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NB I · Full time ·Matchday 8

Ujpest vs Zalaegerszegi TE

2 – 1 Full time

18′Norbert Szendrei
30′Danylo Krevsun
34′Aljosa Matko
45′Krisztofer HorvathÁbel Krajcsovics
45′Arne MaierGleofilo Vlijter
50′Heitor Marinho dos Santos
58′Fabricio Amato
69′Bence BabosBence Kiss
72′Etienne AmenyidoMuhamed Tijani
72′Mario ZekeTizian Valentino Scharmer
75′Ábel Krajcsovics
76′Maxsuell AlegriaArthur Henrique Marques Machado
76′Matheus MachadoLucas Alfonso
85′Muhamed Tijani
90′Aljosa Matko
90′Matija LjujicArijan Ademi
90′András Mátyás CsonkaAiden Harangi
90′Emin KujovicFernando José Vera García

Szusza Ferenc Stadion, BudapestReferee: Mihaly Kapraly

Ujpest 53%
Draw 24%
Zalaegerszegi TE 23%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

15 Shots 19
9 Shots on target 4
52 Possession % 48
4 Corners 4
12 Fouls 10
3 Offsides 1
3 Saves 6
367 Accurate passes 317

Ujpest vs Zalaegerszegi TE overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Ujpest vs Zalaegerszegi TE

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityUjpestDrawZalaegerszegi TE
Model61.4%20.8%17.8%
Market50.9%24.8%24.4%
Final53.5%23.8%22.7%
Edge+10.5%-3.9%-6.6%

Confidence: Low

Why Ujpest

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.30 vs 1.19.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Ujpest below the model: +10.5 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Ujpest ↓ / Zalaegerszegi → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 6% 9% 5% 2 8% 10% 6% 3 6% 7% 4+ 6% 7%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 87%
3+ goals 68%
No goals 4%

Ujpest and Zalaegerszegi TE expected goals

Ujpest 2.30
Zalaegerszegi TE 1.19

Total expected goals: 3.49

Ujpest and Zalaegerszegi TE attack and defence ratings

Ujpest

Attack 1.23 +23%
Defence 1.16 +16%

Zalaegerszegi TE

Attack 0.71 -29%
Defence 1.16 +16%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Ujpest vs Zalaegerszegi TE: result vs prediction

Ujpest 2 – 1 Zalaegerszegi TE

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

NB I

Before and after this match

Ujpest vs Zalaegerszegi TE markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Ujpest 53.5% 1.87 +10.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 67.8% 1.47 — —
Both teams to score Yes 63.5% 1.57 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 77.3% 1.29 — —
Handicap -1 Ujpest win 40.0% 2.50 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Ujpest53.5%
Draw23.8%
Zalaegerszegi TE22.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.567.8%
Under 2.532.2%
Both teams to scoreYes63.5%
No36.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)77.3%
12 (either side)76.2%
X2 (draw or away)46.5%
Handicap -1Ujpest win40.0%
Push (exactly one goal)21.3%
Loss38.7%
Correct score (top 3)2-19.6%
1-19.2%
2-08.0%

Ujpest vs Zalaegerszegi TE stats

Ujpest and Zalaegerszegi TE recent form

newest first
Ujpest DWLDWW
Zalaegerszegi TE WLLLLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Ujpest and Zalaegerszegi TE going into this match

league record before kick-off

Ujpest record

  • They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
  • They average 2.7 goals per game at home against 1.8 on the road.
  • 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Zalaegerszegi TE record

  • They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.0 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 7 matches.
  • 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Ujpest vs Zalaegerszegi TE head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Ujpest wins 2Draws 4Zalaegerszegi TE wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-21Zalaegerszegi TEUjpestNB I2-0
2025-12-07UjpestZalaegerszegi TENB I0-2
2025-08-23Zalaegerszegi TEUjpestNB I1-4
2025-05-11Zalaegerszegi TEUjpestNB I0-0
2025-02-16UjpestZalaegerszegi TENB I1-2
2024-10-06Zalaegerszegi TEUjpestNB I0-2
2024-04-05UjpestZalaegerszegi TENB I1-5
2023-12-09Zalaegerszegi TEUjpestNB I1-1
2023-08-26UjpestZalaegerszegi TENB I2-1
2023-04-01UjpestZalaegerszegi TENB I3-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Ujpest vs Zalaegerszegi TE odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 50.9%, draw 24.8%, away 24.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.75 3.64 3.84
Bet365 1.80 3.75 3.90
Betano 1.87 3.75 3.75
Betfair 1.75 3.75 3.75
Marathonbet 1.73 3.64 3.76
Pinnacle 1.80 3.89 4.17
SBO 1.85 3.33 3.24
William Hill 1.85 3.60 3.70

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.80 ▼ -0.05
X 3.70 ▲ +0.12
2 3.75 ▲ +0.14

9 snapshots recorded, from .