Ferencvarosi TC
vs
Debreceni VSC
Garuda Lions Prediction: Ferencvarosi TC
2 – 0 Predicted score · 10% model probability
Ferencvarosi TC vs Debreceni VSC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Ferencvarosi TC vs Debreceni VSC
| Probability | Ferencvarosi TC | Draw | Debreceni VSC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 70.7% | 18.1% | 11.2% |
| Market | 70.9% | 17.0% | 12.1% |
| Final | 70.9% | 17.3% | 11.9% |
| Edge | -0.2% | +1.1% | -0.9% |
Why Ferencvarosi TC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.48 vs 0.92.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.33, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Ferencvarosi TC vs Debreceni VSC match preview
Ferencvarosi TC is heavily favored in their upcoming match against Debreceni VSC, with a 71% probability of winning compared to Debreceni's 11%. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 2-0, occurring at a rate of 10%. The expectation for over 2.5 goals stands at 66%, while both teams scoring has a probability of 56%.
In terms of recent form, Ferencvarosi TC has shown strong performance with four wins in their last six matches, while Debreceni VSC has struggled, recording only one win in their last six outings. Historically, in their last three encounters, Ferencvarosi TC has secured two victories, while Debreceni VSC has one win. Expected goals indicate Ferencvarosi TC at 2.48 and Debreceni VSC at 0.92.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Ferencvarosi TC and Debreceni VSC expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.39
Ferencvarosi TC and Debreceni VSC attack and defence ratings
Ferencvarosi TC
Debreceni VSC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Ferencvarosi TC vs Debreceni VSC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ferencvarosi TC | 70.9% | 1.41 | -0.2% | 1.33 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.9% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.7% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.1% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Ferencvarosi TC win | 49.4% | 2.02 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ferencvarosi TC | 70.9% |
| Draw | 17.3% | |
| Debreceni VSC | 11.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 34.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.7% |
| No | 44.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 82.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 29.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Ferencvarosi TC win | 49.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.3% | |
| Loss | 29.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 10.3% |
| 2-1 | 9.4% | |
| 3-0 | 8.5% |
Ferencvarosi TC vs Debreceni VSC stats
Ferencvarosi TC and Debreceni VSC recent form
| Ferencvarosi TC |
DWDWWW |
| Debreceni VSC |
LWDDDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Ferencvarosi TC and Debreceni VSC season so far
Ferencvarosi TC record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 62% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Debreceni VSC record
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 1.2 at home.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Ferencvarosi TC vs Debreceni VSC head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-05 | Debreceni VSC | Ferencvarosi TC | NB I | 0-2 |
| 2025-12-14 | Ferencvarosi TC | Debreceni VSC | NB I | 0-1 |
| 2025-08-31 | Debreceni VSC | Ferencvarosi TC | NB I | 0-3 |
| 2025-03-09 | Debreceni VSC | Ferencvarosi TC | NB I | 0-1 |
| 2024-12-05 | Debreceni VSC | Ferencvarosi TC | NB I | 5-4 |
| 2024-11-03 | Ferencvarosi TC | Debreceni VSC | NB I | 2-2 |
| 2024-05-05 | Ferencvarosi TC | Debreceni VSC | NB I | 5-1 |
| 2024-02-28 | Debreceni VSC | Ferencvarosi TC | Magyar Kupa | 1-1 |
| 2024-02-10 | Debreceni VSC | Ferencvarosi TC | NB I | 1-2 |
| 2023-10-08 | Ferencvarosi TC | Debreceni VSC | NB I | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Ferencvarosi TC vs Debreceni VSC odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 70.9%, draw 17.0%, away 12.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.26 | 5.35 | 7.95 |
| Bet365 | 1.28 | 4.75 | 7.50 |
| Betano | 1.33 | 5.50 | 7.40 |
| Betfair | 1.25 | 5.50 | 8.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.31 | 5.60 | 7.80 |
| Marathonbet | 1.25 | 5.35 | 7.60 |
| Pinnacle | 1.30 | 5.67 | 7.50 |
| SBO | 1.27 | 4.84 | 5.99 |
| William Hill | 1.30 | 5.00 | 7.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .