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NB I · Full time ·Matchday 7

Gyori ETO FC vs Budapest Honved

3 – 2 Full time

2′Ákos Baki
60′N. NjieM. Huszar
61′A. SzamosiT. Somogyi
61′A. ZuigeberP. Pinte
63′Norbert Urblík
67′D. Stefulj
72′Reda Eddarraj
75′R. Eddarraj
78′J. BennetteB. Selyem
79′V. DjukanovicN. Rotaru
83′K. KallaiK. Kantor
84′R. EddarrajO. Safronov
86′M. SzepE. Bodo
86′A. UmathumK. Banati
88′Szilveszter Hangya
90′Oleksandr Safronov
90′Istvan Mark Pekar
90′A. AlicI. Pekar
90′N. Urblik
90′I. Pekar
90′M. Krpic

ETO ParkReferee: B. Katona

Gyori ETO FC 46%
Draw 26%
Budapest Honved 28%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

16 Shots 18
5 Shots on target 8
49 Possession % 51
3 Corners 6
10 Fouls 16
1 Offsides 0
6 Saves 2
306 Accurate passes 325

Gyori ETO FC vs Budapest Honved overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Gyori ETO FC vs Budapest Honved

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityGyori ETO FCDrawBudapest Honved
Model47.4%26.4%26.2%
Market44.9%26.3%28.8%
Final45.5%26.3%28.1%
Edge+2.5%+0.1%-2.6%

Confidence: Low

Why Gyori ETO FC

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.67 vs 1.20.
  • The market prices Gyori ETO FC below the model: +2.5 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Gyori ETO FC ↓ / Budapest Honve → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 1 8% 12% 7% 2 8% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 79%
3+ goals 55%
No goals 7%

Gyori ETO FC and Budapest Honved expected goals

Gyori ETO FC 1.67
Budapest Honved 1.20

Total expected goals: 2.87

Gyori ETO FC and Budapest Honved attack and defence ratings

Gyori ETO FC

Attack 1.04 +4%
Defence 0.82 -18%

Budapest Honved

Attack 1.01 +1%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Gyori ETO FC vs Budapest Honved: result vs prediction

Gyori ETO FC 3 – 2 Budapest Honved

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

NB I

Before and after this match

Gyori ETO FC vs Budapest Honved markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Gyori ETO FC 45.5% 2.20 +2.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 54.7% 1.83 — —
Both teams to score Yes 57.9% 1.73 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.7% 1.36 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 52.6% 1.90 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Gyori ETO FC45.5%
Draw26.3%
Budapest Honved28.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.554.7%
Under 2.545.3%
Both teams to scoreYes57.9%
No42.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)71.9%
12 (either side)73.7%
X2 (draw or away)54.5%
Handicap -1Gyori ETO FC win25.8%
Push (exactly one goal)21.6%
Loss52.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.5%
2-19.5%
1-08.3%

Gyori ETO FC vs Budapest Honved stats

Gyori ETO FC and Budapest Honved recent form

newest first
Gyori ETO FC LDWDDL
Budapest Honved WLDDD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Gyori ETO FC and Budapest Honved going into this match

league record before kick-off

Gyori ETO FC record

  • They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
  • They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Budapest Honved record

  • They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Gyori ETO FC vs Budapest Honved head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

6Gyori ETO FC wins 1Draws 3Budapest Honved wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2024-07-06Gyori ETO FCBudapest HonvedFriendlies Clubs3-0
2024-03-11Gyori ETO FCBudapest HonvedNB II0-1
2023-09-03Budapest HonvedGyori ETO FCNB II2-1
2014-12-06Budapest HonvedGyori ETO FCNB I0-2
2014-08-03Gyori ETO FCBudapest HonvedNB I3-1
2014-05-11Gyori ETO FCBudapest HonvedNB I4-2
2013-11-03Budapest HonvedGyori ETO FCNB I1-1
2013-05-19Budapest HonvedGyori ETO FCNB I2-0
2013-02-27Gyori ETO FCBudapest HonvedMagyar Kupa2-0
2013-02-23Budapest HonvedGyori ETO FCMagyar Kupa0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Gyori ETO FC vs Budapest Honved odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 48.5%, draw 24.2%, away 27.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.97 3.50 3.26
Bet365 2.05 3.40 3.00
Betano 1.85 3.80 3.75
Betfair 1.75 3.80 3.60
Dafabet 1.82 3.75 3.80
Marathonbet 1.95 3.50 3.20
Pinnacle 2.08 3.77 3.29
SBO 1.84 3.26 3.15
Superbet 1.83 3.75 3.80
Unibet 1.79 3.70 4.00
William Hill 2.05 3.50 3.20

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.05 ▲ +0.45
X 3.50 ▼ -0.40
2 3.20 ▼ -1.45

8 snapshots recorded, from .