Taça de Portugal · Full time ·Round of 128

Recreativa de Lamelas vs Santo Antonio

4 – 1 Full time

Recreativa de Lamelas 32%
Draw 26%
Santo Antonio 42%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Recreativa de Lamelas vs Santo Antonio overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Recreativa de Lamelas vs Santo Antonio

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityRecreativa de LamelasDrawSanto Antonio
Model31.9%25.7%42.4%
Market———
Final31.9%25.7%42.4%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Recreativa de ↓ / Santo Antonio → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 6% 1 12% 9% 2 8% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 83%
3+ goals 60%
No goals 5%

Recreativa de Lamelas and Santo Antonio expected goals

Recreativa de Lamelas 1.43
Santo Antonio 1.69

Total expected goals: 3.12

Recreativa de Lamelas and Santo Antonio attack and defence ratings

Recreativa de Lamelas

Attack 1.00 +0%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Santo Antonio

Attack 1.15 +15%
Defence 0.83 -17%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Recreativa de Lamelas vs Santo Antonio: result vs prediction

Recreativa de Lamelas 4 – 1 Santo Antonio

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Round of 128 fixtures

Taça de Portugal

Before and after this match

Recreativa de Lamelas vs Santo Antonio markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Santo Antonio 42.4% 2.36 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 60.4% 1.66 — —
Both teams to score Yes 63.2% 1.58 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.3% 1.35 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 57.2% 1.75 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Recreativa de Lamelas31.9%
Draw25.7%
Santo Antonio42.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.560.4%
Under 2.539.6%
Both teams to scoreYes63.2%
No36.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)57.6%
12 (either side)74.3%
X2 (draw or away)68.1%
Handicap -1Santo Antonio win22.9%
Push (exactly one goal)19.9%
Loss57.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.7%
1-29.0%
2-17.7%

Recreativa de Lamelas vs Santo Antonio stats

Recreativa de Lamelas and Santo Antonio recent form

newest first
Recreativa de Lamelas no matches on record
Santo Antonio W

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 1 completed matches.

Recreativa de Lamelas vs Santo Antonio head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Recreativa de Lamelas vs Santo Antonio odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.