Teplice
vs
Sigma Olomouc
Garuda Lions Prediction: Teplice
2 – 1 Predicted score · 8% model probability
Teplice vs Sigma Olomouc overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Teplice vs Sigma Olomouc
| Probability | Teplice | Draw | Sigma Olomouc |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42.4% | 23.8% | 33.7% |
| Market | 36.3% | 27.2% | 36.5% |
| Final | 37.8% | 26.4% | 35.8% |
| Edge | +6.2% | -3.4% | -2.8% |
Why Teplice
- The market prices Teplice below the model: +6.2 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 2.60, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Teplice vs Sigma Olomouc match preview
Teplice will host Sigma Olomouc in a Czech Liga match on October 11, 2026. The model gives Teplice a 42% chance of winning, while Sigma Olomouc has a 34% probability, and a draw stands at 24%. The expected goals are 1.88 for Teplice and 1.66 for Sigma Olomouc, suggesting a competitive encounter. The most likely scoreline is 2-1 in favor of Teplice, with a probability of 8%.
Recent form shows Teplice with two wins and four losses in their last six matches, while Sigma Olomouc has three wins and three losses in the same period. In their last two head-to-head encounters, Teplice has not secured a win, recording one draw and one loss against Sigma Olomouc. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is at 69%, and both teams scoring is projected at 70%.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Teplice and Sigma Olomouc expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.54
Teplice and Sigma Olomouc attack and defence ratings
Teplice
Sigma Olomouc
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Teplice vs Sigma Olomouc markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Teplice | 37.8% | 2.65 | +6.2% | 2.60 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.7% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.6% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.6% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.6% | 1.73 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Teplice | 37.8% |
| Draw | 26.4% | |
| Sigma Olomouc | 35.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 31.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.6% |
| No | 30.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 64.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 62.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Teplice win | 23.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.8% | |
| Loss | 57.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.0% |
| 2-1 | 8.5% | |
| 1-2 | 7.5% |
Teplice vs Sigma Olomouc stats
Teplice and Sigma Olomouc recent form
| Teplice |
WLWWLL |
| Sigma Olomouc |
LWWLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Teplice and Sigma Olomouc season so far
Teplice record
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Sigma Olomouc record
- They have won 5 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.7 goals per game at home against 1.6 on the road.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Teplice vs Sigma Olomouc head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-22 | Teplice | Sigma Olomouc | Czech Liga | 1-3 |
| 2025-09-20 | Sigma Olomouc | Teplice | Czech Liga | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Teplice vs Sigma Olomouc odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 36.3%, draw 27.2%, away 36.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.52 | 3.40 | 2.53 |
| Bet365 | 2.55 | 3.25 | 2.55 |
| BetVictor | 2.55 | 3.30 | 2.50 |
| Betano | 2.55 | 3.40 | 2.52 |
| Betfair | 2.60 | 3.50 | 2.55 |
| Dafabet | 2.60 | 3.50 | 2.60 |
| Marathonbet | 2.52 | 3.40 | 2.53 |
| Pinnacle | 2.60 | 3.51 | 2.56 |
| SBO | 2.51 | 3.05 | 2.36 |
| William Hill | 2.50 | 3.25 | 2.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .