC vs Ferencvarosi TC head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-22 | Kisvarda FC | Ferencvarosi TC | NB I | 1-1 |
| 2025-12-07 | Ferencvarosi TC | Kisvarda FC | NB I | 3-0 |
| 2025-12-04 | Kisvarda FC | Ferencvarosi TC | NB I | 0-1 |
| 2024-04-20 | Ferencvarosi TC | Kisvarda FC | NB I | 0-0 |
| 2024-02-03 | Kisvarda FC | Ferencvarosi TC | NB I | 1-3 |
| 2023-09-24 | Ferencvarosi TC | Kisvarda FC | NB I | 1-0 |
| 2023-05-06 | Ferencvarosi TC | Kisvarda FC | NB I | 3-0 |
| 2023-02-11 | Kisvarda FC | Ferencvarosi TC | NB I | 0-0 |
| 2022-09-11 | Ferencvarosi TC | Kisvarda FC | NB I | 3-0 |
| 2022-03-06 | Ferencvarosi TC | Kisvarda FC | NB I | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Kisvarda FC vs Ferencvarosi TC odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 16.6%, draw 21.4%, away 62.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 5.63 | 4.20 | 1.45 |
| Bet365 | 5.25 | 4.20 | 1.45 |
| Betano | 5.40 | 4.35 | 1.52 |
| Betfair | 5.50 | 4.40 | 1.40 |
| Dafabet | 5.40 | 4.50 | 1.49 |
| Marathonbet | 5.40 | 4.20 | 1.44 |
| Pinnacle | 5.81 | 4.50 | 1.47 |
| SBO | 4.81 | 3.88 | 1.43 |
| William Hill | 5.50 | 4.20 | 1.44 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .