Rangers
vs
Kilmarnock
3 – 1 Full time
| 15′ | Ryan Naderi | ||
| 24′ | Kevin Kelsy | ||
| 44′ | Ryan Naderi | ||
| 45′ | Dujon SterlingKosta Nedeljkovic | ||
| 49′ | Michael Schjonning-Larsen | ||
| 64′ | Kosta Nedeljkovic | ||
| 73′ | Kevin KelsyFindlay Curtis | ||
| 75′ | Erik RingNicky Clescenco | ||
| 79′ | Michael-John Kamson-KamaraJamie Brandon | ||
| 79′ | Greg KiltieDjenairo Daniels | ||
| 87′ | Dan NeilTochi Chukwuani | ||
| 88′ | Min-su KimBojan Miovski | ||
| 88′ | Djeidi GassamaBadredine Bouanani | ||
| 90′ | Nicky Clescenco |
Match stats
| 18 | Shots | 13 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 60 | Possession % | 40 |
| 8 | Corners | 3 |
| 15 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Offsides | 1 |
| 4 | Saves | 1 |
| 435 | Accurate passes | 264 |
Rangers vs Kilmarnock overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Rangers vs Kilmarnock
| Probability | Rangers | Draw | Kilmarnock |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 51.8% | 28.9% | 19.2% |
| Market | 82.7% | 11.4% | 5.9% |
| Final | 75.0% | 15.8% | 9.2% |
| Edge | -7.7% | +4.4% | +3.3% |
Why Rangers
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.47 vs 0.80.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Rangers and Kilmarnock expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.28
Rangers and Kilmarnock attack and defence ratings
Rangers
Kilmarnock
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Rangers vs Kilmarnock: result vs prediction
Rangers 3 – 1 Kilmarnock
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Rangers vs Kilmarnock markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Rangers | 75.0% | 1.33 | -7.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 60.2% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 56.2% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 90.8% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 48.2% | 2.08 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Rangers | 75.0% |
| Draw | 15.8% | |
| Kilmarnock | 9.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 39.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 60.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 43.8% |
| No | 56.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 90.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 84.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 25.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Rangers win | 27.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.8% | |
| Loss | 48.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 13.9% |
| 1-1 | 13.4% | |
| 0-0 | 11.5% |
Rangers vs Kilmarnock stats
Rangers and Kilmarnock recent form
| Rangers |
WWWWWL |
| Kilmarnock |
DWDLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Rangers and Kilmarnock going into this match
Rangers record
- They have won 5 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Kilmarnock record
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game on the road against 0.5 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
- 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Rangers vs Kilmarnock head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-04 | Rangers | Kilmarnock | Scotland Premiership | 5-1 |
| 2025-12-06 | Kilmarnock | Rangers | Scotland Premiership | 0-3 |
| 2025-10-26 | Rangers | Kilmarnock | Scotland Premiership | 3-1 |
| 2025-02-26 | Kilmarnock | Rangers | Premiership | 2-4 |
| 2024-12-04 | Rangers | Kilmarnock | Premiership | 6-0 |
| 2024-10-20 | Kilmarnock | Rangers | Premiership | 1-0 |
| 2024-05-05 | Rangers | Kilmarnock | Premiership | 4-1 |
| 2024-02-28 | Kilmarnock | Rangers | Premiership | 1-2 |
| 2024-01-02 | Rangers | Kilmarnock | Premiership | 3-1 |
| 2023-08-05 | Kilmarnock | Rangers | Premiership | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Rangers vs Kilmarnock odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 82.7%, draw 11.4%, away 5.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.13 | 7.90 | 15.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.14 | 7.50 | 17.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.13 | 8.50 | 17.00 |
| Betano | 1.18 | 8.50 | 17.50 |
| Betfair | 1.13 | 9.00 | 17.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.16 | 8.60 | 17.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.13 | 7.90 | 15.00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.15 | 8.76 | 14.99 |
| SBO | 1.13 | 7.34 | 12.52 |
| William Hill | 1.15 | 7.50 | 13.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
43 snapshots recorded, from .