NB I
·
Full time
·Matchday 5
Vasas
vs
Puskas Academy
0 – 1 Full time
Vasas
46%
Draw
26%
Puskas Academy
28%
Vasas vs Puskas Academy overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Vasas vs Puskas Academy
| Probability | Vasas | Draw | Puskas Academy |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 52.9% | 24.2% | 23.0% |
| Market | 43.3% | 26.6% | 30.1% |
| Final | 45.7% | 26.0% | 28.3% |
| Edge | +9.5% | -2.4% | -7.1% |
Why Vasas
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.93 vs 1.22.
- The market prices Vasas below the model: +9.5 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
95%
2+ goals
83%
3+ goals
61%
No goals
5%
Vasas and Puskas Academy expected goals
Vasas
1.93
Puskas Academy
1.22
Total expected goals: 3.14
Vasas and Puskas Academy attack and defence ratings
Vasas
Attack
1.23 +23%
Defence
0.76 -24%
Puskas Academy
Attack
1.11 +11%
Defence
0.97 -3%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Vasas vs Puskas Academy: result vs prediction
Vasas 0 – 1 Puskas Academy
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Vasas vs Puskas Academy markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vasas | 45.7% | 2.19 | +9.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.8% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.2% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.0% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 47.1% | 2.12 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vasas | 45.7% |
| Draw | 26.0% | |
| Puskas Academy | 28.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 39.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.2% |
| No | 38.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 54.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Vasas win | 31.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.7% | |
| Loss | 47.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.1% |
| 2-1 | 9.7% | |
| 2-0 | 8.0% |
Vasas vs Puskas Academy stats
Vasas and Puskas Academy recent form
| Vasas |
WWDD |
| Puskas Academy |
WWLWDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 4 completed matches.
Vasas and Puskas Academy going into this match
Vasas record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Puskas Academy record
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 1.3 at home.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Vasas vs Puskas Academy head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Vasas vs Puskas Academy odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 43.3%, draw 26.6%, away 30.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.12 | 3.30 | 3.20 |
| 1xBet | 2.12 | 3.24 | 3.14 |
| 888Sport | 2.15 | 3.50 | 2.90 |
| Bet365 | 2.15 | 3.60 | 3.10 |
| Betano | 2.15 | 3.35 | 3.25 |
| Betfair | 2.10 | 3.60 | 2.88 |
| Dafabet | 2.15 | 3.55 | 3.10 |
| Marathonbet | 2.10 | 3.24 | 3.08 |
| Pinnacle | 2.21 | 3.44 | 3.27 |
| SBO | 2.02 | 3.23 | 2.75 |
| Superbet | 2.15 | 3.50 | 3.10 |
| Unibet | 2.10 | 3.50 | 2.95 |
| William Hill | 2.15 | 3.50 | 2.90 |