Czech Liga · 2026-10-11T13:00:00Z UTC Full time ·Matchday 10

Teplice vs Sigma Olomouc

1 – 1 Full time

3′			A. Ghali
40′			L. Lurvink
44′			T. Zlatohlavek
46′			D. TkacM. Hadas
56′			T. ZlatohlavekM. Kozak
56′			M. BilekJ. Svanda
69′			M. CermakD. Marecek
69′			J. AutaI. Hopi
70′			I. Hopi
78′			A. GhaliT. Huk
85′			V. SejkJ. Kliment
88′			L. MarecekR. Jukl

AGC Arena Na Stinadlech, TepliceReferee: D. Cerny

Teplice

37%

Draw

26%

Sigma Olomouc

36%

Confidence: Low · blended with market odds

Match stats

25	Shots	20
7	Shots on target	6
48	Possession %	52
7	Corners	5
13	Fouls	7
2	Offsides	1
5	Saves	6
328	Accurate passes	359

Teplice vs Sigma Olomouc overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Teplice vs Sigma Olomouc

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	Teplice	Draw	Sigma Olomouc
Model	42.4%	23.8%	33.8%
Market	35.8%	27.4%	36.8%
Final	37.5%	26.5%	36.1%
Edge	+1.6%	-0.9%	-0.7%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

96%

2+ goals

88%

3+ goals

69%

No goals

Teplice and Sigma Olomouc expected goals

Teplice

1.87

Sigma Olomouc

1.67

Total expected goals: 3.55

Teplice and Sigma Olomouc attack and defence ratings

Teplice

Attack

1.27 +27%

Defence

1.01 +1%

Sigma Olomouc

Attack

1.32 +32%

Defence

1.04 +4%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Teplice vs Sigma Olomouc: result vs prediction

Teplice 1 – 1 Sigma Olomouc

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick	✓ Correct

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

Czech Liga

Zlin v Slavia Praha — match page · 2026-10-09
Plzen vs Mlada Boleslav · 2026-10-10
Hradec Králové vs Artis · 2026-10-10
Zbrojovka Brno v FK Jablonec — match page · 2026-10-10
Bohemians 1905 v Baník Ostrava — match page · 2026-10-10
Slovan Liberec vs Slovácko · 2026-10-11
Sparta Praha vs Pardubice — team news & stats · 2026-10-11

Before and after this match

Teplice, previous: Hradec Králové vs Teplice: odds and pick
Teplice, next: Mlada Boleslav vs Teplice: odds and pick
Sigma Olomouc, previous: Sigma Olomouc – Sparta Praha, 2026-09-20
Sigma Olomouc, next: Sigma Olomouc – Slovan Liberec, 2026-10-17

Teplice vs Sigma Olomouc markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	Teplice	37.5%	2.67	+1.6%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	68.7%	1.46	—	—
Both teams to score	Yes	69.6%	1.44	—	—
Double chance	12 (either side)	73.5%	1.36	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	57.8%	1.73	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	Teplice	37.5%
	Draw	26.5%
	Sigma Olomouc	36.1%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	68.7%
	Under 2.5	31.3%
Both teams to score	Yes	69.6%
	No	30.4%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	63.9%
	12 (either side)	73.5%
	X2 (draw or away)	62.5%
Handicap -1	Teplice win	23.5%
	Push (exactly one goal)	18.7%
	Loss	57.8%
Correct score (top 3)	1-1	9.9%
	2-1	8.5%
	1-2	7.5%

Teplice vs Sigma Olomouc stats

Teplice and Sigma Olomouc recent form

newest first

Teplice	WLWWLL
Sigma Olomouc	LWWLWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Teplice and Sigma Olomouc going into this match

league record before kick-off

Teplice record

They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Sigma Olomouc record

They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Teplice vs Sigma Olomouc head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Teplice wins 3Draws 3Sigma Olomouc wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2026-02-22	Teplice	Sigma Olomouc	Czech Liga	1-3
2025-09-20	Sigma Olomouc	Teplice	Czech Liga	0-0
2024-11-30	Teplice	Sigma Olomouc	Czech Liga	1-0
2024-08-03	Sigma Olomouc	Teplice	Czech Liga	2-1
2024-02-21	Teplice	Sigma Olomouc	Czech Liga	2-0
2023-08-13	Sigma Olomouc	Teplice	Czech Liga	2-1
2023-04-22	Sigma Olomouc	Teplice	Czech Liga	1-2
2022-10-30	Teplice	Sigma Olomouc	Czech Liga	2-1
2022-02-27	Sigma Olomouc	Teplice	Czech Liga	0-0
2021-09-26	Teplice	Sigma Olomouc	Czech Liga	0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Teplice vs Sigma Olomouc odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 35.8%, draw 27.4%, away 36.8%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
1xBet	2.52	3.40	2.53
Bet365	2.60	3.30	2.50
BetVictor	2.63	3.40	2.55
Betano	2.60	3.30	2.55
Betfair	2.55	3.50	2.50
Dafabet	2.70	3.45	2.60
Marathonbet	2.52	3.40	2.53
Pinnacle	2.67	3.56	2.55
SBO	2.60	3.11	2.35
William Hill	2.60	3.30	2.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.60 ▲ +0.06

X 3.40 —

2 2.53 —

13 snapshots recorded, from 2026-10-05T08:10:01Z.