Ferencvarosi TC
vs
Plzen
Garuda Lions Prediction: Ferencvarosi TC
2 β 0 Predicted score Β· 10% model probability
Ferencvarosi TC vs Plzen overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Ferencvarosi TC vs Plzen
| Probability | Ferencvarosi TC | Draw | Plzen |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 72.5% | 16.9% | 10.6% |
| Market | 49.0% | 25.1% | 25.9% |
| Final | 54.9% | 23.1% | 22.0% |
| Edge | +23.5% | -8.2% | -15.3% |
Why Ferencvarosi TC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.63 vs 0.95.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Ferencvarosi TC below the model: +23.5 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 1.99, recorded β the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Ferencvarosi TC vs Plzen match preview
Ferencvarosi TC is favored to win against Plzen, with model probabilities indicating a 72% chance of victory for the home side, while Plzen has an 11% chance. The expected goals suggest a strong offensive performance from Ferencvarosi TC at 2.63, contrasting with Plzen's 0.95. The most likely scoreline is 2-0, occurring with a 10% probability.
In terms of recent form, Ferencvarosi TC has shown consistency with a record of D-W-D-W-W-W, while Plzen's form has been less favorable, registering L-L-L-D-W-D. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals stands at 69%, and there is a 58% chance that both teams will score in the match. The teams have met once previously, resulting in one draw.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Ferencvarosi TC and Plzen expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.58
Ferencvarosi TC and Plzen attack and defence ratings
Ferencvarosi TC
Plzen
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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Before and after this match
Ferencvarosi TC vs Plzen markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ferencvarosi TC | 54.9% | 1.82 | +23.5% | 1.99 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.3% | 1.44 | β | β |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.6% | 1.74 | β | β |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.0% | 1.28 | β | β |
| Handicap -1 | Ferencvarosi TC win | 52.0% | 1.92 | β | β |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ferencvarosi TC | 54.9% |
| Draw | 23.1% | |
| Plzen | 22.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 30.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.6% |
| No | 42.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 45.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Ferencvarosi TC win | 52.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.5% | |
| Loss | 27.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 9.6% |
| 2-1 | 9.2% | |
| 3-0 | 8.5% |
Ferencvarosi TC vs Plzen stats
Ferencvarosi TC and Plzen recent form
| Ferencvarosi TC |
DWDWWW |
| Plzen |
LLLDWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Ferencvarosi TC and Plzen season so far
Ferencvarosi TC record
- They have won 6 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Ferencvarosi TC vs Plzen head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-25 | Ferencvarosi TC | Plzen | UEFA Europa League | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Ferencvarosi TC vs Plzen odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 49.0%, draw 25.1%, away 25.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.95 | 3.94 | 3.79 |
| Bet365 | 1.90 | 3.50 | 3.70 |
| BetVictor | 1.87 | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| Betano | 1.95 | 3.75 | 3.70 |
| Betfair | 1.95 | 3.80 | 3.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.99 | 3.75 | 3.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.92 | 3.88 | 3.74 |
| Pinnacle | 1.88 | 4.01 | 3.68 |
| SBO | 1.92 | 3.21 | 3.16 |
| William Hill | 1.91 | 3.60 | 3.60 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .