Debreceni VSC
vs
Ujpest
Garuda Lions Prediction: Debreceni VSC
2 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.81 vs 1.27.
- RiskGrade C: weaker evidence — both clubs are rated on goals scored and conceded, not on the chances they created.
Debreceni VSC vs Ujpest overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Debreceni VSC vs Ujpest
| Probability | Debreceni VSC | Draw | Ujpest |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49.2% | 25.1% | 25.7% |
| Market | 41.0% | 25.4% | 33.5% |
| Final | 43.0% | 25.4% | 31.6% |
| Edge | +2.0% | -0.1% | -2.0% |
Why Debreceni VSC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.81 vs 1.27.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Debreceni VSC below our published probability: +2.0 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 2.32, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -0.1% per unit staked (our 43.0% × 2.32 − 1).
Debreceni VSC vs Ujpest match preview
Debreceni VSC faces Ujpest in their upcoming NB I match, with our model assigning a 49% probability of a home win for Debreceni, while Ujpest stands at 26% and a draw at 25%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1, occurring at a rate of 9%. Debreceni VSC has an expected goals figure of 1.88, compared to Ujpest's 1.32, indicating a stronger offensive potential for the home side.
In terms of recent form, Debreceni VSC has recorded three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches, while Ujpest has two wins, two draws, and one loss. The model suggests a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% likelihood that both teams will score, highlighting an expectation for a competitive match.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Debreceni VSC and Ujpest expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.08
Debreceni VSC and Ujpest attack and defence ratings
Debreceni VSC
Ujpest
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
Before and after this match
Debreceni VSC vs Ujpest markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Debreceni VSC | 43.0% | 2.32 | +2.0% | 2.32 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.5% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.2% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.6% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 50.8% | 1.97 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Debreceni VSC | 43.0% |
| Draw | 25.4% | |
| Ujpest | 31.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 40.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.2% |
| No | 38.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 57.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Debreceni VSC win | 27.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.3% | |
| Loss | 50.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.6% |
| 2-1 | 9.6% | |
| 2-0 | 7.5% |
Debreceni VSC vs Ujpest stats
Debreceni VSC and Ujpest recent form
| Debreceni VSC |
WWWDLW |
| Ujpest |
WLLDWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Debreceni VSC and Ujpest season so far
Debreceni VSC record
- They have won 5 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 1.5 at home.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Ujpest record
- They have won 5 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 12 matches.
Debreceni VSC vs Ujpest head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 | Ujpest | Debreceni VSC | NB I | 4-2 |
| 2026-05-16 | Debreceni VSC | Ujpest | NB I | 2-1 |
| 2026-02-13 | Ujpest | Debreceni VSC | NB I | 2-1 |
| 2025-10-26 | Debreceni VSC | Ujpest | NB I | 5-2 |
| 2025-04-13 | Ujpest | Debreceni VSC | NB I | 2-1 |
| 2024-12-08 | Debreceni VSC | Ujpest | NB I | 1-2 |
| 2024-08-23 | Ujpest | Debreceni VSC | NB I | 3-0 |
| 2024-04-27 | Debreceni VSC | Ujpest | NB I | 1-0 |
| 2024-02-06 | Ujpest | Debreceni VSC | NB I | 1-2 |
| 2023-09-30 | Debreceni VSC | Ujpest | NB I | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Debreceni VSC vs Ujpest odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 41.0%, draw 25.4%, away 33.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.21 | 3.52 | 2.71 |
| Bet365 | 2.25 | 3.70 | 2.80 |
| Betano | 2.32 | 3.65 | 2.75 |
| Betfair | 2.25 | 3.60 | 2.70 |
| Dafabet | 2.30 | 3.75 | 2.75 |
| Marathonbet | 2.19 | 3.52 | 2.65 |
| Pinnacle | 2.29 | 3.70 | 2.83 |
| William Hill | 2.25 | 3.50 | 2.75 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .