Dundee
vs
Motherwell
2 – 1 Full time
| 23′ | Joe Westley | ||
| 40′ | Bradley·Fink | ||
| 44′ | Alex·Lowry | ||
| 61′ | Jack MoorhouseJoseph Bevan | ||
| 65′ | Emmanuel LongeloDylan Williams | ||
| 67′ | Dylan Williams | ||
| 71′ | Callum JonesBrad Halliday | ||
| 72′ | Bradley·FinkBobby Wales | ||
| 76′ | Sebastian Palmer-HouldenRegan Charles-Cook | ||
| 77′ | Ibrahim SaidJardell Kanga | ||
| 86′ | Joe WestleyIdris Odutayo | ||
| 86′ | Tawanda MaswanhiseWilly Gabriel Vogt | ||
| 86′ | Alex·LowryEythor Bjørgolfsson | ||
| 90′ | Owen Goodman |
Match stats
| 11 | Shots | 15 |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 39 | Possession % | 61 |
| 9 | Corners | 9 |
| 8 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Offsides | 1 |
| 3 | Saves | 4 |
| 249 | Accurate passes | 485 |
Dundee vs Motherwell overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Dundee vs Motherwell
| Probability | Dundee | Draw | Motherwell |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50.0% | 25.7% | 24.4% |
| Market | 30.5% | 27.7% | 41.8% |
| Final | 35.3% | 27.2% | 37.5% |
| Edge | +19.5% | -2.0% | -17.5% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Dundee and Motherwell expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.94
Dundee and Motherwell attack and defence ratings
Dundee
Motherwell
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Dundee vs Motherwell: result vs prediction
Dundee 2 – 1 Motherwell
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Dundee vs Motherwell markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Motherwell | 37.5% | 2.67 | -17.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.2% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.3% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.8% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 75.6% | 1.32 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dundee | 35.3% |
| Draw | 27.2% | |
| Motherwell | 37.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 43.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.3% |
| No | 41.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 62.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 64.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Motherwell win | 10.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 14.3% | |
| Loss | 75.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.1% |
| 2-1 | 9.7% | |
| 1-0 | 8.2% |
Dundee vs Motherwell stats
Dundee and Motherwell recent form
| Dundee |
LDLWWL |
| Motherwell |
LLWDLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Dundee and Motherwell going into this match
Dundee record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
Motherwell record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
Dundee vs Motherwell head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-07 | Dundee | Motherwell | Scotland Premiership | 2-1 |
| 2025-12-20 | Motherwell | Dundee | Scotland Premiership | 1-0 |
| 2025-09-13 | Dundee | Motherwell | Scotland Premiership | 1-1 |
| 2025-05-03 | Dundee | Motherwell | Premiership | 1-2 |
| 2025-02-26 | Motherwell | Dundee | Premiership | 2-1 |
| 2024-12-04 | Dundee | Motherwell | Premiership | 4-1 |
| 2024-10-19 | Motherwell | Dundee | Premiership | 0-1 |
| 2024-04-06 | Dundee | Motherwell | Premiership | 2-3 |
| 2023-12-02 | Motherwell | Dundee | Premiership | 3-3 |
| 2023-08-05 | Dundee | Motherwell | Premiership | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Dundee vs Motherwell odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 30.3%, draw 27.9%, away 41.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.09 | 3.32 | 2.25 |
| 888Sport | 3.00 | 3.30 | 2.20 |
| Bet365 | 3.10 | 3.50 | 2.20 |
| BetVictor | 3.00 | 3.60 | 2.25 |
| Betano | 3.10 | 3.40 | 2.32 |
| Betfair | 3.25 | 3.40 | 2.20 |
| Marathonbet | 3.08 | 3.32 | 2.23 |
| Pinnacle | 3.24 | 3.45 | 2.30 |
| SBO | 2.70 | 3.16 | 2.16 |
| William Hill | 3.00 | 3.30 | 2.25 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
26 snapshots recorded, from .