Budapest Honved
vs
Kisvarda FC
Garuda Lions Prediction: Budapest Honved
1 – 0 Predicted score · 11% model probability
- WhyBetter recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Budapest Honved is the favourite, not a value bet.
Budapest Honved vs Kisvarda FC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Budapest Honved vs Kisvarda FC
| Probability | Budapest Honved | Draw | Kisvarda FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35.1% | 31.3% | 33.5% |
| Market | 44.3% | 27.0% | 28.7% |
| Final | 42.0% | 28.1% | 29.9% |
| Edge | -2.3% | +1.1% | +1.2% |
Why Budapest Honved
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 2.12, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -10.9% per unit staked (our 42.0% × 2.12 − 1).
Budapest Honved vs Kisvarda FC match preview
Budapest Honved faces Kisvarda FC in their upcoming match with a slight edge in winning probability at 35%, while Kisvarda FC stands at 33%, and a draw is predicted at 32%. The most likely scoreline according to the model is 1-0, with an 11% chance, indicating a close contest. Both teams have shown mixed recent form, with Budapest Honved recording two wins and three losses in their last five matches, while Kisvarda FC has drawn three and won one of their last five.
The expected goals for the match are closely matched, with Budapest Honved at 1.14 and Kisvarda FC at 1.09, suggesting a competitive game. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is estimated at 39%, and both teams scoring is projected at 46%. The confidence grade for this matchup is rated as C, reflecting uncertainty in the outcome.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Budapest Honved and Kisvarda FC expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.26
Budapest Honved and Kisvarda FC attack and defence ratings
Budapest Honved
Kisvarda FC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
Budapest Honved vs Kisvarda FC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Budapest Honved | 42.0% | 2.38 | -2.3% | 2.12 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 60.7% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.9% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.9% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 64.9% | 1.54 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Budapest Honved | 42.0% |
| Draw | 28.1% | |
| Kisvarda FC | 29.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 39.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 60.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.1% |
| No | 52.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 58.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Budapest Honved win | 15.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.1% | |
| Loss | 64.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.7% |
| 0-0 | 11.8% | |
| 1-0 | 10.6% |
Budapest Honved vs Kisvarda FC stats
Budapest Honved and Kisvarda FC recent form
| Budapest Honved |
LWDLLW |
| Kisvarda FC |
DDDLWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Budapest Honved and Kisvarda FC season so far
Budapest Honved record
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Kisvarda FC record
- They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
Budapest Honved vs Kisvarda FC head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | Kisvarda FC | Budapest Honved | NB I | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Budapest Honved vs Kisvarda FC odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 44.3%, draw 27.0%, away 28.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.03 | 3.35 | 3.18 |
| Betano | 2.12 | 3.45 | 3.20 |
| Betfair | 2.00 | 3.50 | 3.10 |
| Marathonbet | 2.01 | 3.35 | 3.10 |
| Pinnacle | 2.11 | 3.44 | 3.32 |
| William Hill | 2.10 | 3.25 | 3.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .