Falkirk
vs
Dundee
1 – 2 Full time
| 31′ | Jacob Murrell | ||
| 52′ | Owen Bevan | ||
| 70′ | Jacob MurrellFinn Yeats | ||
| 70′ | Ben krauhausBen Parkinson | ||
| 85′ | Finley Frank BarbrookCraig Sibbald | ||
| 90′ | Ethan RossConor McLeod | ||
| 90′ | Ryan StrainJack McMillan | ||
| 90′ | Ashley Hay |
Match stats
| 16 | Shots | 22 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 10 |
| 54 | Possession % | 46 |
| 3 | Corners | 10 |
| 12 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Offsides | 1 |
| 8 | Saves | 4 |
| 422 | Accurate passes | 323 |
Falkirk vs Dundee overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Falkirk vs Dundee
| Probability | Falkirk | Draw | Dundee |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 28.8% | 27.6% | 43.6% |
| Market | 46.8% | 26.4% | 26.7% |
| Final | 42.3% | 26.7% | 31.0% |
| Edge | -4.5% | +0.3% | +4.2% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Falkirk and Dundee expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.74
Falkirk and Dundee attack and defence ratings
Falkirk
Dundee
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Falkirk vs Dundee: result vs prediction
Falkirk 1 – 2 Dundee
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Falkirk vs Dundee markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Falkirk | 42.3% | 2.36 | -4.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.6% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.1% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.3% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 71.2% | 1.40 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Falkirk | 42.3% |
| Draw | 26.7% | |
| Dundee | 31.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 48.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.1% |
| No | 43.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 57.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Falkirk win | 12.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16.4% | |
| Loss | 71.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.1% |
| 1-2 | 9.2% | |
| 0-1 | 8.7% |
Falkirk vs Dundee stats
Falkirk and Dundee recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Falkirk and Dundee going into this match
Falkirk record
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
Dundee record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Falkirk vs Dundee head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-11 | Falkirk | Dundee | Scotland Premiership | 1-0 |
| 2025-12-27 | Dundee | Falkirk | Scotland Premiership | 1-0 |
| 2025-10-25 | Falkirk | Dundee | Scotland Premiership | 2-1 |
| 2022-12-08 | Falkirk | Dundee | Challenge Cup | 0-3 |
| 2022-08-30 | Dundee | Falkirk | League Cup | 3-0 |
| 2014-03-29 | Dundee | Falkirk | Championship | 0-1 |
| 2014-01-25 | Falkirk | Dundee | Championship | 2-0 |
| 2013-11-16 | Dundee | Falkirk | Championship | 1-1 |
| 2013-09-21 | Falkirk | Dundee | Championship | 3-1 |
| 2012-04-07 | Dundee | Falkirk | Championship | 3-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Falkirk vs Dundee odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 46.8%, draw 26.4%, away 26.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.01 | 3.48 | 3.50 |
| Bet365 | 1.95 | 3.60 | 3.50 |
| BetVictor | 2.00 | 3.60 | 3.50 |
| Betano | 2.00 | 3.65 | 3.60 |
| Betfair | 2.10 | 3.30 | 3.50 |
| Dafabet | 2.05 | 3.65 | 3.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.99 | 3.48 | 3.50 |
| Pinnacle | 2.03 | 3.68 | 3.70 |
| SBO | 1.99 | 3.29 | 3.31 |
| William Hill | 1.95 | 3.40 | 3.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
43 snapshots recorded, from .