NB I · Full time ·Matchday 9

Vasas vs Kisvarda FC

1 – 1 Full time

61′Milan Tóth
64′Gennadiy SzikszaiMiroszláv Babják
64′Marko MatanovicPascal Yadikaobi Okoronkwo
64′Christián HercBence Bíró
71′Jasmin MešanovićTeslim Abdulateef Balogun
72′Márk KovácsrétiC. Molnár
78′C. Molnár
78′Márk KosztaBence Janos Petho
79′Hianga'a M'BockAmos Youga
83′Áron Doktorics
86′Bence Bíró
88′Patrick IyinborBotond Baráth
88′B. RabDominik Balazs Sztojka
88′Milan TóthAndrás Radó

Illovszky Rudolf Stadion, BudapestReferee: M. Rusz

Vasas 53%
Draw 25%
Kisvarda FC 22%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

21 Shots 6
6 Shots on target 3
61 Possession % 39
8 Corners 2
8 Fouls 17
1 Offsides 1
2 Saves 5
439 Accurate passes 234

Vasas vs Kisvarda FC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Vasas vs Kisvarda FC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityVasasDrawKisvarda FC
Model55.2%25.1%19.6%
Market52.5%24.8%22.7%
Final53.2%24.9%22.0%
Edge+0.7%+0.1%-0.8%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Vasas

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.81 vs 1.00.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Vasas ↓ / Kisvarda FC → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 1 10% 12% 2 10% 10% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 78%
3+ goals 53%
No goals 7%

Vasas and Kisvarda FC expected goals

Vasas 1.81
Kisvarda FC 1.00

Total expected goals: 2.82

Vasas and Kisvarda FC attack and defence ratings

Vasas

Attack 1.29 +29%
Defence 0.99 -1%

Kisvarda FC

Attack 0.70 -30%
Defence 0.88 -12%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Vasas vs Kisvarda FC: result vs prediction

Vasas 1 – 1 Kisvarda FC

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

NB I

Before and after this match

Vasas vs Kisvarda FC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Vasas 53.2% 1.88 +0.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 53.4% 1.87 — —
Both teams to score Yes 54.1% 1.85 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 78.0% 1.28 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 44.8% 2.23 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Vasas53.2%
Draw24.9%
Kisvarda FC22.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.553.4%
Under 2.546.6%
Both teams to scoreYes54.1%
No45.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)78.0%
12 (either side)75.1%
X2 (draw or away)46.8%
Handicap -1Vasas win32.1%
Push (exactly one goal)23.1%
Loss44.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.0%
2-19.9%
2-09.8%

Vasas vs Kisvarda FC stats

Vasas and Kisvarda FC recent form

newest first
Vasas WWLLWW
Kisvarda FC LWDDLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Vasas and Kisvarda FC going into this match

league record before kick-off

Vasas record

  • They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
  • They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 1.8 on the road.
  • 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Kisvarda FC record

  • They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They average 1.7 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.

Vasas vs Kisvarda FC head-to-head

Last 9 meetings

4Vasas wins 3Draws 2Kisvarda FC wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-07-08VasasKisvarda FCFriendlies Clubs3-1
2025-02-10Kisvarda FCVasasNB II0-0
2024-07-28VasasKisvarda FCNB II3-1
2023-05-19Kisvarda FCVasasNB I2-1
2023-02-25VasasKisvarda FCNB I2-2
2022-10-08Kisvarda FCVasasNB I2-0
2022-06-25VasasKisvarda FCFriendlies Clubs2-2
2014-05-10VasasKisvarda FCNB II4-1
2013-11-02Kisvarda FCVasasNB II2-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Vasas vs Kisvarda FC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 52.5%, draw 24.8%, away 22.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.70 3.70 4.04
Bet365 1.75 3.70 4.20
Betano 1.78 3.80 4.10
Betfair 1.67 3.80 4.20
Dafabet 1.81 3.70 4.00
Marathonbet 1.68 3.70 3.95
Pinnacle 1.79 3.91 4.16
SBO 1.74 3.22 3.55
William Hill 1.75 3.60 4.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.75 ▼ -0.04
X 3.70 ▼ -0.07
2 4.04 ▼ -0.01

13 snapshots recorded, from .