Taça de Portugal
·
Full time
·Round of 128
Recreativa de Lamelas
vs
Santo Antonio
4 – 1 Full time
Recreativa de Lamelas
32%
Draw
26%
Santo Antonio
42%
Recreativa de Lamelas vs Santo Antonio overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Recreativa de Lamelas vs Santo Antonio
| Probability | Recreativa de Lamelas | Draw | Santo Antonio |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 31.9% | 25.7% | 42.4% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 31.9% | 25.7% | 42.4% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
95%
2+ goals
83%
3+ goals
60%
No goals
5%
Recreativa de Lamelas and Santo Antonio expected goals
Recreativa de Lamelas
1.43
Santo Antonio
1.69
Total expected goals: 3.12
Recreativa de Lamelas and Santo Antonio attack and defence ratings
Recreativa de Lamelas
Attack
1.00 +0%
Defence
1.00 +0%
Santo Antonio
Attack
1.15 +15%
Defence
0.83 -17%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Recreativa de Lamelas vs Santo Antonio: result vs prediction
Recreativa de Lamelas 4 – 1 Santo Antonio
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Round of 128 fixtures
Before and after this match
Recreativa de Lamelas vs Santo Antonio markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Santo Antonio | 42.4% | 2.36 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.4% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.2% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.3% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.2% | 1.75 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Recreativa de Lamelas | 31.9% |
| Draw | 25.7% | |
| Santo Antonio | 42.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 39.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.2% |
| No | 36.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 57.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 68.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Santo Antonio win | 22.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.9% | |
| Loss | 57.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.7% |
| 1-2 | 9.0% | |
| 2-1 | 7.7% |
Recreativa de Lamelas vs Santo Antonio stats
Recreativa de Lamelas and Santo Antonio recent form
| no matches on record | |
| W |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 1 completed matches.