NB I · ·Matchday 13

Nyiregyhaza vs Gyori ETO FC

Garuda Lions Prediction: Gyori ETO FC

1 – 2 Predicted score · 10% model probability

  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.67 vs 1.10.
  • RiskGrade C: weaker evidence — both clubs are rated on goals scored and conceded, not on the chances they created.

Városi Stadion, Nyiregyhaza

Nyiregyhaza 36%
Draw 26%
Gyori ETO FC 38%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Chance Gyori ETO FC wins
38%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
93%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
55%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 2
10% of simulated outcomes

Nyiregyhaza vs Gyori ETO FC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Nyiregyhaza vs Gyori ETO FC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityNyiregyhazaDrawGyori ETO FC
Model23.8%26.6%49.5%
Market40.1%25.7%34.2%
Final36.1%25.9%38.0%
Edge-4.1%+0.2%+3.8%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Gyori ETO FC

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.67 vs 1.10.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Gyori ETO FC below our published probability: +3.8 percentage points of edge.

Best available price on the pick: 2.75, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +4.6% per unit staked (our 38.0% × 2.75 − 1).

Nyiregyhaza vs Gyori ETO FC match preview

Nyiregyhaza faces Gyori ETO FC in their upcoming match, with both teams having equal probabilities of winning at 37%, while a draw stands at 26%. The expected goals for Nyiregyhaza is 1.09, compared to Gyori ETO FC's 1.67, indicating a potential advantage for the visitors. The most likely scoreline predicted by the model is 1-2, occurring at a rate of 10%.

Recent form shows Nyiregyhaza struggling with one win in their last six matches (L-W-L-L-D-L), while Gyori ETO FC has performed better, securing three wins in their last six (D-W-W-L-W-W). The model suggests a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% probability that both teams will score, highlighting a potentially competitive encounter.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Nyiregyhaza ↓ / Gyori ETO FC → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 9% 9% 1 13% 10% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 77%
3+ goals 52%
No goals 7%

Nyiregyhaza and Gyori ETO FC expected goals

Nyiregyhaza 1.10
Gyori ETO FC 1.67

Total expected goals: 2.76

Nyiregyhaza and Gyori ETO FC attack and defence ratings

Nyiregyhaza

Attack 0.83 -17%
Defence 1.19 +19%

Gyori ETO FC

Attack 1.00 +0%
Defence 0.83 -17%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 13 fixtures

NB I

Before and after this match

Nyiregyhaza vs Gyori ETO FC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Gyori ETO FC 38.0% 2.63 +3.8% 2.75
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 52.1% 1.92 — —
Both teams to score Yes 55.1% 1.81 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.1% 1.35 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 50.5% 1.98 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Nyiregyhaza36.1%
Draw25.9%
Gyori ETO FC38.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.552.1%
Under 2.547.9%
Both teams to scoreYes55.1%
No44.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)62.0%
12 (either side)74.1%
X2 (draw or away)63.9%
Handicap -1Gyori ETO FC win27.1%
Push (exactly one goal)22.4%
Loss50.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.7%
1-29.6%
0-19.4%

Nyiregyhaza vs Gyori ETO FC stats

Nyiregyhaza and Gyori ETO FC recent form

newest first
Nyiregyhaza LWLLDL
Gyori ETO FC DWWLWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Nyiregyhaza and Gyori ETO FC season so far

league record

Nyiregyhaza record

  • They have won 3 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 12 matches.
  • 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Gyori ETO FC record

  • They have won 6 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 12 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
  • 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Nyiregyhaza vs Gyori ETO FC head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Nyiregyhaza wins 1Draws 6Gyori ETO FC wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-08-02Gyori ETO FCNyiregyhazaNB I4-0
2026-04-05Gyori ETO FCNyiregyhazaNB I1-0
2025-12-13NyiregyhazaGyori ETO FCNB I0-1
2025-08-31Gyori ETO FCNyiregyhazaNB I1-0
2025-03-08NyiregyhazaGyori ETO FCNB I0-1
2024-11-02Gyori ETO FCNyiregyhazaNB I1-1
2024-07-26NyiregyhazaGyori ETO FCNB I2-1
2024-02-26Gyori ETO FCNyiregyhazaNB II0-1
2023-08-19NyiregyhazaGyori ETO FCNB II3-2
2022-12-11NyiregyhazaGyori ETO FCNB II0-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Nyiregyhaza vs Gyori ETO FC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 40.1%, draw 25.7%, away 34.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.24 3.44 2.62
Bet365 2.30 3.70 2.70
Betano 2.35 3.60 2.72
Betfair 2.25 3.60 2.70
Dafabet 2.32 3.65 2.75
Marathonbet 2.24 3.44 2.62
Pinnacle 2.38 3.75 2.75
William Hill 2.30 3.50 2.70

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.30 ▲ +0.30
X 3.60 ▲ +0.02
2 2.70 ▼ -0.55

12 snapshots recorded, from .

Prediction snapshot 2 Gyori ETO FC Predicted score 1 – 2 Low Bet Now
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