Hibernian
vs
Aberdeen
1 – 1 Full time
| 17′ | Kevin Nisbet | ||
| 34′ | Kevin Nisbet | ||
| 59′ | Jack Milne | ||
| 59′ | Connor Patrick RonanStuart Armstrong | ||
| 62′ | Martin Boyle | ||
| 70′ | A. Major | ||
| 72′ | Owen EldingNathan Lowe | ||
| 72′ | Martin BoyleAnte Suto | ||
| 74′ | Toyosi OlusanyaAyoub Mouloua | ||
| 79′ | Callum·WrightJoe Newell | ||
| 80′ | Jack MilneDaniel Happe | ||
| 80′ | Findlay MarshallAlexander Briedl | ||
| 84′ | Miguel Changa Chaiwa |
Match stats
| 12 | Shots | 9 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 52 | Possession % | 48 |
| 6 | Corners | 9 |
| 12 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Offsides | 3 |
| 1 | Saves | 2 |
| 375 | Accurate passes | 333 |
Hibernian vs Aberdeen overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Hibernian vs Aberdeen
| Probability | Hibernian | Draw | Aberdeen |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39.6% | 30.0% | 30.4% |
| Market | 54.2% | 24.5% | 21.3% |
| Final | 50.5% | 25.9% | 23.6% |
| Edge | -14.6% | +5.4% | +9.1% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Hibernian and Aberdeen expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.42
Hibernian and Aberdeen attack and defence ratings
Hibernian
Aberdeen
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Hibernian vs Aberdeen: result vs prediction
Hibernian 1 – 1 Aberdeen
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Hibernian vs Aberdeen markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Hibernian | 50.5% | 1.98 | -14.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 56.5% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.2% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.4% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 60.4% | 1.66 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Hibernian | 50.5% |
| Draw | 25.9% | |
| Aberdeen | 23.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 56.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.2% |
| No | 49.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 49.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Hibernian win | 18.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.1% | |
| Loss | 60.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.2% |
| 1-0 | 10.3% | |
| 0-0 | 10.2% |
Hibernian vs Aberdeen stats
Hibernian and Aberdeen recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Hibernian and Aberdeen going into this match
Hibernian record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game on the road against 0.7 at home.
Aberdeen record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game on the road against 0.7 at home.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 6 matches.
Hibernian vs Aberdeen head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | Aberdeen | Hibernian | Scotland Premiership | 2-0 |
| 2025-12-30 | Hibernian | Aberdeen | Scotland Premiership | 2-0 |
| 2025-10-26 | Aberdeen | Hibernian | Scotland Premiership | 1-2 |
| 2025-04-26 | Aberdeen | Hibernian | Premiership | 1-0 |
| 2025-02-01 | Hibernian | Aberdeen | Premiership | 2-0 |
| 2024-12-21 | Aberdeen | Hibernian | Premiership | 1-3 |
| 2024-11-26 | Hibernian | Aberdeen | Premiership | 3-3 |
| 2024-05-12 | Hibernian | Aberdeen | Premiership | 0-4 |
| 2024-02-17 | Aberdeen | Hibernian | Premiership | 2-2 |
| 2023-12-03 | Hibernian | Aberdeen | Premiership | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Hibernian vs Aberdeen odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 54.0%, draw 24.7%, away 21.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.73 | 3.82 | 4.36 |
| 888Sport | 1.75 | 3.50 | 4.20 |
| Bet365 | 1.73 | 3.80 | 4.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.73 | 3.90 | 4.40 |
| Betano | 1.75 | 4.10 | 4.70 |
| Betfair | 1.75 | 3.75 | 4.50 |
| Marathonbet | 1.71 | 3.82 | 4.40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.76 | 4.01 | 4.57 |
| SBO | 1.70 | 3.37 | 3.80 |
| William Hill | 1.75 | 3.70 | 4.20 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
26 snapshots recorded, from .