NB I · 2026-10-10T15:00:00Z UTC Full time ·Matchday 9

Ferencvarosi TC vs Debreceni VSC

1 – 1 Full time

5′			Bamidele Isa Yusuf
25′			Josua Mejias
56′			gergo terczaMaximilian Hofmann
58′			Daniel ArzaniKrisztian Lisztes
58′			Ádám Gyula BagiFranko Kovačević
62′			Ákos SzendreiBryan Adinany
65′			marius corbu
71′			Sohan BaldoniDominik Kocsis
73′			Bamidele Isa YusufVeljko Birmančević
77′			Dominik Kocsis
81′			Franko KovačevićCallum O'Dowda
88′			Mariano Gómez
89′			B. Borbely
90′			Balazs Dzsudzsak

Groupama Aréna, BudapestReferee: B. Berke

Ferencvarosi TC

71%

Draw

17%

Debreceni VSC

12%

Confidence: Low · blended with market odds

Match stats

13	Shots	13
5	Shots on target	3
47	Possession %	53
1	Corners	7
14	Fouls	10
5	Offsides	4
2	Saves	4
272	Accurate passes	247

Ferencvarosi TC vs Debreceni VSC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Ferencvarosi TC vs Debreceni VSC

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	Ferencvarosi TC	Draw	Debreceni VSC
Model	70.7%	18.1%	11.2%
Market	70.8%	17.2%	12.0%
Final	70.8%	17.4%	11.8%
Edge	-0.0%	+0.2%	-0.2%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Ferencvarosi TC

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.48 vs 0.92.
Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

96%

2+ goals

86%

3+ goals

66%

No goals

Ferencvarosi TC and Debreceni VSC expected goals

Ferencvarosi TC

2.48

Debreceni VSC

0.92

Total expected goals: 3.40

Ferencvarosi TC and Debreceni VSC attack and defence ratings

Ferencvarosi TC

Attack

1.21 +21%

Defence

0.66 -34%

Debreceni VSC

Attack

0.96 -4%

Defence

1.28 +28%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Ferencvarosi TC vs Debreceni VSC: result vs prediction

Ferencvarosi TC 1 – 1 Debreceni VSC

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick	✓ Correct

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

NB I

Vasas v Kisvarda FC — match page · 2026-10-10
Paks vs MTK Budapest — team news & stats · 2026-10-10
Zalaegerszegi TE v Nyiregyhaza — match page · 2026-10-11
Budapest Honved vs Ujpest — team news & stats · 2026-10-11
Gyori ETO FC vs Puskas Academy · 2026-10-11

Before and after this match

Ferencvarosi TC, previous: Nyiregyhaza vs Ferencvarosi TC: odds and pick
Ferencvarosi TC, next: Ferencvarosi TC v Plzen analysis
Debreceni VSC, previous: Debreceni VSC vs Vasas prediction
Debreceni VSC, next: Debreceni VSC vs Zalaegerszegi TE prediction

Ferencvarosi TC vs Debreceni VSC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	Ferencvarosi TC	70.8%	1.41	-0.0%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	65.9%	1.52	—	—
Both teams to score	Yes	55.7%	1.79	—	—
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	88.2%	1.13	—	—
Handicap -1	Ferencvarosi TC win	49.4%	2.02	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	Ferencvarosi TC	70.8%
	Draw	17.4%
	Debreceni VSC	11.8%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	65.9%
	Under 2.5	34.1%
Both teams to score	Yes	55.7%
	No	44.3%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	88.2%
	12 (either side)	82.6%
	X2 (draw or away)	29.2%
Handicap -1	Ferencvarosi TC win	49.4%
	Push (exactly one goal)	21.3%
	Loss	29.3%
Correct score (top 3)	2-0	10.3%
	2-1	9.4%
	3-0	8.5%

Ferencvarosi TC vs Debreceni VSC stats

Ferencvarosi TC and Debreceni VSC recent form

newest first

Ferencvarosi TC	DWDWWW
Debreceni VSC	LWDDDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Ferencvarosi TC and Debreceni VSC going into this match

league record before kick-off

Ferencvarosi TC record

They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
62% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Debreceni VSC record

They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 1.2 at home.
38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Ferencvarosi TC vs Debreceni VSC head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5Ferencvarosi TC wins 3Draws 2Debreceni VSC wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2026-04-05	Debreceni VSC	Ferencvarosi TC	NB I	0-2
2025-12-14	Ferencvarosi TC	Debreceni VSC	NB I	0-1
2025-08-31	Debreceni VSC	Ferencvarosi TC	NB I	0-3
2025-03-09	Debreceni VSC	Ferencvarosi TC	NB I	0-1
2024-12-05	Debreceni VSC	Ferencvarosi TC	NB I	5-4
2024-11-03	Ferencvarosi TC	Debreceni VSC	NB I	2-2
2024-05-05	Ferencvarosi TC	Debreceni VSC	NB I	5-1
2024-02-28	Debreceni VSC	Ferencvarosi TC	Magyar Kupa	1-1
2024-02-10	Debreceni VSC	Ferencvarosi TC	NB I	1-2
2023-10-08	Ferencvarosi TC	Debreceni VSC	NB I	2-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Ferencvarosi TC vs Debreceni VSC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 70.8%, draw 17.2%, away 12.0%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
1xBet	1.26	5.35	7.95
Bet365	1.30	5.25	8.50
Betano	1.32	5.30	8.00
Betfair	1.25	5.50	7.50
Dafabet	1.31	5.60	7.80
Marathonbet	1.25	5.35	7.60
Pinnacle	1.32	5.76	7.69
SBO	1.27	4.84	5.99
William Hill	1.30	5.00	7.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.30 —

X 5.35 ▼ -0.15

2 7.69 ▲ +0.17

13 snapshots recorded, from 2026-10-04T08:10:02Z.