UEFA Europa League
·
Full time
·League Stage - 2
Ferencvarosi TC
vs
Plzen
2 – 1 Full time
| 7′ | Attila Osváth | ||
| 49′ | Kristoffer Zachariassen | ||
| 64′ | Christopher KabongoBaboucarr Faal | ||
| 64′ | Jiří Maxim PanošTomáš Ladra | ||
| 64′ | Patrik HrošovskýLukáš Červ | ||
| 64′ | Krisztian LisztesDaniel Arzani | ||
| 78′ | Alexandr SojkaSalim Fago Lawal | ||
| 78′ | Amar MemićDenis Višinský | ||
| 81′ | Kristoffer Zachariassen | ||
| 84′ | Bamidele Isa YusufHabib Maïga | ||
| 84′ | Veljko BirmančevićCallum O'Dowda | ||
| 90′ | Denis Višinský | ||
| 90′ | Kristoffer ZachariassenÁdám Madarász | ||
| 90′ | marius corbuJonathan Levi | ||
| 90′ | Radoslav Kovac | ||
| 90′ | Lukáš Červ | ||
| 90′ | Toon Raemaekers | ||
| 90′ | Habib Maïga |
Ferencvarosi TC
53%
Draw
24%
Plzen
23%
Match stats
| 12 | Shots | 18 |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Shots on target | 7 |
| 54 | Possession % | 46 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 11 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Offsides | 0 |
| 6 | Saves | 4 |
| 352 | Accurate passes | 305 |
Ferencvarosi TC vs Plzen overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Ferencvarosi TC vs Plzen
| Probability | Ferencvarosi TC | Draw | Plzen |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 63.2% | 20.8% | 16.0% |
| Market | 49.5% | 25.0% | 25.5% |
| Final | 53.0% | 23.9% | 23.1% |
| Edge | +3.4% | -1.0% | -2.4% |
Why Ferencvarosi TC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.24 vs 1.10.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Ferencvarosi TC below our published probability: +3.4 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
96%
2+ goals
85%
3+ goals
65%
No goals
4%
Ferencvarosi TC and Plzen expected goals
Ferencvarosi TC
2.24
Plzen
1.10
Total expected goals: 3.33
Ferencvarosi TC and Plzen attack and defence ratings
Ferencvarosi TC
Attack
1.25 +25%
Defence
0.74 -26%
Plzen
Attack
1.28 +28%
Defence
1.17 +17%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Ferencvarosi TC vs Plzen: result vs prediction
Ferencvarosi TC 2 – 1 Plzen
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other League Stage - 2 fixtures
- Lyon vs Crystal Palace
- AZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Beer Sheva
- Lech Poznan v Bayer Leverkusen — match page
- Red Bull Salzburg v AC Milan — match page
- Sparta Praha vs Lillestrom — team news & stats
- Union St. Gilloise v Real Sociedad — match page
- Celje vs Omonia Nicosia — team news & stats
- Torreense vs Sunderland — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Ferencvarosi TC vs Plzen markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ferencvarosi TC | 53.0% | 1.89 | +3.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.1% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.1% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.9% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Ferencvarosi TC win | 40.4% | 2.47 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ferencvarosi TC | 53.0% |
| Draw | 23.9% | |
| Plzen | 23.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 34.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.1% |
| No | 39.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 47.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Ferencvarosi TC win | 40.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.8% | |
| Loss | 37.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 9.8% |
| 1-1 | 9.5% | |
| 2-0 | 9.0% |
Ferencvarosi TC vs Plzen stats
Ferencvarosi TC and Plzen recent form
| Ferencvarosi TC |
DDWDWW |
| Plzen |
WLLLDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Ferencvarosi TC and Plzen going into this match
Ferencvarosi TC record
- They have won 7 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 1.8 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Ferencvarosi TC vs Plzen head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
1Ferencvarosi TC wins
2Draws
2Plzen wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-25 | Ferencvarosi TC | Plzen | UEFA Europa League | 1-1 |
| 2025-02-20 | Plzen | Ferencvarosi TC | UEFA Europa League | 3-0 |
| 2025-02-13 | Ferencvarosi TC | Plzen | UEFA Europa League | 1-0 |
| 2024-01-25 | Ferencvarosi TC | Plzen | Friendlies Clubs | 1-3 |
| 2023-01-16 | Plzen | Ferencvarosi TC | Friendlies Clubs | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Ferencvarosi TC vs Plzen odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 49.5%, draw 25.0%, away 25.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.95 | 3.94 | 3.79 |
| Bet365 | 1.91 | 3.90 | 3.70 |
| BetVictor | 1.90 | 3.75 | 3.60 |
| Betano | 1.98 | 3.80 | 3.90 |
| Betfair | 1.91 | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| Dafabet | 2.00 | 3.80 | 3.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.92 | 3.88 | 3.74 |
| Pinnacle | 1.94 | 3.89 | 3.80 |
| SBO | 1.91 | 3.56 | 3.52 |
| William Hill | 1.91 | 3.60 | 3.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.92 —
X
3.80 ▲ +0.05
2
3.72 ▲ +0.08
14 snapshots recorded, from .