Dundee Utd
vs
Hibernian
Garuda Lions Prediction: Dundee Utd
1 – 0 Predicted score · 10% model probability
Dundee Utd vs Hibernian overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Dundee Utd vs Hibernian
| Probability | Dundee Utd | Draw | Hibernian |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 46.2% | 28.1% | 25.7% |
| Market | 34.5% | 26.7% | 38.9% |
| Final | 37.4% | 27.0% | 35.6% |
| Edge | +11.7% | +1.5% | -13.2% |
Why Dundee Utd
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.52 vs 1.08.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Dundee Utd below the model: +11.7 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 2.85, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Dundee Utd vs Hibernian match preview
Dundee Utd faces Hibernian in a closely contested match, with model probabilities showing Dundee Utd at 37%, a draw at 27%, and Hibernian at 36%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of Dundee Utd, with a 10% probability. Expected goals indicate Dundee Utd at 1.52 and Hibernian at 1.08, suggesting a slight edge for the home side in offensive output.
Recent form highlights Dundee Utd's mixed results with a record of W-D-L-W-L-L, while Hibernian has struggled, recording D-L-L-L-W-L. In their last three encounters, Dundee Utd has not secured a win, with 0 victories, 2 draws, and 1 win for Hibernian. The confidence grade for this matchup is C, reflecting a balanced competition between the two teams.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Dundee Utd and Hibernian expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.59
Dundee Utd and Hibernian attack and defence ratings
Dundee Utd
Hibernian
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Dundee Utd vs Hibernian markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dundee Utd | 37.4% | 2.67 | +11.7% | 2.85 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 52.1% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.6% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.0% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 53.8% | 1.86 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dundee Utd | 37.4% |
| Draw | 27.0% | |
| Hibernian | 35.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 52.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.6% |
| No | 47.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 64.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 62.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Dundee Utd win | 23.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.3% | |
| Loss | 53.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.4% |
| 1-0 | 10.1% | |
| 2-1 | 9.3% |
Dundee Utd vs Hibernian stats
Dundee Utd and Hibernian recent form
| Dundee Utd |
WDLWLL |
| Hibernian |
DLLLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Dundee Utd and Hibernian season so far
Dundee Utd record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game on the road against 0.7 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
Hibernian record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
Dundee Utd vs Hibernian head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-04 | Hibernian | Dundee Utd | Scotland Premiership | 3-2 |
| 2025-12-20 | Dundee Utd | Hibernian | Scotland Premiership | 1-1 |
| 2025-09-13 | Hibernian | Dundee Utd | Scotland Premiership | 3-3 |
| 2025-05-03 | Hibernian | Dundee Utd | Premiership | 3-1 |
| 2025-02-26 | Dundee Utd | Hibernian | Premiership | 1-3 |
| 2024-11-03 | Hibernian | Dundee Utd | Premiership | 1-1 |
| 2024-10-19 | Dundee Utd | Hibernian | Premiership | 3-2 |
| 2023-04-09 | Dundee Utd | Hibernian | Premiership | 2-1 |
| 2023-01-14 | Hibernian | Dundee Utd | Premiership | 2-2 |
| 2022-10-11 | Dundee Utd | Hibernian | Premiership | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Dundee Utd vs Hibernian odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 34.5%, draw 26.7%, away 38.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.67 | 3.48 | 2.42 |
| Bet365 | 2.70 | 3.60 | 2.38 |
| BetVictor | 2.60 | 3.50 | 2.38 |
| Betano | 2.85 | 3.60 | 2.37 |
| Betfair | 2.70 | 3.40 | 2.50 |
| Dafabet | 2.70 | 3.75 | 2.47 |
| Marathonbet | 2.67 | 3.48 | 2.42 |
| Pinnacle | 2.81 | 3.58 | 2.41 |
| SBO | 2.50 | 3.23 | 2.28 |
| William Hill | 2.75 | 3.40 | 2.38 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
42 snapshots recorded, from .