Vasas
vs
Paks
Garuda Lions Prediction: Vasas
2 – 1 Predicted score · 8% model probability
Vasas vs Paks overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Vasas vs Paks
| Probability | Vasas | Draw | Paks |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41.7% | 24.0% | 34.3% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 41.7% | 24.0% | 34.3% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Vasas vs Paks match preview
Vasas and Paks are set to face off in an intriguing encounter on October 24, 2026. According to our model, Vasas has a 42% chance of winning, while Paks stands at 34%, with a draw at 24%. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 2-1 in favor of Vasas, occurring with an 8% probability. Both teams are expected to contribute to an exciting match, with a 68% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and a 69% chance that both teams will score.
In terms of expected goals, Vasas is forecasted to achieve 1.85, while Paks is estimated at 1.67. Recent form shows Vasas with a record of L-D-W-W-L-L, and Paks with W-W-L-D-W-L. The confidence grade for this matchup is C, indicating moderate certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Vasas and Paks expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.51
Vasas and Paks attack and defence ratings
Vasas
Paks
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Vasas vs Paks markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vasas | 41.7% | 2.40 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.2% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.2% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.0% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.3% | 1.72 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vasas | 41.7% |
| Draw | 24.0% | |
| Paks | 34.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 31.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.2% |
| No | 30.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 65.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 58.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Vasas win | 23.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.7% | |
| Loss | 58.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.1% |
| 2-1 | 8.5% | |
| 1-2 | 7.6% |
Vasas vs Paks stats
Vasas and Paks recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Vasas and Paks season so far
Vasas record
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Paks record
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They average 2.6 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.