Garuda Lions
Today
NB I · Full time ·Matchday 6

Debreceni VSC vs MTK Budapest

2 – 2 Full time

Nagyerdei Stadion, DebrecenReferee: T. Bognar

Debreceni VSC 37%
Draw 26%
MTK Budapest 37%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Debreceni VSC vs MTK Budapest overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Debreceni VSC vs MTK Budapest

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityDebreceni VSCDrawMTK Budapest
Model21.9%26.4%51.7%
Market42.7%25.8%31.5%
Final37.5%26.0%36.6%
Edge-20.7%+0.6%+20.1%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Debreceni VSC ↓ / MTK Budapest → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 10% 9% 1 13% 10% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 77%
3+ goals 51%
No goals 8%

Debreceni VSC and MTK Budapest expected goals

Debreceni VSC 1.03
MTK Budapest 1.69

Total expected goals: 2.73

Debreceni VSC and MTK Budapest attack and defence ratings

Debreceni VSC

Attack 0.70 -30%
Defence 1.07 +7%

MTK Budapest

Attack 1.11 +11%
Defence 0.92 -8%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Debreceni VSC vs MTK Budapest: result vs prediction

Debreceni VSC 2 – 2 MTK Budapest

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

NB I

Before and after this match

Debreceni VSC vs MTK Budapest markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Debreceni VSC 37.5% 2.67 -20.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 51.3% 1.95 — —
Both teams to score Yes 53.7% 1.86 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.0% 1.35 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 78.1% 1.28 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Debreceni VSC37.5%
Draw26.0%
MTK Budapest36.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.551.3%
Under 2.548.7%
Both teams to scoreYes53.7%
No46.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)63.4%
12 (either side)74.0%
X2 (draw or away)62.5%
Handicap -1Debreceni VSC win8.4%
Push (exactly one goal)13.5%
Loss78.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.6%
0-19.9%
1-29.7%

Debreceni VSC vs MTK Budapest stats

Debreceni VSC and MTK Budapest recent form

newest first
Debreceni VSC DDLWLL
MTK Budapest WDLDWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Debreceni VSC and MTK Budapest going into this match

league record before kick-off

Debreceni VSC record

  • They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

MTK Budapest record

  • They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.

Debreceni VSC vs MTK Budapest head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Debreceni VSC wins 2Draws 6MTK Budapest wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-27Debreceni VSCMTK BudapestNB I2-2
2025-11-09MTK BudapestDebreceni VSCNB I3-0
2025-08-01Debreceni VSCMTK BudapestNB I1-0
2025-05-03Debreceni VSCMTK BudapestNB I0-0
2025-02-07MTK BudapestDebreceni VSCNB I0-2
2024-09-28Debreceni VSCMTK BudapestNB I2-3
2024-04-06Debreceni VSCMTK BudapestNB I1-2
2023-12-09MTK BudapestDebreceni VSCNB I2-1
2023-08-27Debreceni VSCMTK BudapestNB I1-3
2022-05-15MTK BudapestDebreceni VSCNB I3-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Debreceni VSC vs MTK Budapest odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 42.7%, draw 25.8%, away 31.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.14 3.60 2.92
1xBet 2.15 3.46 2.90
Bet365 2.10 3.40 2.90
Betano 2.18 3.55 3.00
Betfair 2.10 3.70 2.88
Dafabet 2.16 3.60 3.00
Marathonbet 2.13 3.46 2.84
Pinnacle 2.24 3.63 2.91
Superbet 2.17 3.60 3.00
Unibet 2.10 3.55 3.20
William Hill 2.20 3.40 2.90

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.15 ▲ +0.19
X 3.55 ▼ -0.10
2 2.91 ▼ -0.30

4 snapshots recorded, from .