Vasas
vs
Nyiregyhaza
3 – 2 Full time
| 8′ | Z. Hos | ||
| 11′ | M. Koszta | ||
| 15′ | Zsombor Hös | ||
| 23′ | B. Rab | ||
| 33′ | V. JovanovR. Zikovic | ||
| 44′ | A. Temesvári | ||
| 45′ | Barna Benczenleitner | ||
| 45′ | M. Kovacsreti | ||
| 51′ | Marko Kvasina | ||
| 55′ | N. AntonovB. Katona | ||
| 55′ | Z. HosB. Manner | ||
| 56′ | M. RegzaJ. Batoum | ||
| 58′ | B. Benczenleitner | ||
| 59′ | B. RabS. Mezei | ||
| 62′ | Milan Tóth | ||
| 64′ | Milan Kovacs | ||
| 73′ | M. Kovacsreti | ||
| 76′ | György Toma | ||
| 77′ | M. KosztaG. Palinkas | ||
| 79′ | L. KatonaZ. Medved | ||
| 86′ | M. KovacsretiB. Barkoczi | ||
| 90′ | Bence Pávkovics |
Match stats
| 14 | Shots | 17 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 7 |
| 48 | Possession % | 52 |
| 7 | Corners | 7 |
| 14 | Fouls | 18 |
| 3 | Offsides | 1 |
| 5 | Saves | 2 |
| 239 | Accurate passes | 287 |
Vasas vs Nyiregyhaza overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Vasas vs Nyiregyhaza
| Probability | Vasas | Draw | Nyiregyhaza |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 52.6% | 25.1% | 22.3% |
| Market | 42.8% | 26.7% | 30.5% |
| Final | 45.3% | 26.3% | 28.4% |
| Edge | +9.8% | -1.6% | -8.2% |
Why Vasas
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.82 vs 1.13.
- The market prices Vasas below the model: +9.8 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Vasas and Nyiregyhaza expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.95
Vasas and Nyiregyhaza attack and defence ratings
Vasas
Nyiregyhaza
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Vasas vs Nyiregyhaza: result vs prediction
Vasas 3 – 2 Nyiregyhaza
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Vasas vs Nyiregyhaza markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vasas | 45.3% | 2.21 | +9.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.5% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.7% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.7% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 47.4% | 2.11 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vasas | 45.3% |
| Draw | 26.3% | |
| Nyiregyhaza | 28.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 43.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.7% |
| No | 42.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 54.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Vasas win | 30.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.3% | |
| Loss | 47.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.8% |
| 2-1 | 9.8% | |
| 2-0 | 8.7% |
Vasas vs Nyiregyhaza stats
Vasas and Nyiregyhaza recent form
| Vasas |
LLWWDD |
| Nyiregyhaza |
DLWLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Vasas and Nyiregyhaza going into this match
Vasas record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Nyiregyhaza record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Vasas vs Nyiregyhaza head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-14 | Vasas | Nyiregyhaza | Magyar Kupa | 1-1 |
| 2024-04-20 | Nyiregyhaza | Vasas | NB II | 3-1 |
| 2023-10-22 | Vasas | Nyiregyhaza | NB II | 3-0 |
| 2022-10-18 | Nyiregyhaza | Vasas | Magyar Kupa | 1-2 |
| 2022-03-20 | Nyiregyhaza | Vasas | NB II | 0-1 |
| 2021-09-29 | Vasas | Nyiregyhaza | NB II | 2-0 |
| 2021-05-09 | Nyiregyhaza | Vasas | NB II | 2-0 |
| 2020-11-25 | Vasas | Nyiregyhaza | NB II | 1-0 |
| 2020-03-08 | Vasas | Nyiregyhaza | NB II | 4-1 |
| 2019-09-15 | Nyiregyhaza | Vasas | NB II | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Vasas vs Nyiregyhaza odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 42.8%, draw 26.7%, away 30.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.22 | 3.45 | 2.88 |
| 1xBet | 2.20 | 3.32 | 2.91 |
| Bet365 | 2.25 | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| Betano | 2.12 | 3.50 | 3.20 |
| Betfair | 2.00 | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| Dafabet | 2.16 | 3.45 | 3.15 |
| Marathonbet | 1.94 | 3.40 | 3.32 |
| Pinnacle | 2.00 | 3.75 | 3.52 |
| SBO | 2.05 | 3.12 | 2.76 |
| Superbet | 2.20 | 3.45 | 3.05 |
| Unibet | 2.14 | 3.55 | 3.15 |
| William Hill | 2.30 | 3.30 | 2.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
8 snapshots recorded, from .