Ferencvarosi TC
vs
Paks
Garuda Lions Prediction: Ferencvarosi TC
2 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.31 vs 1.08.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Ferencvarosi TC vs Paks overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Ferencvarosi TC vs Paks
| Probability | Ferencvarosi TC | Draw | Paks |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 64.1% | 20.4% | 15.5% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 64.1% | 20.4% | 15.5% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Ferencvarosi TC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.31 vs 1.08.
Ferencvarosi TC vs Paks match preview
Ferencvarosi TC is set to face Paks in their upcoming match, with a 60% probability of winning according to our model. The expected goals for Ferencvarosi TC stand at 2.18, while Paks is projected at 1.13. Recent form shows Ferencvarosi TC with two wins and three draws in their last five matches, while Paks has three wins, one loss, and one draw in the same period.
In their last four encounters, Ferencvarosi TC has secured two wins, Paks has one win, and there has been one draw. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-1, occurring at a 10% probability. Additionally, there is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals being scored, and both teams scoring has a probability of 61%.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Ferencvarosi TC and Paks expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.39
Ferencvarosi TC and Paks attack and defence ratings
Ferencvarosi TC
Paks
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
Ferencvarosi TC vs Paks markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ferencvarosi TC | 64.1% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.8% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.3% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.5% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Ferencvarosi TC win | 42.4% | 2.36 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ferencvarosi TC | 64.1% |
| Draw | 20.4% | |
| Paks | 15.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 34.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.3% |
| No | 39.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 35.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Ferencvarosi TC win | 42.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.7% | |
| Loss | 35.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 9.7% |
| 1-1 | 9.3% | |
| 2-0 | 9.0% |
Ferencvarosi TC vs Paks stats
Ferencvarosi TC and Paks recent form
| Ferencvarosi TC |
WWDWDD |
| Paks |
WLWWLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Ferencvarosi TC and Paks season so far
Ferencvarosi TC record
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 62% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Paks record
- They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Ferencvarosi TC vs Paks head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | Paks | Ferencvarosi TC | NB I | 4-2 |
| 2026-04-26 | Ferencvarosi TC | Paks | NB I | 2-0 |
| 2026-02-01 | Paks | Ferencvarosi TC | NB I | 0-1 |
| 2025-10-05 | Ferencvarosi TC | Paks | NB I | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.