Nyiregyhaza
vs
Paks
1 – 1 Full time
Nyiregyhaza vs Paks overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Nyiregyhaza vs Paks
| Probability | Nyiregyhaza | Draw | Paks |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 29.6% | 22.2% | 48.2% |
| Market | 41.0% | 24.8% | 34.2% |
| Final | 38.1% | 24.2% | 37.7% |
| Edge | -11.4% | -2.7% | +14.0% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Nyiregyhaza and Paks expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.84
Nyiregyhaza and Paks attack and defence ratings
Nyiregyhaza
Paks
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Nyiregyhaza vs Paks: result vs prediction
Nyiregyhaza 1 – 1 Paks
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Nyiregyhaza vs Paks markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Nyiregyhaza | 38.1% | 2.62 | -11.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 73.8% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 72.8% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.8% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 70.4% | 1.42 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Nyiregyhaza | 38.1% |
| Draw | 24.2% | |
| Paks | 37.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 73.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 26.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 72.8% |
| No | 27.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 62.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 61.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Nyiregyhaza win | 14.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 14.8% | |
| Loss | 70.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 8.6% |
| 1-2 | 8.4% | |
| 2-2 | 7.1% |
Nyiregyhaza vs Paks stats
Nyiregyhaza and Paks recent form
| Nyiregyhaza |
LWLLWD |
| Paks |
WLDLDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Nyiregyhaza and Paks going into this match
Nyiregyhaza record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Paks record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They average 2.7 goals per game at home against 1.7 on the road.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Nyiregyhaza vs Paks head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | Nyiregyhaza | Paks | NB I | 2-0 |
| 2025-12-20 | Paks | Nyiregyhaza | NB I | 2-1 |
| 2025-09-20 | Nyiregyhaza | Paks | NB I | 1-1 |
| 2025-04-05 | Paks | Nyiregyhaza | NB I | 2-0 |
| 2024-11-29 | Nyiregyhaza | Paks | NB I | 4-2 |
| 2024-08-18 | Paks | Nyiregyhaza | NB I | 2-1 |
| 2020-10-29 | Nyiregyhaza | Paks | Magyar Kupa | 1-2 |
| 2015-02-21 | Paks | Nyiregyhaza | NB I | 1-1 |
| 2014-08-02 | Nyiregyhaza | Paks | NB I | 0-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Nyiregyhaza vs Paks odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 41.0%, draw 24.8%, away 34.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.22 | 3.75 | 2.66 |
| 1xBet | 2.18 | 3.72 | 2.69 |
| Bet365 | 2.30 | 3.60 | 2.50 |
| Betano | 2.27 | 3.85 | 2.72 |
| Betfair | 2.15 | 3.75 | 2.63 |
| Dafabet | 2.29 | 3.70 | 2.70 |
| Marathonbet | 2.16 | 3.72 | 2.64 |
| Pinnacle | 2.26 | 3.90 | 2.71 |
| SBO | 2.14 | 3.31 | 2.50 |
| Superbet | 2.32 | 3.65 | 2.72 |
| Unibet | 2.25 | 3.60 | 2.85 |
| William Hill | 2.25 | 3.60 | 2.70 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .