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NB I · Full time ·Matchday 6

Budapest Honved vs Zalaegerszegi TE

1 – 0 Full time

Bozsik Arena, BudapestReferee: M. Derdak

Budapest Honved 49%
Draw 26%
Zalaegerszegi TE 26%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Budapest Honved vs Zalaegerszegi TE overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Budapest Honved vs Zalaegerszegi TE

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBudapest HonvedDrawZalaegerszegi TE
Model59.1%21.1%19.8%
Market45.5%27.0%27.4%
Final48.9%25.5%25.5%
Edge+13.6%-6.0%-7.6%

Confidence: Low

Why Budapest Honved

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.30 vs 1.30.
  • The market prices Budapest Honved below the model: +13.6 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Budapest Honve ↓ / Zalaegerszegi → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 5% 9% 5% 2 7% 9% 6% 3 6% 7% 4+ 5% 7%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 88%
3+ goals 70%
No goals 4%

Budapest Honved and Zalaegerszegi TE expected goals

Budapest Honved 2.30
Zalaegerszegi TE 1.30

Total expected goals: 3.60

Budapest Honved and Zalaegerszegi TE attack and defence ratings

Budapest Honved

Attack 1.06 +6%
Defence 1.15 +15%

Zalaegerszegi TE

Attack 0.79 -21%
Defence 1.35 +35%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Budapest Honved vs Zalaegerszegi TE: result vs prediction

Budapest Honved 1 – 0 Zalaegerszegi TE

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

NB I

Before and after this match

Budapest Honved vs Zalaegerszegi TE markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Budapest Honved 48.9% 2.04 +13.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 69.8% 1.43 — —
Both teams to score Yes 66.3% 1.51 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 74.5% 1.34 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 40.9% 2.44 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Budapest Honved48.9%
Draw25.5%
Zalaegerszegi TE25.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.569.8%
Under 2.530.2%
Both teams to scoreYes66.3%
No33.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)74.5%
12 (either side)74.5%
X2 (draw or away)51.1%
Handicap -1Budapest Honved win38.2%
Push (exactly one goal)20.9%
Loss40.9%
Correct score (top 3)2-19.4%
1-19.0%
2-07.2%

Budapest Honved vs Zalaegerszegi TE stats

Budapest Honved and Zalaegerszegi TE recent form

newest first
Budapest Honved LDDD
Zalaegerszegi TE LLLWLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 4 completed matches.

Budapest Honved and Zalaegerszegi TE going into this match

league record before kick-off

Budapest Honved record

  • They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Zalaegerszegi TE record

  • They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 6 matches.
  • 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Budapest Honved vs Zalaegerszegi TE head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5Budapest Honved wins 3Draws 2Zalaegerszegi TE wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-21Budapest HonvedZalaegerszegi TEMagyar Kupa1-1
2024-06-29Zalaegerszegi TEBudapest HonvedFriendlies Clubs1-2
2023-03-11Budapest HonvedZalaegerszegi TENB I1-0
2022-10-22Zalaegerszegi TEBudapest HonvedNB I0-2
2022-07-29Budapest HonvedZalaegerszegi TENB I0-1
2022-04-08Zalaegerszegi TEBudapest HonvedNB I3-1
2022-01-15Budapest HonvedZalaegerszegi TEFriendlies Clubs0-0
2021-12-11Budapest HonvedZalaegerszegi TENB I2-2
2021-10-27Zalaegerszegi TEBudapest HonvedMagyar Kupa0-1
2021-08-27Zalaegerszegi TEBudapest HonvedNB I1-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Budapest Honved vs Zalaegerszegi TE odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 45.5%, draw 27.0%, away 27.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.02 3.35 3.35
1xBet 2.00 3.38 3.30
Bet365 1.91 3.40 3.20
Betano 2.05 3.40 3.45
Betfair 1.95 3.60 3.10
Dafabet 1.99 3.60 3.35
Marathonbet 1.98 3.38 3.24
Pinnacle 2.06 3.51 3.35
Superbet 2.02 3.60 3.35
Unibet 2.05 3.45 3.40
William Hill 2.05 3.30 3.30

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.02 —
X 3.40 —
2 3.35 ▲ +0.05

2 snapshots recorded, from .