Vasas
vs
Kisvarda FC
Garuda Lions Prediction: Vasas
2 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
Vasas vs Kisvarda FC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Vasas vs Kisvarda FC
| Probability | Vasas | Draw | Kisvarda FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 55.2% | 25.1% | 19.6% |
| Market | 52.5% | 24.7% | 22.8% |
| Final | 53.2% | 24.8% | 22.0% |
| Edge | +2.8% | +0.4% | -3.2% |
Why Vasas
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.81 vs 1.00.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Vasas below the model: +2.8 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 1.81, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Vasas vs Kisvarda FC match preview
Vasas will face Kisvarda FC in their upcoming match on October 10, 2026. The model suggests a strong probability of victory for Vasas at 55%, while Kisvarda FC has a 20% chance of winning, with a 25% likelihood of a draw. The expected goals indicate a favorable offensive performance for Vasas, projected at 1.81 compared to Kisvarda FC's 1.00.
In terms of recent form, Vasas has shown resilience with three wins in their last six matches, while Kisvarda FC has struggled, managing only one win in their last six outings. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1 in favor of Vasas, with a 10% probability. Additionally, there is a 53% chance that the match will see over 2.5 goals, and both teams scoring is estimated at 54%.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Vasas and Kisvarda FC expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.82
Vasas and Kisvarda FC attack and defence ratings
Vasas
Kisvarda FC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Vasas vs Kisvarda FC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vasas | 53.2% | 1.88 | +2.8% | 1.81 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.4% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.1% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.0% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 44.8% | 2.23 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vasas | 53.2% |
| Draw | 24.8% | |
| Kisvarda FC | 22.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 46.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.1% |
| No | 45.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 46.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Vasas win | 32.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.1% | |
| Loss | 44.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.0% |
| 2-1 | 9.9% | |
| 2-0 | 9.8% |
Vasas vs Kisvarda FC stats
Vasas and Kisvarda FC recent form
| Vasas |
WWLLWW |
| Kisvarda FC |
LWDDLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Vasas and Kisvarda FC season so far
Vasas record
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 1.8 on the road.
- 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Kisvarda FC record
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
Vasas vs Kisvarda FC head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-08 | Vasas | Kisvarda FC | Friendlies Clubs | 3-1 |
| 2025-02-10 | Kisvarda FC | Vasas | NB II | 0-0 |
| 2024-07-28 | Vasas | Kisvarda FC | NB II | 3-1 |
| 2023-05-19 | Kisvarda FC | Vasas | NB I | 2-1 |
| 2023-02-25 | Vasas | Kisvarda FC | NB I | 2-2 |
| 2022-10-08 | Kisvarda FC | Vasas | NB I | 2-0 |
| 2022-06-25 | Vasas | Kisvarda FC | Friendlies Clubs | 2-2 |
| 2014-05-10 | Vasas | Kisvarda FC | NB II | 4-1 |
| 2013-11-02 | Kisvarda FC | Vasas | NB II | 2-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Vasas vs Kisvarda FC odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 52.5%, draw 24.7%, away 22.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.70 | 3.70 | 4.04 |
| Bet365 | 1.73 | 3.50 | 3.90 |
| Betano | 1.78 | 3.80 | 4.15 |
| Betfair | 1.70 | 3.80 | 4.20 |
| Dafabet | 1.81 | 3.70 | 4.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.68 | 3.70 | 3.95 |
| Pinnacle | 1.77 | 3.84 | 4.09 |
| SBO | 1.74 | 3.22 | 3.55 |
| William Hill | 1.80 | 3.50 | 3.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .