MTK Budapest
vs
Nyiregyhaza
2 – 1 Full time
MTK Budapest vs Nyiregyhaza overview
Garuda Lions analysis: MTK Budapest vs Nyiregyhaza
| Probability | MTK Budapest | Draw | Nyiregyhaza |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 52.5% | 23.8% | 23.6% |
| Market | 40.2% | 27.0% | 32.8% |
| Final | 43.3% | 26.2% | 30.5% |
| Edge | +12.3% | -3.1% | -9.1% |
Why MTK Budapest
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.97 vs 1.28.
- The market prices MTK Budapest below the model: +12.3 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
MTK Budapest and Nyiregyhaza expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.24
MTK Budapest and Nyiregyhaza attack and defence ratings
MTK Budapest
Nyiregyhaza
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
MTK Budapest vs Nyiregyhaza: result vs prediction
MTK Budapest 2 – 1 Nyiregyhaza
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
MTK Budapest vs Nyiregyhaza markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | MTK Budapest | 43.3% | 2.31 | +12.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.8% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.9% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.8% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 47.6% | 2.10 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | MTK Budapest | 43.3% |
| Draw | 26.2% | |
| Nyiregyhaza | 30.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 37.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.9% |
| No | 37.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 56.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | MTK Budapest win | 31.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.3% | |
| Loss | 47.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.8% |
| 2-1 | 9.6% | |
| 2-0 | 7.6% |
MTK Budapest vs Nyiregyhaza stats
MTK Budapest and Nyiregyhaza recent form
| MTK Budapest |
DLDWDD |
| Nyiregyhaza |
WLLWDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
MTK Budapest and Nyiregyhaza going into this match
MTK Budapest record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
Nyiregyhaza record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
MTK Budapest vs Nyiregyhaza head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | MTK Budapest | Nyiregyhaza | NB I | 1-1 |
| 2026-02-08 | Nyiregyhaza | MTK Budapest | NB I | 4-2 |
| 2025-10-18 | MTK Budapest | Nyiregyhaza | NB I | 5-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
MTK Budapest vs Nyiregyhaza odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 40.2%, draw 27.0%, away 32.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.30 | 3.40 | 2.76 |
| 1xBet | 2.21 | 3.38 | 2.85 |
| 888Sport | 2.30 | 3.25 | 2.80 |
| Bet365 | 2.25 | 3.70 | 2.75 |
| Betano | 2.30 | 3.50 | 2.87 |
| Betfair | 2.20 | 3.50 | 2.75 |
| Dafabet | 2.30 | 3.60 | 2.80 |
| Marathonbet | 2.19 | 3.38 | 2.80 |
| Pinnacle | 2.31 | 3.59 | 2.96 |
| SBO | 2.16 | 3.12 | 2.58 |
| Superbet | 2.30 | 3.60 | 2.77 |
| Unibet | 2.28 | 3.35 | 2.75 |
| William Hill | 2.25 | 3.30 | 2.90 |