Kisvarda FC
vs
Puskas Academy
Garuda Lions Prediction: Puskas Academy
0 – 1 Predicted score · 12% model probability
- WhyBetter recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Puskas Academy is the favourite, not a value bet.
Kisvarda FC vs Puskas Academy overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Kisvarda FC vs Puskas Academy
| Probability | Kisvarda FC | Draw | Puskas Academy |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 30.1% | 32.6% | 37.3% |
| Market | 30.6% | 27.7% | 41.7% |
| Final | 30.5% | 28.9% | 40.6% |
| Edge | -0.1% | +1.2% | -1.1% |
Why Puskas Academy
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 2.26, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -8.2% per unit staked (our 40.6% × 2.26 − 1).
Kisvarda FC vs Puskas Academy match preview
Kisvarda FC faces Puskas Academy in a match where the probabilities indicate a competitive encounter. Kisvarda FC has a 31% chance of winning, while Puskas Academy is favored at 40%, with a 29% likelihood of a draw. The most likely scoreline predicted is 0-1, occurring at a rate of 12%. Expected goals are close, with Kisvarda FC at 0.98 and Puskas Academy at 1.12, suggesting a tight match.
In terms of recent form, Kisvarda FC has struggled with a record of L-D-D-D-L-W, while Puskas Academy shows a mixed performance with L-L-W-W-W-L. The head-to-head record over the last 10 matches is evenly split, with both teams securing 4 wins each and 2 draws. The model indicates a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 43% probability that both teams will score.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Kisvarda FC and Puskas Academy expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.09
Kisvarda FC and Puskas Academy attack and defence ratings
Kisvarda FC
Puskas Academy
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
Before and after this match
Kisvarda FC vs Puskas Academy markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Puskas Academy | 40.6% | 2.46 | -1.1% | 2.26 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 65.2% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 56.7% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.1% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 62.7% | 1.59 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kisvarda FC | 30.5% |
| Draw | 28.9% | |
| Puskas Academy | 40.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 34.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 65.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 43.3% |
| No | 56.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 59.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 69.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Puskas Academy win | 15.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.4% | |
| Loss | 62.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.8% |
| 0-0 | 13.7% | |
| 0-1 | 12.4% |
Kisvarda FC vs Puskas Academy stats
Kisvarda FC and Puskas Academy recent form
| Kisvarda FC |
LDDDLW |
| Puskas Academy |
LLWWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Kisvarda FC and Puskas Academy season so far
Kisvarda FC record
- They have won 2 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 12 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Puskas Academy record
- They have won 7 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Kisvarda FC vs Puskas Academy head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | Puskas Academy | Kisvarda FC | NB I | 0-2 |
| 2026-03-06 | Kisvarda FC | Puskas Academy | NB I | 1-0 |
| 2025-11-22 | Puskas Academy | Kisvarda FC | NB I | 2-0 |
| 2025-08-10 | Kisvarda FC | Puskas Academy | NB I | 2-1 |
| 2024-05-04 | Puskas Academy | Kisvarda FC | NB I | 4-2 |
| 2024-02-10 | Kisvarda FC | Puskas Academy | NB I | 0-2 |
| 2023-10-06 | Puskas Academy | Kisvarda FC | NB I | 1-0 |
| 2023-04-01 | Kisvarda FC | Puskas Academy | NB I | 2-2 |
| 2022-11-05 | Puskas Academy | Kisvarda FC | NB I | 0-1 |
| 2022-08-14 | Kisvarda FC | Puskas Academy | NB I | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Kisvarda FC vs Puskas Academy odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 30.6%, draw 27.7%, away 41.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.94 | 3.32 | 2.15 |
| Bet365 | 3.00 | 3.60 | 2.20 |
| Betano | 3.00 | 3.45 | 2.25 |
| Betfair | 2.88 | 3.30 | 2.20 |
| Dafabet | 3.00 | 3.45 | 2.24 |
| Marathonbet | 2.88 | 3.32 | 2.13 |
| Pinnacle | 3.11 | 3.56 | 2.26 |
| SBO | 2.67 | 3.14 | 2.18 |
| William Hill | 3.00 | 3.30 | 2.20 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .