Plzen
vs
Mlada Boleslav
3 – 0 Full time
| 2′ | C. Kabongo | ||
| 13′ | T. Paliscak | ||
| 21′ | S. Pirgic | ||
| 23′ | A. Gabriel | ||
| 32′ | S. John | ||
| 46′ | T. PaliscakC. Souare | ||
| 52′ | A. Sojka | ||
| 60′ | J. KlimaJ. Buryan | ||
| 60′ | S. JohnJ. Kolarik | ||
| 65′ | J. PanosT. Ladra | ||
| 65′ | C. KabongoB. Faal | ||
| 70′ | M. Subert | ||
| 71′ | F. MatousekM. Zachoval | ||
| 71′ | M. SubertM. Havran | ||
| 71′ | A. MemicD. Visinsky | ||
| 78′ | P. HrosovskyL. Cerv | ||
| 80′ | D. LanghamerF. Spatenka | ||
| 83′ | B. Faal | ||
| 86′ | B. Faal |
Match stats
| 18 | Shots | 19 |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 38 | Possession % | 62 |
| 7 | Corners | 12 |
| 9 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Offsides | 1 |
| 4 | Saves | 4 |
| 292 | Accurate passes | 508 |
Plzen vs Mlada Boleslav overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Plzen vs Mlada Boleslav
| Probability | Plzen | Draw | Mlada Boleslav |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 25.0% | 23.6% | 51.3% |
| Market | 64.6% | 19.6% | 15.8% |
| Final | 54.7% | 20.6% | 24.7% |
| Edge | -9.9% | +1.0% | +8.9% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Plzen and Mlada Boleslav expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.35
Plzen and Mlada Boleslav attack and defence ratings
Plzen
Mlada Boleslav
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Plzen vs Mlada Boleslav: result vs prediction
Plzen 3 – 0 Mlada Boleslav
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Plzen vs Mlada Boleslav markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Plzen | 54.7% | 1.83 | -9.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.0% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.1% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 79.4% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 75.0% | 1.33 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Plzen | 54.7% |
| Draw | 20.6% | |
| Mlada Boleslav | 24.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 35.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.1% |
| No | 34.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 45.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Plzen win | 11.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 13.9% | |
| Loss | 75.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.4% |
| 1-2 | 9.5% | |
| 0-2 | 7.0% |
Plzen vs Mlada Boleslav stats
Plzen and Mlada Boleslav recent form
| Plzen |
LLLDWD |
| Mlada Boleslav |
WLWWDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Plzen and Mlada Boleslav going into this match
Plzen record
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game on the road against 1.6 at home.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
Mlada Boleslav record
- They have won 5 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 1.8 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
Plzen vs Mlada Boleslav head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-30 | Plzen | Mlada Boleslav | Czech Liga | 2-1 |
| 2025-08-19 | Mlada Boleslav | Plzen | Czech Liga | 0-5 |
| 2025-03-02 | Mlada Boleslav | Plzen | Czech Liga | 0-2 |
| 2024-09-29 | Plzen | Mlada Boleslav | Czech Liga | 1-1 |
| 2024-05-05 | Plzen | Mlada Boleslav | Czech Liga | 3-0 |
| 2024-02-10 | Plzen | Mlada Boleslav | Czech Liga | 1-1 |
| 2023-12-06 | Mlada Boleslav | Plzen | Czech Liga | 1-3 |
| 2023-04-01 | Mlada Boleslav | Plzen | Czech Liga | 0-0 |
| 2022-10-08 | Plzen | Mlada Boleslav | Czech Liga | 2-0 |
| 2022-04-20 | Mlada Boleslav | Plzen | Czech Liga | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Plzen vs Mlada Boleslav odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 64.6%, draw 19.6%, away 15.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.43 | 4.75 | 5.91 |
| Bet365 | 1.44 | 4.33 | 6.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.44 | 4.80 | 6.00 |
| Betano | 1.45 | 4.50 | 5.90 |
| Betfair | 1.40 | 4.75 | 6.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.48 | 5.00 | 5.80 |
| Marathonbet | 1.42 | 4.75 | 5.85 |
| Pinnacle | 1.46 | 5.03 | 5.98 |
| SBO | 1.42 | 4.33 | 5.22 |
| William Hill | 1.44 | 4.60 | 5.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .