Rangers
vs
Kilmarnock
Garuda Lions Prediction: Rangers
1 – 0 Predicted score · 14% model probability
Rangers vs Kilmarnock overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Rangers vs Kilmarnock
| Probability | Rangers | Draw | Kilmarnock |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 51.8% | 28.9% | 19.2% |
| Market | 82.1% | 11.7% | 6.2% |
| Final | 74.6% | 16.0% | 9.4% |
| Edge | -30.3% | +17.3% | +13.0% |
Why Rangers
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.47 vs 0.80.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.17, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Rangers vs Kilmarnock match preview
Rangers enter the match against Kilmarnock with a strong probability of winning at 72%, while Kilmarnock stands at 10%. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 1-0 in favor of Rangers, with a 14% chance of occurring. The expected goals for Rangers is 1.47, compared to Kilmarnock's 0.80, indicating a significant disparity in offensive output.
In terms of recent form, Rangers have been dominant with five wins and one loss in their last six matches, while Kilmarnock has struggled, managing only one win in their last six games. The head-to-head record reflects Rangers' superiority, with three wins in their last three encounters against Kilmarnock. The overall probabilities suggest a strong likelihood of a Rangers victory, but the confidence grade remains at C, indicating some uncertainty.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Rangers and Kilmarnock expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.28
Rangers and Kilmarnock attack and defence ratings
Rangers
Kilmarnock
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Rangers vs Kilmarnock markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Rangers | 74.6% | 1.34 | -30.3% | 1.17 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 60.2% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 56.2% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 90.6% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 48.2% | 2.08 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Rangers | 74.6% |
| Draw | 16.0% | |
| Kilmarnock | 9.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 39.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 60.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 43.8% |
| No | 56.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 90.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 84.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 25.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Rangers win | 27.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.8% | |
| Loss | 48.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 13.9% |
| 1-1 | 13.4% | |
| 0-0 | 11.5% |
Rangers vs Kilmarnock stats
Rangers and Kilmarnock recent form
| Rangers |
WWWWWL |
| Kilmarnock |
DWDLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Rangers and Kilmarnock season so far
Rangers record
- They have won 5 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Kilmarnock record
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game on the road against 0.5 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
- 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Rangers vs Kilmarnock head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-04 | Rangers | Kilmarnock | Scotland Premiership | 5-1 |
| 2025-12-06 | Kilmarnock | Rangers | Scotland Premiership | 0-3 |
| 2025-10-26 | Rangers | Kilmarnock | Scotland Premiership | 3-1 |
| 2025-02-26 | Kilmarnock | Rangers | Premiership | 2-4 |
| 2024-12-04 | Rangers | Kilmarnock | Premiership | 6-0 |
| 2024-10-20 | Kilmarnock | Rangers | Premiership | 1-0 |
| 2024-05-05 | Rangers | Kilmarnock | Premiership | 4-1 |
| 2024-02-28 | Kilmarnock | Rangers | Premiership | 1-2 |
| 2024-01-02 | Rangers | Kilmarnock | Premiership | 3-1 |
| 2023-08-05 | Kilmarnock | Rangers | Premiership | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Rangers vs Kilmarnock odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 82.1%, draw 11.7%, away 6.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.13 | 7.90 | 15.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.12 | 8.50 | 17.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.12 | 8.00 | 15.00 |
| Betano | 1.17 | 7.80 | 15.00 |
| Betfair | 1.13 | 8.50 | 16.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.16 | 8.60 | 16.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.13 | 7.90 | 15.00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.16 | 8.16 | 13.82 |
| SBO | 1.12 | 6.76 | 10.60 |
| William Hill | 1.17 | 7.00 | 15.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
42 snapshots recorded, from .