Zalaegerszegi TE
vs
MTK Budapest
Garuda Lions Prediction: Zalaegerszegi TE
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.73 vs 1.42.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Zalaegerszegi TE vs MTK Budapest overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Zalaegerszegi TE vs MTK Budapest
| Probability | Zalaegerszegi TE | Draw | MTK Budapest |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44.1% | 25.4% | 30.5% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 44.1% | 25.4% | 30.5% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Zalaegerszegi TE
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.73 vs 1.42.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Zalaegerszegi TE vs MTK Budapest match preview
Zalaegerszegi TE faces MTK Budapest in an upcoming NB I match, with Zalaegerszegi TE holding a 44% probability of winning, compared to MTK Budapest's 30% and a 25% chance of a draw. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-1, with an expected goals tally of 1.73 for Zalaegerszegi TE and 1.42 for MTK Budapest. Additionally, there is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% likelihood that both teams will score.
In terms of recent form, Zalaegerszegi TE has recorded a draw, loss, win, loss, and win in their last five matches, while MTK Budapest's recent results include one win, three losses, and a draw. Historically, Zalaegerszegi TE has struggled against MTK Budapest, with no wins in their last four encounters, which feature one draw and three victories for MTK Budapest. The confidence grade for this match is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Zalaegerszegi TE and MTK Budapest expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.15
Zalaegerszegi TE and MTK Budapest attack and defence ratings
Zalaegerszegi TE
MTK Budapest
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
Zalaegerszegi TE vs MTK Budapest markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Zalaegerszegi TE | 44.1% | 2.27 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.0% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.4% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.6% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.9% | 1.79 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Zalaegerszegi TE | 44.1% |
| Draw | 25.4% | |
| MTK Budapest | 30.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 39.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.4% |
| No | 36.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 55.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Zalaegerszegi TE win | 24.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.1% | |
| Loss | 55.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.6% |
| 2-1 | 9.1% | |
| 1-2 | 7.4% |
Zalaegerszegi TE vs MTK Budapest stats
Zalaegerszegi TE and MTK Budapest recent form
| Zalaegerszegi TE |
DLWLWL |
| MTK Budapest |
LWLLLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Zalaegerszegi TE and MTK Budapest season so far
Zalaegerszegi TE record
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 2.8 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 10 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
MTK Budapest record
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Zalaegerszegi TE vs MTK Budapest head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | MTK Budapest | Zalaegerszegi TE | NB I | 3-0 |
| 2026-04-11 | MTK Budapest | Zalaegerszegi TE | NB I | 3-0 |
| 2025-12-20 | Zalaegerszegi TE | MTK Budapest | NB I | 1-1 |
| 2025-09-21 | MTK Budapest | Zalaegerszegi TE | NB I | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.