NB I · 2026-09-06T13:30:00Z UTC Full time ·Matchday 7

Zalaegerszegi TE vs Puskas Academy

1 – 0 Full time

2′			M. Machado
54′			José Calderón
54′			Roland Orján
56′			P. DardaiL. Colley
56′			M. SoisaloZ. Krupa
64′			B. BabosArthur Henrique
68′			M. MachadoB. Kiss
74′			L. DuarteM. Okeke
74′			Z. VargaM. Kern
78′			R. OrjanB. Farkas
81′			Michael Okeke
83′			D. KrevsunM. Richards
90′			Zsolt Krupa

Referee: B. Csonka

Zalaegerszegi TE

31%

Draw

28%

Puskas Academy

41%

Confidence: Low · blended with market odds

Match stats

8	Shots	16
2	Shots on target	4
40	Possession %	60
1	Corners	7
6	Fouls	21
1	Offsides	0
4	Saves	1
234	Accurate passes	364

Zalaegerszegi TE vs Puskas Academy overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Zalaegerszegi TE vs Puskas Academy

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	Zalaegerszegi TE	Draw	Puskas Academy
Model	20.3%	24.3%	55.4%
Market	34.7%	28.9%	36.5%
Final	31.1%	27.7%	41.2%
Edge	-14.3%	-4.6%	+18.9%

Confidence: Low

Why Puskas Academy

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.90 vs 1.09.
Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
The market prices Puskas Academy below the model: +18.9 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

94%

2+ goals

81%

3+ goals

57%

No goals

Zalaegerszegi TE and Puskas Academy expected goals

Zalaegerszegi TE

1.09

Puskas Academy

1.90

Total expected goals: 2.99

Zalaegerszegi TE and Puskas Academy attack and defence ratings

Zalaegerszegi TE

Attack

0.72 -28%

Defence

1.28 +28%

Puskas Academy

Attack

1.03 +3%

Defence

0.94 -6%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Zalaegerszegi TE vs Puskas Academy: result vs prediction

Zalaegerszegi TE 1 – 0 Puskas Academy

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick	✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

NB I

Vasas vs Nyiregyhaza · 2026-09-04
MTK Budapest vs Kisvarda FC — team news & stats · 2026-09-05
Paks v Debreceni VSC — match page · 2026-09-05
Ferencvarosi TC vs Ujpest — team news & stats · 2026-09-06
Gyori ETO FC vs Budapest Honved · 2026-09-06

Before and after this match

Zalaegerszegi TE, previous: Budapest Honved vs Zalaegerszegi TE: odds and pick
Zalaegerszegi TE, next: Ujpest v Zalaegerszegi TE analysis
Puskas Academy, previous: Puskas Academy vs Ferencvarosi TC prediction
Puskas Academy, next: Puskas Academy vs Budapest Honved: odds and pick

Zalaegerszegi TE vs Puskas Academy markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	Puskas Academy	41.2%	2.43	+18.9%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	57.4%	1.74	—	—
Both teams to score	Yes	57.4%	1.74	—	—
Double chance	12 (either side)	72.3%	1.38	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	44.6%	2.24	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	Zalaegerszegi TE	31.1%
	Draw	27.7%
	Puskas Academy	41.2%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	57.4%
	Under 2.5	42.6%
Both teams to score	Yes	57.4%
	No	42.6%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	58.8%
	12 (either side)	72.3%
	X2 (draw or away)	68.9%
Handicap -1	Puskas Academy win	32.9%
	Push (exactly one goal)	22.5%
	Loss	44.6%
Correct score (top 3)	1-1	11.4%
	1-2	9.9%
	0-2	9.1%

Zalaegerszegi TE vs Puskas Academy stats

Zalaegerszegi TE and Puskas Academy recent form

newest first

Zalaegerszegi TE	LLLLWL
Puskas Academy	LWWWLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Zalaegerszegi TE and Puskas Academy going into this match

league record before kick-off

Zalaegerszegi TE record

They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
They have failed to score in 5 of 6 matches.
50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Puskas Academy record

They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 1.3 at home.
Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

Zalaegerszegi TE vs Puskas Academy head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5Zalaegerszegi TE wins 1Draws 4Puskas Academy wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2026-05-01	Zalaegerszegi TE	Puskas Academy	NB I	1-3
2026-02-08	Puskas Academy	Zalaegerszegi TE	NB I	0-1
2025-10-19	Zalaegerszegi TE	Puskas Academy	NB I	0-1
2025-03-16	Puskas Academy	Zalaegerszegi TE	NB I	2-1
2024-11-09	Zalaegerszegi TE	Puskas Academy	NB I	4-2
2024-08-04	Puskas Academy	Zalaegerszegi TE	NB I	2-1
2024-04-26	Zalaegerszegi TE	Puskas Academy	NB I	1-0
2024-02-07	Puskas Academy	Zalaegerszegi TE	NB I	0-1
2023-09-29	Zalaegerszegi TE	Puskas Academy	NB I	1-1
2023-05-07	Zalaegerszegi TE	Puskas Academy	NB I	2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Zalaegerszegi TE vs Puskas Academy odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 33.2%, draw 27.6%, away 39.1%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
10Bet	2.84	3.35	2.28
1xBet	2.59	3.12	2.47
Bet365	2.60	3.40	2.35
Betano	2.85	3.40	2.35
Betfair	2.80	3.30	2.20
Dafabet	2.80	3.40	2.33
Marathonbet	2.59	3.12	2.47
Pinnacle	2.73	3.30	2.63
SBO	2.50	3.10	2.23
Superbet	2.82	3.40	2.35
Unibet	2.80	3.45	2.35
William Hill	2.62	3.10	2.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.60 ▼ -0.20

X 3.12 ▼ -0.23

2 2.47 ▲ +0.17

7 snapshots recorded, from 2026-09-03T08:10:02Z.