Ujpest vs Vasas overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Ujpest vs Vasas
| Probability | Ujpest | Draw | Vasas |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 27.9% | 24.9% | 47.2% |
| Market | 42.0% | 25.7% | 32.3% |
| Final | 38.5% | 25.5% | 36.0% |
| Edge | -14.1% | -0.8% | +14.9% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Ujpest and Vasas expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.19
Ujpest and Vasas attack and defence ratings
Ujpest
Vasas
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Ujpest vs Vasas: result vs prediction
Ujpest 3 – 1 Vasas
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Ujpest vs Vasas markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ujpest | 38.5% | 2.60 | -14.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.7% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.4% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.5% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 72.1% | 1.39 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ujpest | 38.5% |
| Draw | 25.5% | |
| Vasas | 36.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 38.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.4% |
| No | 36.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 64.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 61.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Ujpest win | 12.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 15.2% | |
| Loss | 72.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.3% |
| 1-2 | 9.4% | |
| 2-1 | 7.0% |
Ujpest vs Vasas stats
Ujpest and Vasas recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Ujpest and Vasas going into this match
Ujpest record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They average 2.7 goals per game at home against 1.7 on the road.
Vasas record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Ujpest vs Vasas head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-07-06 | Vasas | Ujpest | Friendlies Clubs | 4-3 |
| 2023-07-05 | Ujpest | Vasas | Friendlies Clubs | 2-3 |
| 2023-05-06 | Ujpest | Vasas | NB I | 1-1 |
| 2023-02-12 | Vasas | Ujpest | NB I | 0-1 |
| 2022-09-11 | Ujpest | Vasas | NB I | 2-1 |
| 2021-10-08 | Vasas | Ujpest | Friendlies Clubs | 2-1 |
| 2018-04-14 | Ujpest | Vasas | NB I | 4-2 |
| 2017-11-04 | Vasas | Ujpest | NB I | 0-1 |
| 2017-08-06 | Ujpest | Vasas | NB I | 1-0 |
| 2017-04-11 | Vasas | Ujpest | NB I | 2-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Ujpest vs Vasas odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 42.0%, draw 25.7%, away 32.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.20 | 3.60 | 2.78 |
| 1xBet | 2.13 | 3.54 | 2.88 |
| Bet365 | 2.10 | 3.50 | 2.80 |
| Betano | 2.25 | 3.65 | 2.85 |
| Betfair | 2.15 | 3.60 | 2.70 |
| Dafabet | 2.21 | 3.60 | 2.85 |
| Marathonbet | 2.11 | 3.54 | 2.83 |
| Pinnacle | 2.20 | 3.66 | 2.95 |
| SBO | 2.11 | 3.24 | 2.58 |
| Superbet | 2.25 | 3.60 | 2.90 |
| Unibet | 2.18 | 3.55 | 3.00 |
| William Hill | 2.20 | 3.40 | 2.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .