Aberdeen
vs
ST Johnstone
0 – 1 Full time
| 14′ | Josh Fowler | ||
| 35′ | Ayoub MoulouaLewis Smith | ||
| 58′ | Ruari PatonJoel Cotterill | ||
| 59′ | Findlay MarshallTony Yogane | ||
| 59′ | Connor Patrick RonanStuart Armstrong | ||
| 67′ | Matty ToddTaylor Steven | ||
| 68′ | Nesta Guinness-WalkerHicham Mahou | ||
| 78′ | Sam StantonJosh Campbell | ||
| 78′ | Josh FowlerJamie Gullan | ||
| 90′ | Christopher CaddenAfeez Aremu Olalekan | ||
| 90′ | Daniel FinlaysonBožo Mikulić |
Match stats
| 22 | Shots | 5 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 65 | Possession % | 35 |
| 13 | Corners | 2 |
| 7 | Fouls | 10 |
| 0 | Saves | 5 |
| 459 | Accurate passes | 225 |
Aberdeen vs ST Johnstone overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Aberdeen vs ST Johnstone
| Probability | Aberdeen | Draw | ST Johnstone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 32.0% | 31.4% | 36.7% |
| Market | 43.4% | 28.5% | 28.1% |
| Final | 40.6% | 29.2% | 30.3% |
| Edge | -2.9% | +0.7% | +2.1% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Aberdeen and ST Johnstone expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.25
Aberdeen and ST Johnstone attack and defence ratings
Aberdeen
ST Johnstone
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Aberdeen vs ST Johnstone: result vs prediction
Aberdeen 0 – 1 ST Johnstone
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Aberdeen vs ST Johnstone markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Aberdeen | 40.6% | 2.47 | -2.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 61.0% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.2% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 70.8% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 68.2% | 1.47 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Aberdeen | 40.6% |
| Draw | 29.2% | |
| ST Johnstone | 30.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 39.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 61.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46.8% |
| No | 53.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 59.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Aberdeen win | 13.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.8% | |
| Loss | 68.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.6% |
| 0-0 | 11.9% | |
| 0-1 | 11.0% |
Aberdeen vs ST Johnstone stats
Aberdeen and ST Johnstone recent form
| Aberdeen |
DWDLLL |
| ST Johnstone |
DLWDLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Aberdeen and ST Johnstone going into this match
Aberdeen record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game on the road against 0.7 at home.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 7 matches.
ST Johnstone record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
Aberdeen vs ST Johnstone head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-15 | ST Johnstone | Aberdeen | Premiership | 0-0 |
| 2024-12-07 | Aberdeen | ST Johnstone | Premiership | 1-1 |
| 2024-08-05 | ST Johnstone | Aberdeen | Premiership | 1-2 |
| 2024-05-04 | Aberdeen | ST Johnstone | Premiership | 1-0 |
| 2024-02-28 | Aberdeen | ST Johnstone | Premiership | 0-2 |
| 2024-01-24 | ST Johnstone | Aberdeen | Premiership | 1-1 |
| 2023-10-08 | Aberdeen | ST Johnstone | Premiership | 0-0 |
| 2023-04-01 | ST Johnstone | Aberdeen | Premiership | 0-1 |
| 2023-01-07 | Aberdeen | ST Johnstone | Premiership | 2-0 |
| 2022-08-20 | ST Johnstone | Aberdeen | Premiership | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Aberdeen vs ST Johnstone odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 43.4%, draw 28.5%, away 28.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.16 | 3.28 | 3.31 |
| Bet365 | 2.10 | 3.40 | 3.30 |
| BetVictor | 2.15 | 3.40 | 3.30 |
| Betano | 2.18 | 3.30 | 3.45 |
| Betfair | 2.15 | 3.20 | 3.50 |
| Dafabet | 2.22 | 3.40 | 3.35 |
| Marathonbet | 2.14 | 3.28 | 3.30 |
| Pinnacle | 2.18 | 3.35 | 3.61 |
| SBO | 2.16 | 3.13 | 3.04 |
| William Hill | 2.15 | 3.10 | 3.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
45 snapshots recorded, from .