ST Johnstone
vs
Falkirk
1 – 1 Full time
| 45′ | Cheick Diabate | ||
| 53′ | Cheick Diabate | ||
| 55′ | Josh CampbellDaniel Finlayson | ||
| 60′ | Ethan Ross | ||
| 65′ | Reece McAlearRuari Paton | ||
| 65′ | Jason HoltSam Stanton | ||
| 67′ | Finley Frank BarbrookCraig Sibbald | ||
| 67′ | Jacob MurrellRoss Maclver | ||
| 75′ | Ethan RossCalvin Fodrey | ||
| 75′ | Owen EamesAodhan Doherty | ||
| 77′ | Zach MitchellDanny schmidt | ||
| 89′ | Ben krauhausJack McMillan | ||
| 90′ | Ruari Paton | ||
| 90′ | Enes Alic | ||
| 90′ | Enes Alic |
Match stats
| 8 | Shots | 13 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 44 | Possession % | 56 |
| 3 | Corners | 8 |
| 13 | Fouls | 18 |
| 3 | Saves | 4 |
| 279 | Accurate passes | 379 |
ST Johnstone vs Falkirk overview
Garuda Lions analysis: ST Johnstone vs Falkirk
| Probability | ST Johnstone | Draw | Falkirk |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 68.1% | 20.5% | 11.3% |
| Market | 45.5% | 27.8% | 26.7% |
| Final | 51.2% | 26.0% | 22.8% |
| Edge | +22.6% | -7.3% | -15.3% |
Why ST Johnstone
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.16 vs 0.78.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices ST Johnstone below the model: +22.6 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
ST Johnstone and Falkirk expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.94
ST Johnstone and Falkirk attack and defence ratings
ST Johnstone
Falkirk
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
ST Johnstone vs Falkirk: result vs prediction
ST Johnstone 1 – 1 Falkirk
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
ST Johnstone vs Falkirk markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | ST Johnstone | 51.2% | 1.95 | +22.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.3% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 51.1% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.2% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | ST Johnstone win | 44.9% | 2.23 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | ST Johnstone | 51.2% |
| Draw | 26.0% | |
| Falkirk | 22.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 43.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 48.9% |
| No | 51.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 48.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | ST Johnstone win | 44.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.3% | |
| Loss | 31.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 12.3% |
| 1-0 | 10.5% | |
| 1-1 | 9.8% |
ST Johnstone vs Falkirk stats
ST Johnstone and Falkirk recent form
| ST Johnstone |
LWDLLW |
| Falkirk |
WDLLDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
ST Johnstone and Falkirk going into this match
ST Johnstone record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
Falkirk record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
ST Johnstone vs Falkirk head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07-08 | ST Johnstone | Falkirk | Friendlies Clubs | 0-1 |
| 2018-07-24 | ST Johnstone | Falkirk | League Cup | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
ST Johnstone vs Falkirk odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 45.4%, draw 27.9%, away 26.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.06 | 3.35 | 3.50 |
| 888Sport | 2.25 | 3.30 | 3.00 |
| Bet365 | 2.05 | 3.30 | 3.60 |
| BetVictor | 2.05 | 3.40 | 3.50 |
| Betano | 2.12 | 3.40 | 3.50 |
| Betfair | 2.15 | 3.60 | 3.10 |
| Marathonbet | 2.05 | 3.34 | 3.48 |
| Pinnacle | 2.12 | 3.45 | 3.69 |
| SBO | 2.02 | 3.01 | 3.10 |
| William Hill | 2.05 | 3.25 | 3.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
26 snapshots recorded, from .