Garuda Lions
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NB I · Full time ·Matchday 7

Ferencvarosi TC vs Ujpest

2 – 2 Full time

-5′Matija Ljujić
8′Miron Mucsányi
20′Dele
23′Toon Raemaekers
44′K. Zachariassen
45′P. Stronati
46′A. BagiK. Lisztes
46′M. MucsanyiG. Vlijter
55′A. Matko
66′A. NagyN. Keita
66′D. ArzaniV. Birmancevic
75′E. AmenyidoT. Scharmer
75′M. LjujicN. Fenyo
81′K. HorvathA. Ademi
85′Kristoffer Zachariassen
90′Yusuf Bamidele

Groupama Arena, BudapestReferee: F. Karako

Ferencvarosi TC 67%
Draw 20%
Ujpest 14%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

17 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 3
56 Possession % 44
5 Corners 1
20 Fouls 16
2 Offsides 0
2 Saves 3
290 Accurate passes 228

Ferencvarosi TC vs Ujpest overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Ferencvarosi TC vs Ujpest

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityFerencvarosi TCDrawUjpest
Model67.0%20.1%12.9%
Market66.6%19.5%13.9%
Final66.7%19.6%13.7%
Edge+0.4%+0.6%-1.0%

Confidence: Low

Why Ferencvarosi TC

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.28 vs 0.92.
  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Ferencvarosi T ↓ / Ujpest → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 8% 9% 2 11% 10% 3 8% 7% 4+ 8% 7%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 84%
3+ goals 62%
No goals 5%

Ferencvarosi TC and Ujpest expected goals

Ferencvarosi TC 2.28
Ujpest 0.92

Total expected goals: 3.20

Ferencvarosi TC and Ujpest attack and defence ratings

Ferencvarosi TC

Attack 1.26 +26%
Defence 0.53 -47%

Ujpest

Attack 1.21 +21%
Defence 1.13 +13%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Ferencvarosi TC vs Ujpest: result vs prediction

Ferencvarosi TC 2 – 2 Ujpest

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

NB I

Before and after this match

Ferencvarosi TC vs Ujpest markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Ferencvarosi TC 66.7% 1.50 +0.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 61.9% 1.62 — —
Both teams to score Yes 54.9% 1.82 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 86.3% 1.16 — —
Handicap -1 Ferencvarosi TC win 44.9% 2.23 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Ferencvarosi TC66.7%
Draw19.6%
Ujpest13.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.561.9%
Under 2.538.1%
Both teams to scoreYes54.9%
No45.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)86.3%
12 (either side)80.4%
X2 (draw or away)33.3%
Handicap -1Ferencvarosi TC win44.9%
Push (exactly one goal)22.3%
Loss32.9%
Correct score (top 3)2-010.6%
2-19.8%
1-19.4%

Ferencvarosi TC vs Ujpest stats

Ferencvarosi TC and Ujpest recent form

newest first
Ferencvarosi TC WWWWWD
Ujpest WLDWWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Ferencvarosi TC and Ujpest going into this match

league record before kick-off

Ferencvarosi TC record

  • They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.

Ujpest record

  • They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
  • They average 2.7 goals per game at home against 1.7 on the road.

Ferencvarosi TC vs Ujpest head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

8Ferencvarosi TC wins 2Draws 0Ujpest wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-03UjpestFerencvarosi TCNB I0-5
2026-02-07Ferencvarosi TCUjpestNB I3-0
2025-10-19UjpestFerencvarosi TCNB I1-1
2025-04-06Ferencvarosi TCUjpestNB I2-0
2025-04-02Ferencvarosi TCUjpestMagyar Kupa3-1
2024-12-01UjpestFerencvarosi TCNB I0-0
2024-08-17Ferencvarosi TCUjpestNB I1-0
2024-05-19Ferencvarosi TCUjpestNB I2-0
2024-02-25UjpestFerencvarosi TCNB I0-5
2023-10-29Ferencvarosi TCUjpestNB I3-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Ferencvarosi TC vs Ujpest odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 67.0%, draw 19.2%, away 13.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.36 4.65 6.69
Bet365 1.33 4.50 6.50
Betano 1.40 4.90 6.60
Betfair 1.30 5.00 7.00
Dafabet 1.37 5.00 6.80
Marathonbet 1.35 4.65 6.45
Pinnacle 1.39 5.16 6.96
SBO 1.32 4.27 5.80
Superbet 1.38 5.00 6.50
Unibet 1.42 4.60 6.75
William Hill 1.36 4.75 6.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.36 ▼ -0.02
X 4.65 —
2 6.50 ▲ +0.03

7 snapshots recorded, from .