Ujpest
vs
Nyiregyhaza
Garuda Lions Prediction: Ujpest
2 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.92 vs 1.22.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Ujpest vs Nyiregyhaza overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Ujpest vs Nyiregyhaza
| Probability | Ujpest | Draw | Nyiregyhaza |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 52.6% | 24.2% | 23.1% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 52.6% | 24.2% | 23.1% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Ujpest
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.92 vs 1.22.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Ujpest vs Nyiregyhaza match preview
Ujpest hosts Nyiregyhaza in an upcoming NB I clash, with Ujpest holding a 60% probability of winning according to our model. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 2-1, with an expected goals tally of 2.22 for Ujpest and 1.18 for Nyiregyhaza. Recent form shows Ujpest with a record of L-D-W-D-W-L, while Nyiregyhaza is struggling with L-L-D-L-D-L.
The match also suggests a high likelihood of goals, with a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% probability that both teams will score. In their last four encounters, Ujpest has secured 1 win, while Nyiregyhaza has also claimed 1 victory, alongside 2 draws. The confidence grade for this prediction is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Ujpest and Nyiregyhaza expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.14
Ujpest and Nyiregyhaza attack and defence ratings
Ujpest
Nyiregyhaza
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
Ujpest vs Nyiregyhaza markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ujpest | 52.6% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.7% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.1% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.9% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 47.4% | 2.11 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ujpest | 52.6% |
| Draw | 24.2% | |
| Nyiregyhaza | 23.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 39.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.1% |
| No | 38.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 47.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Ujpest win | 31.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.7% | |
| Loss | 47.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.2% |
| 2-1 | 9.7% | |
| 2-0 | 8.0% |
Ujpest vs Nyiregyhaza stats
Ujpest and Nyiregyhaza recent form
| Ujpest |
LLDWDW |
| Nyiregyhaza |
WLLDLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Ujpest and Nyiregyhaza season so far
Ujpest record
- They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
Nyiregyhaza record
- They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Ujpest vs Nyiregyhaza head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | Nyiregyhaza | Ujpest | NB I | 2-1 |
| 2026-04-17 | Ujpest | Nyiregyhaza | NB I | 7-2 |
| 2026-01-24 | Nyiregyhaza | Ujpest | NB I | 1-1 |
| 2025-09-26 | Ujpest | Nyiregyhaza | NB I | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.